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Valur vs Keflavik Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 18 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game102.0
IcelandPremier leagueRound 20· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Other2026-27
Meetings · Valur v Keflavik
18 Mar 2027
VALU v KEFL
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
VALU90
KEFL76
11 Apr 2026
VALU79
KEFL78
02 Apr 2026
VALU75
KEFL78
12 Jan 2026
VALU93
KEFL94
11 Dec 2025
VALU111
KEFL91
24 Oct 2024
VALU104
KEFL80
18 Jan 2024
VALU105
KEFL82
02 Dec 2022
VALU75
KEFL100
05 Mar 2022
VALU88
KEFL74
12 Feb 2021
VALU85
KEFL72
29 Jan 2020
VALU68
KEFL96
14 Dec 2018
VALU77
KEFL86
04 Jan 2018
VALU84
KEFL87
31 Oct 2013
VALU76
KEFL94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Keflavik win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#1
W
79-72
79
72
+7
72avg 76
H26/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
67-93
67
93
-26
65avg 76
A30/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
85-79
85
79
+6
80avg 76
H04/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
82-109
82
109
-27
78avg 76
A06/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
90-77
90
77
+13
81avg 76
H08/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#6
W
81-74
81
74
+7
71avg 76
H16/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
93-85
93
85
+8
85avg 76
A22/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
87-84
87
84
+3
82avg 76
H30/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
86-73
86
73
+13
no box
A06/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
68-80
68
80
-12
no box
H12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
22-22
19-16
19-15
20-26
20-22
12-18
15-27
23-18
24-21
22-24
16-16
28-20
12-30
23-31
19-28
22-22
24-19
23-18
21-18
29-26
16-28
17-14
19-6
25-18
21-20
26-24
21-23
23-21
29-18
18-26
17-19
25-19
23-25
13-12
25-17
9-21
32-20
15-18
12-21
164.4Avg total
81.8Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.278.8163.0+5.383%
Season at home (4)81.578.8160.2+2.875%
Season away (2)89.579.0168.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)81.882.6164.4-0.870%
Last 5 (5)83.079.2162.2+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.188.6170.7-6.433%
vs Similar ◀ (14)86.485.3171.6+1.164%
vs Weaker (6)87.582.0169.5+5.583%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
68avg 84
H07/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
69avg 84
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 84
H15/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
76-90
76
90
-14
63avg 84
A19/04
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
108-90
108
90
+18
105avg 84
A08/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
106-90
106
90
+16
101avg 84
H15/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
110-130
110
130
-20
94avg 84
A23/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
112-99
112
99
+13
110avg 84
H29/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
100-90
100
90
+10
no box
A05/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
94-113
94
113
-19
no box
A12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-33
13-15
24-20
19-19
18-16
22-17
12-22
26-24
28-22
19-17
16-15
25-27
22-17
16-27
25-21
13-25
31-23
31-29
33-15
13-23
31-24
25-30
26-14
24-22
32-29
29-34
32-32
17-35
35-28
25-29
18-17
34-25
24-22
16-28
29-17
31-23
29-25
22-30
18-35
25-23
190.3Avg total
95.4Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)105.0102.0207.0+3.067%
Season at home (2)109.094.5203.5+14.5100%
Season away (4)103.0105.8208.8-2.850%
Last 10 (10)95.494.9190.3+0.550%
Last 5 (5)104.4104.4208.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)102.0109.0211.0-7.033%
vs Similar ◀ (17)92.292.6184.8-0.547%
vs Weaker (9)99.489.7189.1+9.867%
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
ValurKeflavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H26/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A30/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H04/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A06/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H08/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#6
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H16/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A22/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H30/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A06/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H12/11
Premier league
88.1Avg total
44.6Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.443.385.7-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.042.985.9+0.144%-
Last 30 away (14)41.743.985.6-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.643.588.1+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)46.443.289.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.843.984.7-3.133%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.143.686.6-0.550%-
vs Weaker (6)42.541.884.3+0.750%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H07/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H15/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A19/04
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A08/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H15/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A23/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H29/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A05/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A12/11
Premier league
98.9Avg total
49.4Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.848.094.8-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.246.793.9+0.554%-
Last 30 away (17)46.549.195.5-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)49.449.598.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)53.655.8109.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)52.756.3109.0-3.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)43.746.189.8-2.429%-
vs Weaker (9)50.450.2100.7+0.256%-
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.6
52.2%
56.2%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.0
32.5%
33.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.513.2
71.4%
73.9%13.2
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.7
55.2%
56.2%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.4
29.5%
33.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws27.321.4
78.4%
73.9%21.4
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur
LWWWWWLWLW
Keflavik
LWWLWWLWLL
#4
League position
#5
+0.3
Net rating
+2.1
91.9
Offensive rating
98.9
91.5
Defensive rating
96.7
50.8%
Effective FG%
50.7%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
13.3%
Turnover %
11.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.39
32.5%
3-point %
29.5%
62.1%
Assist %
55.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence91.9 · 98.9Defence91.5 · 96.7Shooting50.8% · 50.7%3-point %32.5% · 29.5%Ball care13.3% · 11.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Valur   ■ Keflavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Valur wins
3
Keflavik wins
DateGameScore
19/04/26Valur v Keflavik90-76
15/04/26Keflavik v Valur88-81
11/04/26Valur v Keflavik79-78
07/04/26Keflavik v Valur82-87
02/04/26Valur v Keflavik75-78
19/03/26Keflavik v Valur85-88
12/01/26Valur v Keflavik93-94
11/12/25Valur v Keflavik111-91
19/03/25Keflavik v Valur67-91
24/01/25Keflavik v Valur70-81
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HAlftanes68-80
06/11/26ASindri86-73
30/10/26HArmann87-84
22/10/26ANjardvik93-85
16/10/26HGrindavik81-74
08/10/26HStjarnan90-77
06/05/26AGrindavik82-109
04/05/26HGrindavik85-79
30/04/26AGrindavik67-93
26/04/26HGrindavik79-72
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AStjarnan94-113
05/11/26AIR Reykjavik100-90
29/10/26HHottur112-99
23/10/26AAlftanes110-130
15/10/26HSindri106-90
08/10/26AArmann108-90
19/04/26AValur76-90
15/04/26HValur88-81
11/04/26AValur78-79
07/04/26HValur82-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game84.281.589.5
Allowed / game78.878.879.0
Point differential+5.3+2.8+10.5
Avg total163.0160.2168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keflavik
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game105.0109.0103.0
Allowed / game102.094.5105.8
Point differential+3.0+14.5-2.8
Avg total207.0203.5208.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KR Basket660100%100.785.8+14.8
2 Alftanes65183%107.091.7+15.3
3 Tindastoll65183%91.883.7+8.2
4 Valur65183%84.278.8+5.3
5 Keflavik64267%105.0102.0+3.0
6 Grindavik64267%90.087.3+2.7
7 Stjarnan63350%97.593.3+4.2
8 Hottur62433%92.0101.5-9.5
9 Njardvik61517%87.394.3-7.0
10 IR Reykjavik61517%92.3102.3-10.0
11 Sindri6060%83.893.0-9.2
12 Armann6060%85.3103.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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