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TSU vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 81-94
16-16 21-32 14-21 30-25
Position#41
Record1-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Varese 🏆
Position#7
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game97.8
Allowed / game89.6
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 6· Olympic Palace
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TSU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TSULast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTSU
Date
Competition
Benfica
#28
L
62-122
62
122
-60
52avg 78
A25/09
Champions League
Gottingen
#8
L
81-86
81
86
-5
80avg 78
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CIU
#5
W
89-85
89
85
+4
79avg 78
A21/10
Superleague
Keravnos
#38
W
63-60
63
60
+3
57avg 78
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Orbi
#6
W
99-86
99
86
+13
98avg 78
H28/10
Superleague
Varese
#7
L
83-109
83
109
-26
72avg 78
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#8
L
85-86
85
86
-1
80avg 78
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rashi
#10
W
97-78
97
78
+19
103avg 78
H11/11
Superleague
Keravnos
#38
L
79-84
79
84
-5
76avg 78
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rustavi
#11
W
83-82
83
82
+1
79avg 78
A19/11
Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
17-32
18-36
12-29
20-12
13-28
25-21
23-25
18-22
27-24
21-22
23-17
11-16
15-22
17-7
20-15
27-24
29-24
23-17
20-21
16-37
17-34
31-17
19-21
14-18
23-25
18-22
30-21
27-19
22-22
25-20
23-17
21-28
17-18
18-22
23-16
22-29
21-23
27-13
13-17
169.9Avg total
82.1Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.285.0163.2-6.820%
Season at home (2)74.073.0147.0+1.050%
Season away (3)81.093.0174.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)82.187.8169.9-5.750%
Last 5 (5)85.487.8173.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)83.093.7176.7-10.70%
vs Similar (10)83.081.7164.7+1.370%
vs Weaker (16)89.281.9171.1+7.488%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#38
W
95-80
95
80
+15
99avg 85
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
84-85
84
85
-1
74avg 85
H22/10
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
L
79-91
79
91
-12
73avg 85
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
88-102
88
102
-14
78avg 85
A29/10
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
109-83
109
83
+26
110avg 85
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#8
W
90-79
90
79
+11
88avg 85
H05/11
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
97-90
97
90
+7
93avg 85
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
L
96-97
96
97
-1
96avg 85
A11/11
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
W
109-104 OT
109
104
+5
109avg 85
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Scafati
#14
W
94-93
94
93
+1
92avg 85
H19/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
28-16
15-25
29-24
28-17
16-25
23-24
17-19
17-24
25-26
15-22
22-19
23-35
29-23
10-21
26-23
37-16
34-17
17-31
21-19
28-17
24-23
19-22
19-17
28-22
21-20
21-19
27-29
18-22
27-19
21-22
30-34
15-23
26-23
26-24
24-21
20-25
29-30
25-17
20-21
184.5Avg total
94.1Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)97.889.6187.4+8.280%
Season at home (3)95.088.0183.0+7.067%
Season away (2)102.092.0194.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)94.190.4184.5+3.760%
Last 5 (5)97.292.6189.8+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.2100.5182.8-18.20%
vs Similar (16)87.289.2176.4-2.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)98.889.2188.0+9.5100%
This opponent (TSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
TSUVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#28
L
32-57
32
57
-25
A25/09
Champions League
Gottingen
#8
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CIU
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A21/10
Superleague
Keravnos
#38
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Orbi
#6
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H28/10
Superleague
Varese
#7
L
33-71
33
71
-38
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#8
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rashi
#10
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H11/11
Superleague
Keravnos
#38
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rustavi
#11
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A19/11
Superleague
87.4Avg total
39.2Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.943.983.8-4.043%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.841.483.2+0.462%-
Last 30 away (17)38.545.984.4-7.429%-
Last 10 (10)39.248.287.4-9.020%-
Last 5 (5)40.050.690.6-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)34.351.385.7-17.00%-
vs Similar (10)40.444.084.4-3.640%-
vs Weaker (16)41.141.782.8-0.656%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#38
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H22/10
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A29/10
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
71-33
71
33
