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Valur vs Alftanes Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 89-71
25-27 21-15 21-14 22-15
Position#1
Record15-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game92.7
Allowed / game82.3
Valur 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#6
Record10-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game82.4
IcelandPremier leagueRound 19· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Other2023-24
Meetings · Valur v Alftanes
12 Nov 2026
VALU v ALFT
upcoming
14 Nov 2025
VALU92
ALFT80
16 Jan 2025
VALU87
ALFT81
07 Mar 2024
VALU89
ALFT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alftanes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
KV mfl.kk.
#16
W
128-89
128
89
+39
no box
A10/12
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#5
W
91-87
91
87
+4
85avg 83
H14/12
Premier league
Thorl
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
82avg 83
H04/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
111-89
111
89
+22
100avg 83
A11/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
105-82
105
82
+23
100avg 83
H18/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
68avg 83
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#9
W
90-79
90
79
+11
83avg 83
H25/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
85-81
85
81
+4
70avg 83
A02/02
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
82-72
82
72
+10
80avg 83
H08/02
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
92-83
92
83
+9
87avg 83
A15/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
26-22
20-26
22-16
23-23
15-18
19-21
27-24
29-19
26-23
28-20
29-26
28-20
28-14
24-20
32-28
21-20
19-24
23-19
22-20
15-21
25-18
25-20
27-25
13-16
20-17
26-29
16-24
23-11
24-10
17-17
19-23
22-22
23-26
23-23
24-16
22-18
178.1Avg total
95.3Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)92.782.3175.1+10.483%
Season at home (9)90.178.2168.3+11.989%
Season away (9)95.386.4181.8+8.978%
Last 10 (10)95.382.8178.1+12.590%
Last 5 (5)85.679.8165.4+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)88.884.2172.9+4.658%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)91.882.1173.9+9.776%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Fjolnir
#12
W
92-78
92
78
+14
86avg 75
H11/12
Icelandic Cup
Hottur
#8
L
73-78
73
78
-5
62avg 75
A14/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
80-68
80
68
+12
74avg 75
A05/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
84-87
84
87
-3
86avg 75
A11/01
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
106-100 OT
106
100
+6
no box
H18/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
W
90-79
90
79
+11
91avg 75
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#5
L
51-89
51
89
-38
33avg 75
A25/01
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
94-104
94
104
-10
85avg 75
H01/02
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
104-67
104
67
+37
107avg 75
A08/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
109-114 OT
109
114
-5
no box
H16/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
21-18
13-21
30-20
14-22
25-22
13-17
21-17
22-20
23-17
9-15
26-16
27-19
18-23
27-21
12-24
36-22
16-23
18-22
19-22
24-23
18-22
20-17
28-17
9-22
13-14
10-28
19-25
28-26
25-24
17-30
24-24
23-22
33-13
18-12
30-20
28-21
26-23
17-20
16-23
174.7Avg total
88.3Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.982.4167.4+2.556%
Season at home (9)88.884.3173.1+4.467%
Season away (9)81.180.6161.7+0.644%
Last 10 (10)88.386.4174.7+1.950%
Last 5 (5)89.690.6180.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)81.077.7158.7+3.367%
vs Similar (11)81.786.0167.7-4.336%
vs Weaker (5)95.476.8172.2+18.6100%
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
ValurAlftanes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H14/12
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H04/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A11/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H18/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#9
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H25/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A02/02
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H08/02
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A15/02
Premier league
86.4Avg total
45.7Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)47.041.888.9+5.262%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.039.984.9+5.167%-
Last 30 away (14)49.243.993.1+5.357%-
Last 10 (9)45.740.886.4+4.944%-
Last 5 (5)45.040.685.6+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)46.844.290.9+2.658%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)47.240.287.4+7.165%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fjolnir
#12
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H11/12
Icelandic Cup
Hottur
#8
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A14/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A05/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A11/01
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H18/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#5
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A25/01
Premier league
Thorl
#4
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H01/02
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A08/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H16/02
Premier league
87.2Avg total
45.7Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)43.041.984.9+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (11)45.742.888.5+2.973%-
Last 30 away (10)40.040.880.8-0.840%-
Last 10 (10)45.741.587.2+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.442.087.4+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)44.040.784.7+3.367%-
vs Similar (11)40.743.083.7-2.336%-
vs Weaker (5)48.637.686.2+11.0100%-
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 93.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.4
48.7%
51.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.912.0
37.6%
34.2%36.0
🏀 Free throws25.518.6
72.9%
74.4%18.6
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.019.2
48.0%
51.2%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.2
38.6%
34.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.912.9
68.3%
74.4%12.9
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur
WWWWLWWWWW
Alftanes
LWLLWWLWLW
#1
League position
#6
+13.5
Net rating
+5.3
113.3
Offensive rating
105.1
99.8
Defensive rating
99.8
52.2%
Effective FG%
52.0%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.4%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.6%
3-point %
38.6%
57.0%
Assist %
62.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 105.1Defence99.8 · 99.8Shooting52.2% · 52.0%3-point %37.6% · 38.6%Ball care14.8% · 15.4%Off. rebounds30.3% · 22.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Valur   ■ Alftanes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valur wins
1
Alftanes wins
DateGameScore
23/11/23Alftanes v Valur73-67
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/24AHottur92-83
08/02/24HHaukar82-72
02/02/24AStjarnan85-81
25/01/24HTindastoll90-79
21/01/24AStjarnan79-84
18/01/24HKeflavik105-82
11/01/24AHamar111-89
04/01/24HThorl90-82
14/12/23HNjardvik91-87
10/12/23AKV mfl.kk.128-89
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/24HKeflavik109-114 OT
08/02/24AHamar104-67
01/02/24HThorl94-104
25/01/24ANjardvik51-89
21/01/24AGrindavik90-79
18/01/24HBreidablik106-100 OT
11/01/24AGrindavik84-87
05/01/24ATindastoll80-68
14/12/23AHottur73-78
11/12/23HFjolnir92-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %83%89%78%
Points / game92.790.195.3
Allowed / game82.378.286.4
Point differential+10.4+11.9+8.9
Avg total175.1168.3181.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Alftanes
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL56%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%67%44%
Points / game84.988.881.1
Allowed / game82.484.380.6
Point differential+2.5+4.4+0.6
Avg total167.4173.1161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%22%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %17%22%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur1815383%92.782.3+10.4
2 Keflavik1712571%96.591.2+5.2
3 Njardvik1712571%91.086.2+4.8
4 Grindavik1812667%93.688.6+5.1
5 Thorl1812667%91.289.1+2.1
6 Alftanes1810856%84.982.4+2.5
7 Hottur179853%84.284.4-0.1
8 Tindastoll189950%85.483.9+1.4
9 Stjarnan1881044%86.385.7+0.7
10 Haukar1851328%87.990.1-2.2
11 Breidablik1721512%85.199.1-14.0
12 Hamar180180%82.698.7-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur2521212289
Alftanes2715141571
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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