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Varese vs Reggiana Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 116-93
39-17 31-24 25-28 21-24
Position#12
Record4-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game89.6
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#5
Record8-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game80.3
ItalyLega ARound 14· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Varese v Reggiana
01 Feb 2026
VAR61
REG76
16 Mar 2025
VAR63
REG78
29 Dec 2023
VAR116
REG93
08 Apr 2023
VAR81
REG85
24 Oct 2021
VAR67
REG106
13 Dec 2020
VAR76
REG89
22 Mar 2020
VAR v REG
upcoming
03 Mar 2019
VAR92
REG80
15 Apr 2018
VAR80
REG73
11 Dec 2016
VAR81
REG71
24 Apr 2016
VAR77
REG69
25 Oct 2014
VAR112
REG118
13 Oct 2013
VAR83
REG64
25 Nov 2012
VAR91
REG78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Reggiana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#8
W
109-104 OT
109
104
+5
109avg 83
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Scafati
#14
W
94-93
94
93
+1
92avg 83
H19/11
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
94-81
94
81
+13
94avg 83
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
L
73-116
73
116
-43
55avg 83
A26/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
68-75
68
75
-7
59avg 83
H03/12
Lega A
Chemnitz
#2
L
85-109
85
109
-24
72avg 83
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#15
L
81-86
81
86
-5
71avg 83
A10/12
Lega A
Leiden
#14
L
79-82
79
82
-3
74avg 83
H13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
70-74
70
74
-4
64avg 83
H17/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 83
A23/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
26-23
26-24
24-21
20-25
29-30
25-17
20-21
16-16
32-21
21-14
25-30
11-33
22-31
15-27
25-25
16-18
16-12
22-26
14-19
16-35
25-27
29-18
15-29
21-27
12-13
26-17
22-29
18-19
27-20
21-19
13-24
18-17
21-22
18-17
13-18
18-21
19-24
24-21
27-15
174.2Avg total
84.1Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.889.6172.5-6.831%
Season at home (7)81.081.1162.1-0.143%
Season away (6)85.099.5184.5-14.517%
Last 10 (10)84.190.1174.2-6.040%
Last 5 (5)80.686.4167.0-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.3102.3182.7-22.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)86.787.5174.1-0.840%
vs Weaker (8)92.884.0176.8+8.888%
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReggiana
Date
Competition
Cremona
#11
W
95-91
95
91
+4
86avg 73
A21/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
90-83
90
83
+7
84avg 73
H29/10
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
88-98
88
98
-10
70avg 73
A05/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
95-82
95
82
+13
89avg 73
H12/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
77-90
77
90
-13
69avg 73
H19/11
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
70-90
70
90
-20
60avg 73
A26/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
101-68
101
68
+33
96avg 73
H02/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
89-87
89
87
+2
75avg 73
A10/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
70-77
70
77
-7
57avg 73
H16/12
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
77-59
77
59
+18
78avg 73
H23/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
23-25
27-22
18-20
26-23
20-20
23-15
21-25
19-28
20-22
20-22
29-26
29-30
19-18
21-10
26-24
25-24
16-13
17-28
19-25
21-34
16-20
16-21
17-15
29-18
22-20
19-14
31-16
31-18
19-26
25-25
14-18
22-23
16-19
25-19
7-16
18-21
18-13
18-14
23-11
167.7Avg total
85.2Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.080.3164.3+3.762%
Season at home (7)85.076.6161.6+8.471%
Season away (6)82.884.7167.5-1.850%
Last 10 (10)85.282.5167.7+2.760%
Last 5 (5)81.476.2157.6+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.574.5143.0-6.025%
vs Similar ◀ (20)80.380.5160.9-0.250%
vs Weaker (6)86.273.0159.2+13.283%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
VareseReggiana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Scafati
#14
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H19/11
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
L
33-64
33
64
-31
A26/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H03/12
Lega A
Chemnitz
#2
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#15
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A10/12
Lega A
Leiden
#14
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H17/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A23/12
Lega A
85.5Avg total
39.8Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.344.988.2-1.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.642.788.3+2.950%-