+38
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#8
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H05/11
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A11/11
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Scafati
#14
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H19/11
Lega A
93.4Avg total
49.6Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.746.492.1-0.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.745.493.1+2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)43.747.591.1-3.813%-
Last 10 (10)49.643.893.4+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)47.244.892.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.851.094.8-7.20%-
vs Similar (16)44.246.090.2-1.831%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)52.246.298.5+6.050%-
This opponent (TSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
TSUtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

TSU: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.323.4
51.7%
52.2%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.9
30.1%
33.8%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.913.6
72.0%
73.0%13.6
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 93.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.718.1
57.1%
52.2%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.613.6
38.2%
33.8%40.8
🏀 Free throws20.316.3
80.3%
73.0%16.3
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
TSU
WLWLLWWWLL
Varese
WWLWWWLLLW
#41
League position
#7
-7.4
Net rating
+4.5
102.0
Offensive rating
112.8
109.4
Defensive rating
108.3
49.5%
Effective FG%
57.2%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
18.4%
Turnover %
16.7%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.1%
3-point %
38.2%
70.0%
Assist %
69.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 112.8Defence109.4 · 108.3Shooting49.5% · 57.2%3-point %30.1% · 38.2%Ball care18.4% · 16.7%Off. rebounds28.6% · 22.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ TSU   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
TSU wins
1
Varese wins
DateGameScore
02/11/23Varese v TSU109-83
TSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23ARustavi83-82
15/11/23AKeravnos79-84
11/11/23HRashi97-78
08/11/23HGottingen85-86
02/11/23AVarese83-109
28/10/23HOrbi99-86
25/10/23HKeravnos63-60
21/10/23ACIU89-85
18/10/23AGottingen81-86
25/09/23ABenfica62-122
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23HScafati94-93
15/11/23AGottingen109-104 OT
11/11/23ABasket Napoli96-97
08/11/23HKeravnos97-90
05/11/23HSassari90-79
02/11/23HTSU109-83
29/10/23AVenezia88-102
25/10/23HGottingen79-91
22/10/23HTrento84-85
18/10/23AKeravnos95-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TSU
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game78.274.081.0
Allowed / game85.073.093.0
Point differential-6.8+1.0-12.0
Avg total163.2147.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game97.895.0102.0
Allowed / game89.688.092.0
Point differential+8.2+7.0+10.0
Avg total187.4183.0194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz550100%91.068.4+22.6
2 Bilbao550100%85.468.0+17.4
3 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
4 Legia550100%84.873.2+11.6
5 Balkan330100%84.775.7+9.0
6 Manisa76186%83.075.3+7.7
7 Nymburk65183%91.278.7+12.5
8 Basket Zaragoza65183%84.377.0+7.3
9 Bahcesehir Kol.54180%88.879.2+9.6
10 Varese54180%97.889.6+8.2
11 Leiden54180%61.454.6+6.8
12 Gottingen54180%91.485.0+6.4
13 Rostock86275%87.277.4+9.9
14 FC Porto75271%86.479.6+6.9
15 Gravelines-Dunkerque32167%75.357.3+18.0
16 Jonava64267%90.384.0+6.3
17 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
18 CSM Oradea53260%88.882.6+6.2
19 Caledonia Gladiators53260%74.479.4-5.0
20 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
21 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
22 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%73.875.2-1.5
23 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
24 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
25 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
26 Sabah Baku94544%77.783.6-5.9
27 Anwil Wloclawek52340%77.067.6+9.4
28 Levice52340%73.277.6-4.4
29 AEK Larnaca52340%77.682.4-4.8
30 Spojnia Stargard52340%77.083.6-6.6
31 Trepca52340%66.676.6-10.0
32 Peja52340%81.693.8-12.2
33 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
34 Sporting CP31233%85.088.7-3.7
35 Keravnos72529%80.982.4-1.6
36 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
37 Brindisi41325%77.881.8-4.0
38 Bakken Bears51420%83.286.0-2.8
39 Den Bosch51420%82.686.4-3.8
40 TSU51420%78.285.0-6.8
41 Karhu Basket51420%82.891.8-9.0
42 Mornar Bar51420%72.681.8-9.2
43 Norrkoping51420%67.880.2-12.4
44 Kataja71614%76.385.3-9.0
45 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
46 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu5050%61.683.4-21.8
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
TSU1621143081
Varese1632212594
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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