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Brindisi vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 86-81
27-21 13-12 17-26 29-22
Position#15
Record1-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Position#12
Record3-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game92.4
ItalyLega ARound 11· PalaPentassuglia
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Brindisi v Varese
10 Dec 2023
BRI86
VAR81
08 Jan 2023
BRI90
VAR104
03 Apr 2022
BRI72
VAR75
10 May 2021
BRI108
VAR84
01 Mar 2020
BRI v VAR
upcoming
24 Mar 2019
BRI81
VAR77
02 Jan 2018
BRI95
VAR90
12 Feb 2017
BRI80
VAR58
29 Nov 2015
BRI80
VAR74
06 Dec 2014
BRI69
VAR71
02 Mar 2014
BRI96
VAR70
30 Sep 2012
BRI110
VAR118
27 Feb 2011
BRI96
VAR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brindisi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#7
L
71-90
71
90
-19
56avg 70
A22/10
Lega A
BC Kalev/Cramo
#20
L
70-76
70
76
-6
59avg 70
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Pistoia
#10
L
72-78
72
78
-6
62avg 70
H29/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
57-87
57
87
-30
47avg 70
H05/11
Lega A
Basket Zaragoza
#11
L
72-91
72
91
-19
62avg 70
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
71-79
71
79
-8
62avg 70
A12/11
Lega A
BC Kalev/Cramo
#20
W
82-69
82
69
+13
76avg 70
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
71-81
71
81
-10
62avg 70
A18/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
83-75
83
75
+8
83avg 70
H26/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
60-86
60
86
-26
37avg 70
A03/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
15-26
16-25
26-18
16-13
15-24
21-23
18-16
18-18
18-19
20-23
16-18
8-15
20-21
11-28
18-23
18-25
12-19
27-27
15-20
24-21
14-27
22-11
11-20
25-20
19-16
17-16
21-17
9-19
21-28
20-13
21-21
24-13
16-26
30-18
13-18
5-23
18-22
19-14
18-27
152.1Avg total
70.9Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)68.481.3149.7-12.910%
Season at home (5)68.681.6150.2-13.020%
Season away (5)68.281.0149.2-12.80%
Last 10 (10)70.981.2152.1-10.320%
Last 5 (5)73.478.0151.4-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)75.890.0165.8-14.28%
vs Similar ◀ (13)75.577.8153.4-2.323%
vs Weaker (4)91.078.5169.5+12.575%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
TSU
#41
W
109-83
109
83
+26
110avg 83
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#8
W
90-79
90
79
+11
88avg 83
H05/11
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
97-90
97
90
+7
93avg 83
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
L
96-97
96
97
-1
96avg 83
A11/11
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
W
109-104 OT
109
104
+5
109avg 83
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Scafati
#14
W
94-93
94
93
+1
92avg 83
H19/11
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
94-81
94
81
+13
94avg 83
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
L
73-116
73
116
-43
55avg 83
A26/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
68-75
68
75
-7
59avg 83
H03/12
Lega A
Chemnitz
#2
L
85-109
85
109
-24
72avg 83
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-16
34-17
17-31
21-19
28-17
24-23
19-22
19-17
28-22
21-20
21-19
27-29
18-22
27-19
21-22
30-34
15-23
26-23
26-24
24-21
20-25
29-30
25-17
20-21
16-16
32-21
21-14
25-30
11-33
22-31
15-27
25-25
16-18
16-12
22-26
14-19
16-35
25-27
29-18
15-29
184.2Avg total
91.5Scored
92.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.892.4176.2-8.630%
Season at home (6)82.882.3165.2+0.550%
Season away (4)85.2107.5192.8-22.20%
Last 10 (10)91.592.7184.2-1.260%
Last 5 (5)82.894.8177.6-12.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.4108.0190.4-25.60%
vs Similar ◀ (15)86.188.5174.7-2.440%
vs Weaker (9)98.288.3186.6+9.9100%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.4-2.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.4-2.4
BrindisiVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#7
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A22/10
Lega A
BC Kalev/Cramo
#20
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Pistoia
#10
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H29/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H05/11
Lega A
Basket Zaragoza
#11
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A12/11
Lega A
BC Kalev/Cramo
#20
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A18/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H26/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A03/12
Lega A
74.5Avg total
32.9Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.442.681.0-4.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.940.179.9-0.253%-
Last 30 away (15)36.945.282.1-8.313%-
