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Varese vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 99-69
34-19 24-20 21-15 20-15
Position#10
Record4-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game79.7
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#15
Record5-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game81.2
ItalyLega ARound 11
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Varese v Virtus Roma
15 Nov 2020
VAR98
VRO88
01 Dec 2019
VAR99
VRO69
08 Mar 2015
VAR78
VRO73
12 Jan 2014
VAR78
VRO86
01 Apr 2013
VAR81
VRO58
12 Feb 2012
VAR76
VRO78
27 Mar 2011
VAR84
VRO78
20 Dec 2009
VAR67
VRO84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
72-84
72
84
-12
56avg 106
A12/05
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
52-74
52
74
-22
35avg 106
H26/09
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
92-62
92
62
+30
88avg 106
A29/09
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
83-60
83
60
+23
75avg 106
H06/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-87
80
87
-7
66avg 106
A19/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
102-78
102
78
+24
no box
H27/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
69-93
69
93
-24
no box
A03/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-91
74
91
-17
58avg 106
A10/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
no box
H17/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
74-81
74
81
-7
66avg 106
A23/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
18-28
22-22
13-17
15-15
9-25
17-17
11-17
29-13
25-12
12-20
26-17
17-15
32-16
21-15
13-14
22-21
12-19
21-17
25-30
26-19
24-17
27-23
25-19
14-26
16-20
15-28
24-19
21-18
14-25
19-23
20-25
24-14
17-14
12-20
22-27
20-23
28-20
13-18
13-20
159.2Avg total
79.1Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.979.7159.6+0.244%
Season at home (4)82.575.8158.2+6.875%
Season away (5)77.882.8160.6-5.020%
Last 10 (10)79.180.1159.2-1.040%
Last 5 (5)82.486.8169.2-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.784.0152.7-15.30%
vs Similar (12)83.084.2167.2-1.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)80.973.5154.4+7.464%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoma
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
67-74
67
74
-7
58avg 71
A25/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
63-87
63
87
-24
53avg 71
H29/09
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
97-94
97
94
+3
96avg 71
H06/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
81-67
81
67
+14
74avg 71
A12/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
79-65
79
65
+14
no box
H20/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
no box
H27/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
72-108
72
108
-36
67avg 71
A02/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
76-74
76
74
+2
72avg 71
A10/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
92-83
92
83
+9
83avg 71
H17/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
69-81
69
81
-12
64avg 71
H24/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
13-23
23-24
15-10
14-27
13-16
22-26
14-18
23-26
27-23
21-23
26-22
22-19
19-16
24-17
16-15
21-16
20-20
20-9
18-20
29-16
14-14
15-32
15-17
24-25
11-32
18-31
19-20
23-19
17-28
24-13
12-14
24-20
20-20
23-22
25-21
13-25
22-25
20-14
14-17
158.1Avg total
76.9Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.981.2158.1-4.350%
Season at home (6)78.881.5160.3-2.750%
Season away (4)74.080.8154.8-6.850%
Last 10 (10)76.981.2158.1-4.350%
Last 5 (5)76.485.0161.4-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.384.2161.5-6.930%
vs Similar (10)79.276.2155.4+3.060%
vs Weaker (10)90.680.6171.2+10.080%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
VareseVirtus Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A12/05
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H26/09
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
54-25
54
25
+29
A29/09
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H06/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A19/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H27/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A03/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A10/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H17/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A23/11
Lega A
77.9Avg total
40.2Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.437.377.8+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.534.875.3+5.779%-
Last 30 away (16)40.439.679.9+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)40.237.777.9+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.280.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.041.072.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (12)43.239.782.9+3.675%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.134.174.1+6.071%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A25/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H29/09
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H06/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A12/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H20/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H27/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A02/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A10/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H17/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H24/11
Lega A
81.2Avg total
38.5Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.681.9+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.039.381.3+2.775%-
Last 30 away (14)40.542.082.5-1.536%-
Last 10 (10)38.542.781.2-4.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.444.884.2-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.143.181.2-5.040%-
vs Similar (10)40.438.679.0+1.850%-
vs Weaker (10)45.440.085.4+5.480%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.416.3
50.3%
52.0%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.111.3
35.2%
35.1%33.9
🏀 Free throws16.412.0
73.2%
73.6%12.0
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.9
51.0%
52.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.27.4
34.9%
35.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.312.3
71.1%
73.6%12.3
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWLLWLWWLL
Virtus Roma
LWWLLWWWLL
#10
League position
#15
+2.6
Net rating
-5.2
114.9
Offensive rating
106.5
112.3
Defensive rating
111.6
51.6%
Effective FG%
51.4%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
15.1%
Turnover %
19.6%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.2%
3-point %
34.9%
47.5%
Assist %
53.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 106.5Defence112.3 · 111.6Shooting51.6% · 51.4%3-point %35.2% · 34.9%Ball care15.1% · 19.6%Off. rebounds33.9% · 34.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Varese   ■ Virtus Roma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Varese wins
5
Virtus Roma wins
DateGameScore
08/03/15Varese v Virtus Roma78-73 OT
16/11/14Virtus Roma v Varese87-78
11/05/14Virtus Roma v Varese99-90
12/01/14Varese v Virtus Roma78-86
01/04/13Varese v Virtus Roma81-58
09/02/13Virtus Roma v Varese71-81
02/12/12Virtus Roma v Varese91-87
12/02/12Varese v Virtus Roma76-78
30/10/11Virtus Roma v Varese74-76 OT
27/03/11Varese v Virtus Roma84-78
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/19AReggiana74-81
17/11/19HVenezia93-91 OT
10/11/19ABrescia74-91
03/11/19AOlimpia Milano69-93
27/10/19HBrindisi102-78
19/10/19AVirtus Bologna80-87
06/10/19HFortitudo Bologna83-60
29/09/19ATrieste92-62
26/09/19HSassari52-74
12/05/19AVirtus Bologna72-84
Virtus Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/19HTreviso69-81
17/11/19HPesaro92-83
10/11/19ACantu76-74
02/11/19ASassari72-108
27/10/19HOlimpia Milano73-79
20/10/19HFortitudo Bologna79-65
12/10/19APistoia81-67
06/10/19HCremona97-94
29/09/19HBrindisi63-87
25/09/19AVirtus Bologna67-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL44%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game79.982.577.8
Allowed / game79.775.882.8
Point differential+0.2+6.8-5.0
Avg total159.6158.2160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %11%25%0%
Virtus Roma
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game76.978.874.0
Allowed / game81.281.580.8
Point differential-4.3-2.7-6.8
Avg total158.1160.3154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%17%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna990100%83.675.2+8.3
2 Brindisi107370%83.978.8+5.1
3 Sassari96367%81.770.8+10.9
4 Brescia106460%83.575.3+8.2
5 Olimpia Milano106460%82.074.1+7.9
6 Fortitudo Bologna106460%76.978.6-1.7
7 Reggiana95456%81.178.9+2.2
8 Cremona95456%78.080.2-2.2
9 Venezia105550%74.871.9+2.9
10 Treviso105550%77.476.4+1.0
11 Trento105550%78.679.8-1.2
12 Virtus Roma105550%76.981.2-4.3
13 Varese94544%79.979.7+0.2
14 Cantu93633%71.275.8-4.6
15 Trieste92722%72.980.4-7.6
16 Pistoia102820%71.883.4-11.6
17 Pesaro9090%80.194.4-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese3424212099
Virtus Roma1920151569
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