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Varese vs CSM Oradea Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 100-81
26-19 26-19 29-16 19-27
Position#7
Record5-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game93.4
Allowed / game90.0
Varese 🏆
vs
Position#17
Record5-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game82.4
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 3· Palasport Lino Oldrini
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSM Oradea winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
TSU
#41
W
94-81
94
81
+13
94avg 83
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
L
73-116
73
116
-43
55avg 83
A26/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
68-75
68
75
-7
59avg 83
H03/12
Lega A
Chemnitz
#2
L
85-109
85
109
-24
72avg 83
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#15
L
81-86
81
86
-5
71avg 83
A10/12
Lega A
Leiden
#14
L
79-82
79
82
-3
74avg 83
H13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
70-74
70
74
-4
64avg 83
H17/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 83
A23/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
116-93
116
93
+23
121avg 83
H29/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
101-96
101
96
+5
98avg 83
A06/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
32-21
21-14
25-30
11-33
22-31
15-27
25-25
16-18
16-12
22-26
14-19
16-35
25-27
29-18
15-29
21-27
12-13
26-17
22-29
18-19
27-20
21-19
13-24
18-17
21-22
18-17
13-18
18-21
19-24
24-21
27-15
39-17
31-24
25-28
21-24
24-26
33-24
23-20
21-26
174.8Avg total
85.5Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)93.490.0183.4+3.462%
Season at home (4)91.086.5177.5+4.550%
Season away (4)95.893.5189.2+2.275%
Last 10 (10)85.589.3174.8-3.840%
Last 5 (5)90.885.2176.0+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.3102.3182.7-22.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)89.888.5178.2+1.250%
vs Weaker (7)92.182.4174.6+9.786%
This opponent (CSM Oradea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM OradeaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOradea
Date
Competition
Valcea
#9
W
90-74
90
74
+16
91avg 83
A18/11
Divizia A
Legia
#6
W
93-74
93
74
+19
92avg 83
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
CSU Sibiu
#15
W
95-85
95
85
+10
92avg 83
A02/12
Divizia A
Leiden
#14
W
82-77
82
77
+5
81avg 83
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
SCM Craiova
#4
W
90-73
90
73
+17
95avg 83
H09/12
Divizia A
Chemnitz
#2
L
79-95
79
95
-16
70avg 83
H13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Arges Pitesti
#6
W
95-79
95
79
+16
90avg 83
A18/12
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#7
W
90-76
90
76
+14
81avg 83
H23/12
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#11
L
83-88
83
88
-5
80avg 83
A28/12
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#10
W
92-72
92
72
+20
94avg 83
H05/01
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-9
28-17
23-26
16-22
21-33
24-12
24-11
24-18
28-30
21-16
24-17
22-22
23-19
19-24
17-18
23-16
18-12
17-15
26-26
29-20
20-25
17-15
25-25
17-30
27-13
22-22
22-25
24-19
30-15
20-21
24-21
16-19
24-14
24-29
20-28
15-17
34-23
19-14
14-23
25-12
168.2Avg total
88.9Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.282.4169.6+4.962%
Season at home (4)92.088.5180.5+3.550%
Season away (4)82.576.2158.8+6.275%
Last 10 (10)88.979.3168.2+9.680%
Last 5 (5)87.882.0169.8+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)83.786.3170.0-2.733%
vs Similar ◀ (8)74.478.6153.0-4.238%
vs Weaker (18)89.175.2164.3+13.983%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +1.6+1.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +1.6+1.6
VareseCSM Oradea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TSU
#41
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
L
33-64
33
64
-31
A26/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H03/12
Lega A
Chemnitz
#2
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#15
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A10/12
Lega A
Leiden
#14
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H17/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A23/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
70-41
70
41
+29
H29/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A06/01
Lega A
88.2Avg total
43.5Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.644.689.2-0.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.742.189.9+5.657%-
Last 30 away (16)41.846.888.6-4.925%-
Last 10 (10)43.544.788.2-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)49.642.892.4+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.554.094.5-13.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)45.044.189.1+0.944%-
vs Weaker (7)48.438.687.0+9.971%-
This opponent (CSM Oradea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM OradeaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valcea
#9
W
51-26
51
26
+25
A18/11
Divizia A
Legia
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
CSU Sibiu
#15
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A02/12
Divizia A
Leiden
#14
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
SCM Craiova
#4
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H09/12