Last 10 (10)32.941.674.5-8.720%-
Last 5 (5)35.043.078.0-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.847.284.9-9.417%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.439.075.4-2.638%-
vs Weaker (4)45.843.589.2+2.250%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TSU
#41
W
71-33
71
33
+38
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#8
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H05/11
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A11/11
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Scafati
#14
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H19/11
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
L
33-64
33
64
-31
A26/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H03/12
Lega A
Chemnitz
#2
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
91.1Avg total
46.1Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.946.891.7-1.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.144.991.9+2.250%-
Last 30 away (16)43.048.691.6-5.619%-
Last 10 (10)46.145.091.1+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.649.690.2-9.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.857.097.8-16.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.844.987.7-2.133%-
vs Weaker (9)51.845.297.0+6.656%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.814.7
43.5%
53.1%29.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.4
30.9%
35.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.415.1
82.1%
76.3%15.1
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 90.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.616.7
58.4%
53.1%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.913.2
36.8%
35.7%39.6
🏀 Free throws23.717.9
75.5%
76.3%17.9
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 56% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brindisi
LWLWLLLLLL
Varese
LLLWWWLWWW
#15
League position
#12
-14.8
Net rating
-1.2
94.6
Offensive rating
109.8
109.4
Defensive rating
111.0
44.8%
Effective FG%
56.6%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
19.1%
Turnover %
17.4%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
19.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.37
30.9%
3-point %
36.8%
55.0%
Assist %
64.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.6 · 109.8Defence109.4 · 111.0Shooting44.8% · 56.6%3-point %30.9% · 36.8%Ball care19.1% · 17.4%Off. rebounds24.6% · 19.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Brindisi   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brindisi wins
7
Varese wins
DateGameScore
19/04/23Varese v Brindisi93-86
08/01/23Brindisi v Varese90-104
03/04/22Brindisi v Varese72-75
07/11/21Varese v Brindisi71-84
10/05/21Brindisi v Varese108-84
04/02/21Varese v Brindisi76-74
27/10/19Varese v Brindisi102-78
24/03/19Brindisi v Varese81-77
25/11/18Varese v Brindisi85-67
29/04/18Varese v Brindisi69-65
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23ATreviso60-86
26/11/23HVirtus Bologna83-75
18/11/23ATrento71-81
15/11/23HBC Kalev/Cramo82-69
12/11/23AVenezia71-79
08/11/23ABasket Zaragoza72-91
05/11/23HOlimpia Milano57-87
29/10/23HPistoia72-78
25/10/23ABC Kalev/Cramo70-76
22/10/23ABasket Napoli71-90
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23AChemnitz85-109
03/12/23HCremona68-75
26/11/23ABrescia73-116
22/11/23ATSU94-81
19/11/23HScafati94-93
15/11/23AGottingen109-104 OT
11/11/23ABasket Napoli96-97
08/11/23HKeravnos97-90
05/11/23HSassari90-79
02/11/23HTSU109-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brindisi
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL10%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %10%20%0%
Points / game68.468.668.2
Allowed / game81.381.681.0
Point differential-12.9-13.0-12.8
Avg total149.7150.2149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL30%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %30%50%0%
Points / game83.882.885.2
Allowed / game92.482.3107.5
Point differential-8.6+0.5-22.2
Avg total176.2165.2192.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia119282%89.875.1+14.7
2 Virtus Bologna118373%88.277.8+10.4
3 Trento118373%85.880.7+5.1
4 Venezia118373%81.477.4+4.0
5 Basket Napoli117464%85.580.5+4.9
6 Reggiana117464%85.982.5+3.4
7 Olimpia Milano116555%80.977.4+3.5
8 Pistoia116555%80.481.0-0.6
9 Cremona115645%85.382.8+2.5
10 Tortona115645%79.083.1-4.1
11 Scafati114736%85.588.0-2.5
12 Pesaro114736%81.587.5-6.1
13 Sassari114736%76.386.1-9.8
14 Varese103730%83.892.4-8.6
15 Treviso112918%78.684.5-5.8
16 Brindisi101910%68.481.3-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brindisi2713172986
Varese2112262281
← all games of the day
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