Last 30 away (16)41.246.888.1-5.619%-
Last 10 (10)39.845.785.5-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.045.084.0-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.554.094.5-13.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.244.286.4-2.033%-
vs Weaker (8)48.440.188.5+8.262%-
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#11
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A21/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H29/10
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A05/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H12/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H19/11
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A26/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H02/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A10/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H16/12
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H23/12
Lega A
87.5Avg total
43.6Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.280.4+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.238.179.3+3.167%-
Last 30 away (15)39.342.281.5-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)43.643.987.5-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.484.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.238.272.5-4.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)40.241.181.3-0.950%-
vs Weaker (6)44.538.382.8+6.267%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.216.2
53.6%
53.1%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.2
34.7%
35.7%33.6
🏀 Free throws22.817.3
75.9%
76.3%17.3
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.8
52.7%
53.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.711.1
38.7%
35.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws15.311.7
76.5%
76.3%11.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLLLLLLWWW
Reggiana
WLWWLLWLWW
#12
League position
#5
-7.5
Net rating
+3.9
104.1
Offensive rating
111.0
111.6
Defensive rating
107.0
52.8%
Effective FG%
55.0%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
17.7%
Turnover %
15.8%
18.5%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.7%
3-point %
38.7%
56.2%
Assist %
52.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 111.0Defence111.6 · 107.0Shooting52.8% · 55.0%3-point %34.7% · 38.7%Ball care17.7% · 15.8%Off. rebounds18.5% · 24.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Varese   ■ Reggiana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Varese wins
6
Reggiana wins
DateGameScore
08/04/23Varese v Reggiana81-85
22/10/22Reggiana v Varese81-87
18/02/22Reggiana v Varese82-84
24/10/21Varese v Reggiana67-106
11/04/21Reggiana v Varese95-77
13/12/20Varese v Reggiana76-89
23/11/19Reggiana v Varese81-74
03/03/19Varese v Reggiana92-80
04/11/18Reggiana v Varese74-68
15/04/18Varese v Reggiana80-73
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23APesaro88-81
17/12/23HOlimpia Milano70-74
13/12/23HLeiden79-82
10/12/23ABrindisi81-86
06/12/23AChemnitz85-109
03/12/23HCremona68-75
26/11/23ABrescia73-116
22/11/23ATSU94-81
19/11/23HScafati94-93
15/11/23AGottingen109-104 OT
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HSassari77-59
16/12/23HBrescia70-77
10/12/23ABasket Napoli89-87
02/12/23HPesaro101-68
26/11/23AVenezia70-90
19/11/23HTortona77-90
12/11/23HPistoia95-82
05/11/23ATrento88-98
29/10/23HTreviso90-83
21/10/23ACremona95-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW31%
HomeLWWLL43%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%43%17%
Points / game82.881.085.0
Allowed / game89.681.199.5
Point differential-6.8-0.1-14.5
Avg total172.5162.1184.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)40% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Reggiana
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%71%50%
Points / game84.085.082.8
Allowed / game80.376.684.7
Point differential+3.7+8.4-1.8
Avg total164.3161.6167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1310377%87.475.5+11.8
2 Venezia1310377%82.077.4+4.6
3 Virtus Bologna139469%88.177.8+10.3
4 Trento139469%86.482.2+4.2
5 Olimpia Milano138562%79.874.8+5.1
6 Reggiana138562%84.080.3+3.7
7 Basket Napoli137654%86.182.9+3.2
8 Cremona136746%82.580.9+1.5
9 Scafati136746%87.388.5-1.2
10 Pistoia136746%79.081.2-2.2
11 Pesaro135838%80.886.5-5.6
12 Tortona135838%77.283.0-5.8
13 Sassari135838%75.585.0-9.5
14 Treviso134931%79.582.7-3.2
15 Varese134931%82.889.6-6.8
16 Brindisi1321115%73.083.2-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese39312521116
Reggiana1724282493
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