Divizia A
Chemnitz
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Arges Pitesti
#6
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A18/12
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#7
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H23/12
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#11
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A28/12
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#10
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H05/01
Divizia A
83.7Avg total
45.9Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.838.582.2+5.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.437.482.8+7.964%-
Last 30 away (16)42.439.481.8+3.056%-
Last 10 (10)45.937.883.7+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)47.438.285.6+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.043.383.3-3.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.437.675.0-0.238%-
vs Weaker (18)47.937.885.7+10.183%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.615.8
53.4%
52.2%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.712.2
37.3%
33.8%36.6
🏀 Free throws22.316.6
74.4%
73.0%16.6
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSM Oradeatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSM Oradea: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.121.5
58.0%
52.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.5
39.2%
33.8%31.5
🏀 Free throws17.313.4
77.5%
73.0%13.4
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WWWLLLLLLW
CSM Oradea
WLWWLWWWWW
#7
League position
#17
-4.7
Net rating
+13.2
107.4
Offensive rating
120.7
112.1
Defensive rating
107.5
54.7%
Effective FG%
58.3%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
18.5%
Turnover %
17.6%
21.3%
Off. rebound %
35.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.3%
3-point %
39.2%
53.2%
Assist %
64.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 120.7Defence112.1 · 107.5Shooting54.7% · 58.3%3-point %37.3% · 39.2%Ball care18.5% · 17.6%Off. rebounds21.3% · 35.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Varese   ■ CSM Oradea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Varese wins
0
CSM Oradea wins
No previous meetings.
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24ATreviso101-96
29/12/23HReggiana116-93
23/12/23APesaro88-81
17/12/23HOlimpia Milano70-74
13/12/23HLeiden79-82
10/12/23ABrindisi81-86
06/12/23AChemnitz85-109
03/12/23HCremona68-75
26/11/23ABrescia73-116
22/11/23ATSU94-81
CSM Oradealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24HPetrolul Ploiesti92-72
28/12/23ACSM Targu Mures83-88
23/12/23HCSM Constanta90-76
18/12/23AArges Pitesti95-79
13/12/23HChemnitz79-95
09/12/23HSCM Craiova90-73
06/12/23ALeiden82-77
02/12/23ACSU Sibiu95-85
22/11/23HLegia93-74
18/11/23AValcea90-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game93.491.095.8
Allowed / game90.086.593.5
Point differential+3.4+4.5+2.2
Avg total183.4177.5189.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
CSM Oradea
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game87.292.082.5
Allowed / game82.488.576.2
Point differential+4.9+3.5+6.2
Avg total169.6180.5158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz990100%92.869.4+23.3
2 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
3 Bilbao990100%83.267.3+15.9
4 Bahcesehir Kol.98189%91.176.4+14.7
5 Nymburk97278%86.974.8+12.1
6 Legia97278%88.079.4+8.6
7 Basket Zaragoza97278%80.675.1+5.4
8 Rostock86275%87.277.4+9.9
9 Gottingen96367%87.780.7+7.0
10 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
11 FC Porto117464%83.577.4+6.1
12 Manisa117464%77.374.8+2.5
13 CSM Oradea85362%87.282.4+4.9
14 Varese85362%93.490.0+3.4
15 Leiden85362%65.565.2+0.2
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque74357%71.365.1+6.1
17 Anwil Wloclawek63350%78.268.2+10.0
18 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
19 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
20 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%73.875.2-1.5
21 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
22 AEK Larnaca63350%78.882.0-3.2
23 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
24 Spojnia Stargard63350%79.384.2-4.8
25 Trepca63350%68.275.2-7.0
26 Caledonia Gladiators63350%71.879.2-7.3
27 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
28 Jonava94544%84.788.6-3.9
29 Sabah Baku94544%77.783.6-5.9
30 Sporting CP73443%83.984.9-1.0
31 Balkan73443%74.482.1-7.7
32 Bakken Bears62433%84.285.3-1.2
33 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
34 Levice62433%74.880.0-5.2
35 Peja62433%82.593.3-10.8
36 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
37 Brindisi41325%77.881.8-4.0
38 Keravnos82625%79.484.9-5.5
39 Kataja82625%78.285.0-6.8
40 Den Bosch61517%79.086.7-7.7
41 TSU61517%78.786.5-7.8
42 Karhu Basket61517%82.390.7-8.3
43 Norrkoping61517%70.281.7-11.5
44 Mornar Bar61517%71.885.3-13.5
45 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
46 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu6060%63.283.5-20.3
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese26262919100
CSM Oradea1919162781
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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