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Varese vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 68-75
16-18 16-12 22-26 14-19
Position#12
Record3-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game94.3
vs
Cremona 🏆
Italy
Position#11
Record4-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game85.2
ItalyLega ARound 10· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Varese v Cremona
26 Apr 2026
VAR84
CRE75
06 Apr 2025
VAR85
CRE87
03 Dec 2023
VAR68
CRE75
06 Mar 2022
VAR90
CRE78
12 Sep 2021
VAR86
CRE78
07 Feb 2021
VAR110
CRE105
13 Apr 2020
VAR v CRE
upcoming
17 Mar 2019
VAR83
CRE64
06 May 2018
VAR89
CRE79
30 Apr 2017
VAR78
CRE75
23 Dec 2015
VAR87
CRE82
22 Mar 2015
VAR86
CRE82
27 Apr 2014
VAR78
CRE70
30 Dec 2012
VAR94
CRE84
29 Apr 2012
VAR78
CRE66
06 Mar 2011
VAR76
CRE71
08 May 2010
VAR98
CRE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#8
L
79-91
79
91
-12
73avg 84
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
88-102
88
102
-14
78avg 84
A29/10
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
109-83
109
83
+26
110avg 84
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#8
W
90-79
90
79
+11
88avg 84
H05/11
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
97-90
97
90
+7
93avg 84
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
L
96-97
96
97
-1
96avg 84
A11/11
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
W
109-104 OT
109
104
+5
109avg 84
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Scafati
#14
W
94-93
94
93
+1
92avg 84
H19/11
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
94-81
94
81
+13
94avg 84
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
L
73-116
73
116
-43
55avg 84
A26/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
25-26
15-22
22-19
23-35
29-23
10-21
26-23
37-16
34-17
17-31
21-19
28-17
24-23
19-22
19-17
28-22
21-20
21-19
27-29
18-22
27-19
21-22
30-34
15-23
26-23
26-24
24-21
20-25
29-30
25-17
20-21
16-16
32-21
21-14
25-30
11-33
22-31
15-27
25-25
186.5Avg total
92.9Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.694.3179.9-8.833%
Season at home (5)85.883.8169.6+2.060%
Season away (4)85.2107.5192.8-22.20%
Last 10 (10)92.993.6186.5-0.760%
Last 5 (5)93.298.2191.4-5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.4103.6184.0-23.20%
vs Similar ◀ (14)87.489.5176.9-2.143%
vs Weaker (9)98.288.3186.6+9.9100%
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Forli
#2
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
H19/06
Serie A2
Trento
#6
L
84-91
84
91
-7
74avg 80
A30/09
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
86-74
86
74
+12
77avg 80
H08/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
76-79
76
79
-3
64avg 80
A14/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
91-95
91
95
-4
94avg 80
H21/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
122-112 OT
122
112
+10
no box
A29/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
93-83
93
83
+10
94avg 80
H05/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
75-84
75
84
-9
70avg 80
A12/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
96-69
96
69
+27
100avg 80
H19/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
70-80
70
80
-10
67avg 80
A26/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-9
29-18
23-23
14-24
20-33
22-19
24-20
18-19
17-21
19-16
26-18
24-19
19-28
14-15
22-14
21-22
24-27
25-23
22-27
20-18
21-25
14-28
31-11
21-23
21-23
25-14
25-15
22-31
13-25
22-15
25-25
15-19
26-17
27-16
20-23
23-13
18-12
16-23
15-14
21-31
172.3Avg total
88.2Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)88.185.2173.3+2.944%
Season at home (4)91.580.2171.8+11.275%
Season away (5)85.489.2174.6-3.820%
Last 10 (10)88.284.1172.3+4.150%
Last 5 (5)91.285.6176.8+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.083.5167.5+0.550%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.178.4157.5+0.746%
vs Weaker (15)85.273.8159.0+11.487%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
VareseCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#8
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A29/10
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
71-33
71
33
+38
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#8
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H05/11
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A11/11
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Scafati
#14
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H19/11
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
L
33-64
33
64
-31
A26/11
Lega A
94.8Avg total
