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Flamengo vs Vasco Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 84-78
16-19 16-22 29-15 23-22
Position#3
Record20-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game74.6
Flamengo 🏆
Brazil
vs
Vasco
Brazil
Position#7
Record16-12
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game75.7
BrazilNBB· Maracanãzinho
Other2024-25
Meetings · Flamengo v Vasco
14 Apr 2026
FLAM95
VASC75
27 Mar 2025
FLAM84
VASC78
26 Jan 2025
FLAM92
VASC73
08 Jan 2024
FLAM84
VASC79
10 Nov 2018
FLAM90
VASC70
30 Dec 2017
FLAM89
VASC81
11 Mar 2017
FLAM94
VASC86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#4
L
71-96
71
96
-25
55avg 81
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
110-65
110
65
+45
114avg 81
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Cearense
#17
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 81
H13/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
85-71
85
71
+14
87avg 81
H15/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
91-81
91
81
+10
92avg 81
H28/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
82-77
82
77
+5
78avg 81
A03/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
82-85
82
85
-3
81avg 81
A05/03
NBB
Paisas
#7
W
89-72
89
72
+17
68avg 81
A09/03
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
102-65
102
65
+37
101avg 81
H14/03
Champions League Americas
Minas
#1
L
70-94
70
94
-24
59avg 81
A19/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
15-32
12-28
27-12
29-19
26-17
32-13
23-16
20-21
21-19
24-17
19-22
17-22
30-19
24-17
14-13
19-12
27-22
25-22
20-25
21-20
18-19
25-17
18-21
20-15
20-22
19-21
23-27
23-19
25-24
20-17
21-12
29-12
37-21
23-17
13-15
23-27
15-20
21-22
11-25
165.1Avg total
86.6Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.774.6158.4+9.174%
Season at home (14)83.673.7157.4+9.979%
Season away (13)83.875.6159.5+8.269%
Last 10 (10)86.678.5165.1+8.170%
Last 5 (5)85.078.6163.6+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)76.080.0156.0-4.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)88.674.9163.5+13.781%
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#5
L
70-87
70
87
-17
64avg 71
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
76-74
76
74
+2
82avg 71
H14/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
75-74
75
74
+1
68avg 71
H18/01
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
73-92
73
92
-19
63avg 71
A26/01
Super 8
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
82-88
82
88
-6
76avg 71
A04/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
71-84
71
84
-13
65avg 71
A06/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
98-86
98
86
+12
104avg 71
H14/02
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
104-82
104
82
+22
114avg 71
H28/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
88-78
88
78
+10
90avg 71
H08/03
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
80-66
80
66
+14
77avg 71
H13/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
24-25
19-17
12-18
24-21
16-18
20-23
16-12
21-18
18-14
17-23
19-19
24-29
17-14
20-20
12-29
18-26
16-11
27-24
21-27
26-23
10-13
20-26
15-22
18-19
29-24
29-21
22-22
20-20
27-25
24-21
33-16
23-15
18-16
31-17
16-30
18-20
23-13
19-19
20-14
162.8Avg total
81.7Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.175.7152.8+1.557%
Season at home (16)78.874.9153.7+3.962%
Season away (12)74.976.8151.7-1.850%
Last 10 (10)81.781.1162.8+0.660%
Last 5 (5)88.279.2167.4+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)66.770.3137.0-3.733%
vs Similar (18)78.477.8156.2+0.656%
vs Weaker (8)77.872.9150.6+4.962%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.3-2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.3-2.3
FlamengoVasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#4
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Cearense
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H13/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H15/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H28/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A03/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A05/03
NBB
Paisas
#7
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A09/03
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
66-33
66
33
+33
H14/03
Champions League Americas
Minas
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A19/03
NBB
85.8Avg total
45.2Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.539.083.6+5.567%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.936.982.8+9.078%-
