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Varese vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 93-74
20-23 23-12 27-19 23-20
Position#10
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game78.0
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Caserta
Italy
Position#13
Record1-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game75.0
ItalyLega ARound 2
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Varese v Caserta
09 Oct 2016
VAR93
KAS74
04 Oct 2015
VAR51
KAS58
12 Apr 2015
VAR84
KAS80
06 Apr 2014
VAR72
KAS67
03 Mar 2013
VAR74
KAS62
06 Nov 2011
VAR85
KAS82
03 Apr 2011
VAR92
KAS77
25 Apr 2010
VAR85
KAS88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caserta winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#4
W
105-93
105
93
+12
no box
H06/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#5
W
79-68
79
68
+11
no box
H10/04
Lega A
Cremona
#4
W
79-70
79
70
+9
no box
A16/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
W
77-69
77
69
+8
no box
H24/04
Lega A
Chalon/Saone
#2
W
91-82
91
82
+9
no box
H29/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Frankfurt
#1
L
62-66
62
66
-4
no box
H01/05
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#11
L
79-89
79
89
-10
no box
A04/05
Lega A
Benfica
#25
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
A27/09
Champions League
Benfica
#25
L
70-72
70
72
-2
no box
H29/09
Champions League
Sassari
#5
L
72-78
72
78
-6
101avg 101
A03/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
26-19
29-24
21-29
21-16
15-15
19-18
24-19
13-21
28-20
13-14
25-15
18-20
26-23
23-12
10-14
31-25
17-28
22-11
21-18
16-15
15-10
16-13
15-28
23-21
16-18
14-29
26-21
25-28
16-13
13-14
21-17
23-20
16-19
14-15
17-18
15-21
13-17
19-23
25-17
154.8Avg total
78.9Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)72.078.0150.0-6.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)72.078.0150.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)78.975.9154.8+3.060%
Last 5 (5)71.675.4147.0-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.077.3150.3-4.340%
vs Similar ◀ (18)81.378.6159.9+2.767%
vs Weaker (2)81.076.0157.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaserta
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
86-91
86
91
-5
no box
A10/03
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
69-92
69
92
-23
no box
A13/03
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
H21/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#12
W
72-71
72
71
+1
no box
A26/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
75-87
75
87
-12
no box
A03/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
H10/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
87-92
87
92
-5
no box
H17/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
55-73
55
73
-18
no box
A24/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
H04/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
78-75
78
75
+3
105avg 105
H02/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
21-23
22-17
23-23
18-26
20-18
21-32
10-16
12-23
23-22
27-16
11-19
18-16
17-16
18-19
19-20
25-23
17-22
11-18
22-24
21-23
17-23
23-21
21-20
20-26
17-25
24-7
26-34
13-19
11-9
15-17
16-28
20-15
11-19
21-10
21-26
18-14
22-23
20-26
18-12
156.8Avg total
75.0Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)78.075.0153.0+3.0100%
Season at home (1)78.075.0153.0+3.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.081.8156.8-6.830%
Last 5 (5)75.079.4154.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.979.6151.5-7.814%
vs Similar ◀ (16)74.174.8148.9-0.856%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -3.5-3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -3.5-3.5
VareseCaserta
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#4
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H06/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H10/04
Lega A
Cremona
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A16/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H24/04
Lega A
Chalon/Saone
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H29/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Frankfurt
#1
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H01/05
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A04/05
Lega A
Benfica
#25
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A27/09
Champions League
Benfica
#25
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H29/09
Champions League
Sassari
#5
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A03/10
Lega A
79.2Avg total
40.2Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.078.0-0.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.137.978.0+2.169%-
Last 30 away (14)37.740.277.9-2.529%-
Last 10 (10)40.239.079.2+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.636.472.0-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.541.476.9-5.930%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)41.038.679.6+2.456%-
vs Weaker (2)38.030.568.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A10/03
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A13/03
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H21/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#12
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A26/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A03/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H10/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H17/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A24/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H04/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H02/10
Lega A
77.4Avg total
36.1Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.838.474.2-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.037.574.5-0.556%-
Last 30 away (14)34.439.473.8-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)36.141.377.4-5.220%-
Last 5 (5)34.039.273.2-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.141.276.4-6.121%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)36.335.972.2+0.462%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀66%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 66% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.0 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.023.0
46.9%
51.1%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.06.0
46.2%
35.7%18.0
🏀 Free throws8.06.0
75.0%
74.0%6.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 13.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 21% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.023.0
46.9%
51.1%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.06.0
42.9%
35.7%18.0
🏀 Free throws16.014.0
87.5%
74.0%14.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 14.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 22% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LLWLLWWWWW
Caserta
WWLLLLWLLL
#10
League position
#13
-11.2
Net rating
+6.7
97.7
Offensive rating
104.0
108.8
Defensive rating
97.3
51.6%
Effective FG%
50.8%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
45.7%
22.7%
Turnover %
18.9%
35.5%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.13
Free-throw rate
0.25
46.2%
3-point %
42.9%
62.1%
Assist %
31.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.7 · 104.0Defence108.8 · 97.3Shooting51.6% · 50.8%3-point %46.2% · 42.9%Ball care22.7% · 18.9%Off. rebounds35.5% · 28.6%Free throws0.13 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Varese   ■ Caserta
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Varese wins
2
Caserta wins
DateGameScore
17/01/16Caserta v Varese70-77
04/10/15Varese v Caserta51-58
12/04/15Varese v Caserta84-80
21/12/14Caserta v Varese78-82
06/04/14Varese v Caserta72-67
22/12/13Caserta v Varese86-80
03/03/13Varese v Caserta74-62
04/11/12Caserta v Varese56-73
26/02/12Caserta v Varese87-91
06/11/11Varese v Caserta85-82
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/16ASassari72-78
29/09/16HBenfica70-72
27/09/16ABenfica75-72
04/05/16ACantu79-89
01/05/16HFrankfurt62-66
29/04/16HChalon/Saone91-82
24/04/16HReggiana77-69
16/04/16ACremona79-70
10/04/16HVenezia79-68
06/04/16HAntwerp Giants105-93
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/16HReggiana78-75
04/05/16HTrento73-70
24/04/16ABrindisi55-73
17/04/16HAvellino87-92
10/04/16HReggiana82-87
03/04/16ASassari75-87
26/03/16APesaro72-71
21/03/16HVenezia73-80
13/03/16ACantu69-92
10/03/16AOlimpia Milano86-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game72.0-72.0
Allowed / game78.0-78.0
Point differential-6.0--6.0
Avg total150.0-150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Caserta
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game78.078.0-
Allowed / game75.075.0-
Point differential+3.0+3.0-
Avg total153.0153.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cremona110100%87.067.0+20.0
2 Pesaro110100%76.063.0+13.0
3 Brindisi110100%69.061.0+8.0
4 Venezia110100%99.092.0+7.0
5 Olimpia Milano220100%79.073.0+6.0
6 Caserta110100%78.075.0+3.0
7 Reggiana21150%80.579.0+1.5
8 Sassari21150%79.079.0+0.0
9 Avellino21150%83.585.0-1.5
10 Torino1010%83.086.0-3.0
11 Capo d'Orlando1010%65.071.0-6.0
12 Varese1010%72.078.0-6.0
13 Cantu1010%92.099.0-7.0
14 Trento1010%61.069.0-8.0
15 Brescia1010%63.076.0-13.0
16 Pistoia1010%67.087.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2023272393
Caserta2312192074
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