48.2Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.146.791.9-1.630%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.045.993.9+2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)42.647.490.1-4.819%-
Last 10 (10)48.246.694.8+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.248.691.8-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.653.695.2-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.646.089.6-2.429%-
vs Weaker (9)51.845.297.0+6.656%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forli
#2
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H19/06
Serie A2
Trento
#6
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A30/09
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H08/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A14/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H21/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A29/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H05/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H19/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A26/11
Lega A
82.2Avg total
41.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.238.078.2+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.938.181.0+4.760%-
Last 30 away (15)37.537.975.5-0.440%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.782.2+0.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.680.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.538.579.0+2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.339.579.8+0.831%-
vs Weaker (15)40.136.776.8+3.367%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.217.9
57.4%
53.1%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.113.3
36.8%
35.7%39.9
🏀 Free throws21.516.4
76.3%
76.3%16.4
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.220.5
61.7%
53.1%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.0
37.3%
35.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws15.210.9
71.7%
76.3%10.9
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWWWLWWWLL
Cremona
LWLWWLLWLW
#12
League position
#11
-0.8
Net rating
-2.5
109.6
Offensive rating
114.9
110.4
Defensive rating
117.4
56.2%
Effective FG%
59.2%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
17.3%
Turnover %
19.4%
21.0%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.8%
3-point %
37.3%
67.0%
Assist %
61.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 114.9Defence110.4 · 117.4Shooting56.2% · 59.2%3-point %36.8% · 37.3%Ball care17.3% · 19.4%Off. rebounds21.0% · 28.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Varese   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Varese wins
5
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
06/03/22Varese v Cremona90-78
17/10/21Cremona v Varese94-78
12/09/21Varese v Cremona86-78
06/09/21Cremona v Varese80-70
07/02/21Varese v Cremona110-105 OT
17/10/20Cremona v Varese80-67
21/12/19Cremona v Varese93-72
17/03/19Varese v Cremona83-64
14/02/19Cremona v Varese82-73
18/11/18Cremona v Varese79-82
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23ABrescia73-116
22/11/23ATSU94-81
19/11/23HScafati94-93
15/11/23AGottingen109-104 OT
11/11/23ABasket Napoli96-97
08/11/23HKeravnos97-90
05/11/23HSassari90-79
02/11/23HTSU109-83
29/10/23AVenezia88-102
25/10/23HGottingen79-91
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23ABasket Napoli70-80
19/11/23HPesaro96-69
12/11/23ABrescia75-84
05/11/23HVirtus Bologna93-83
29/10/23AScafati122-112 OT
21/10/23HReggiana91-95
14/10/23AVenezia76-79
08/10/23HSassari86-74
30/09/23ATrento84-91
19/06/23HForli89-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%60%0%
Points / game85.685.885.2
Allowed / game94.383.8107.5
Point differential-8.8+2.0-22.2
Avg total179.9169.6192.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cremona
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL44%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game88.191.585.4
Allowed / game85.280.289.2
Point differential+2.9+11.2-3.8
Avg total173.3171.8174.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%75%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia108280%87.876.1+11.7
2 Virtus Bologna97278%87.978.2+9.7
3 Basket Napoli107370%85.379.7+5.6
4 Trento107370%85.781.4+4.3
5 Venezia107370%81.279.2+2.0
6 Reggiana106460%85.682.1+3.5
7 Tortona95456%78.079.4-1.4
8 Olimpia Milano105550%80.877.1+3.7
9 Pistoia105550%78.479.4-1.0
10 Cremona94544%88.185.2+2.9
11 Scafati104640%88.288.5-0.3
12 Pesaro104640%82.287.6-5.4
13 Sassari104640%77.483.7-6.3
14 Varese93633%85.694.3-8.8
15 Treviso101910%78.985.9-7.0
16 Brindisi101910%68.481.3-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1616221468
Cremona1812261975
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