Last 30 away (12)42.542.284.8+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)45.240.685.8+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)46.239.886.0+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)39.742.382.0-2.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)45.238.683.7+6.669%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#5
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H14/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H18/01
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A26/01
Super 8
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A04/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A06/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H14/02
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H28/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H08/03
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H13/03
NBB
79.6Avg total
40.5Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.735.671.3+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.535.271.7+1.459%-
Last 30 away (13)34.636.270.8-1.531%-
Last 10 (10)40.539.179.6+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.680.0+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)29.033.362.3-4.333%-
vs Similar (18)36.636.473.0+0.250%-
vs Weaker (8)35.533.869.2+1.850%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.8
56.9%
50.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.3
36.5%
33.0%33.9
🏀 Free throws17.212.1
70.3%
72.7%12.1
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.218.3
58.7%
50.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.6
34.8%
33.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws25.218.7
74.2%
72.7%18.7
They take 55.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
LWWLWWWWWL
Vasco
WWWWLLLWWL
#3
League position
#7
+10.7
Net rating
+1.1
113.1
Offensive rating
109.6
102.4
Defensive rating
108.5
55.9%
Effective FG%
55.8%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
19.3%
Turnover %
20.0%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.45
36.5%
3-point %
34.8%
59.5%
Assist %
75.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 109.6Defence102.4 · 108.5Shooting55.9% · 55.8%3-point %36.5% · 34.8%Ball care19.3% · 20.0%Off. rebounds35.3% · 24.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.45Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Flamengo   ■ Vasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Flamengo wins
1
Vasco wins
DateGameScore
26/01/25Flamengo v Vasco92-73
12/10/24Vasco v Flamengo50-59
08/01/24Flamengo v Vasco84-79
10/11/23Vasco v Flamengo65-68 OT
16/03/19Vasco v Flamengo67-107
10/11/18Flamengo v Vasco90-70
27/01/18Vasco v Flamengo75-89
30/12/17Flamengo v Vasco89-81
11/03/17Flamengo v Vasco94-86
28/01/17Vasco v Flamengo78-77
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/25AMinas70-94
14/03/25HPaisas102-65
09/03/25APaisas89-72
05/03/25ACaxias do Sul82-85
03/03/25AUniao Corinthians82-77
28/02/25HPato91-81
15/02/25HUnifacisa85-71
13/02/25HCearense84-79
11/02/25HToros del Chiriqui110-65
09/02/25ABoca Juniors71-96
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25HBotafogo80-66
08/03/25HSao Paulo88-78
28/02/25HMogi104-82
14/02/25HPato98-86
06/02/25AUniao Corinthians71-84
04/02/25ACaxias do Sul82-88
26/01/25AFlamengo73-92
18/01/25HCearense75-74
14/01/25HUnifacisa76-74
11/01/25APinheiros70-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL74%
HomeLWWWW79%
AwayLWWLL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %74%79%69%
Points / game83.783.683.8
Allowed / game74.673.775.6
Point differential+9.1+9.9+8.2
Avg total158.4157.4159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%57%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Vasco
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeWWWWW62%
AwayWLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %57%62%50%
Points / game77.178.874.9
Allowed / game75.774.976.8
Point differential+1.5+3.9-1.8
Avg total152.8153.7151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2723485%82.871.5+11.3
2 Flamengo2720774%83.774.6+9.1
3 Franca2718967%83.777.8+5.9
4 Brasilia29191066%82.580.0+2.5
5 Uniao Corinthians27161159%79.378.8+0.4
6 Vasco28161257%77.175.7+1.5
7 Bauru29161355%78.079.0-1.0
8 Pinheiros29151452%76.375.5+0.9
9 Corinthians Paulista29141548%80.679.1+1.4
10 Unifacisa29141548%75.375.6-0.2
11 Sao Jose29141548%78.178.6-0.5
12 Paulistano29131645%78.877.1+1.7
13 Pato29111838%82.784.5-1.8
14 Sao Paulo29111838%75.979.4-3.6
15 Caxias do Sul28101836%74.579.3-4.8
16 Mogi2992031%74.081.4-7.4
17 Cearense2882029%71.878.1-6.3
18 Botafogo2882029%73.081.0-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo1616292384
Vasco1922152278
← all games of the day
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