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Vasco vs Mogi Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 104-82
20-20 27-25 24-21 33-16
Position#7
Record13-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game75.7
Vasco 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#16
Record9-17
FormWLWLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game79.7
BrazilNBB· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vasco v Mogi
20 Jan 2026
VASC60
MOGI67
28 Feb 2025
VASC104
MOGI82
02 Mar 2024
VASC79
MOGI73
14 Dec 2018
VASC75
MOGI88
18 Nov 2017
VASC75
MOGI82
19 Nov 2016
VASC94
MOGI70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mogi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
W
81-63
81
63
+18
79avg 70
H23/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
69-75
69
75
-6
55avg 70
H29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
79-99
79
99
-20
72avg 70
A09/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
70-87
70
87
-17
64avg 70
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
76-74
76
74
+2
82avg 70
H14/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
75-74
75
74
+1
68avg 70
H18/01
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
73-92
73
92
-19
63avg 70
A26/01
Super 8
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
82-88
82
88
-6
76avg 70
A04/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
71-84
71
84
-13
65avg 70
A06/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
98-86
98
86
+12
104avg 70
H14/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-9
22-16
29-20
17-18
19-20
10-18
15-15
25-22
21-22
18-29
20-27
20-21
15-27
24-25
19-17
12-18
24-21
16-18
20-23
16-12
21-18
18-14
17-23
19-19
24-29
17-14
20-20
12-29
18-26
16-11
27-24
21-27
26-23
10-13
20-26
15-22
18-19
29-24
29-21
22-22
159.6Avg total
77.4Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.575.7151.2-0.252%
Season at home (13)76.174.8150.8+1.354%
Season away (12)74.976.8151.7-1.850%
Last 10 (10)77.482.2159.6-4.840%
Last 5 (5)79.884.8164.6-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.770.3137.0-3.733%
vs Similar (20)77.277.8155.0-0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)73.072.5145.5+0.550%
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Pato
#14
W
106-90
106
90
+16
101avg 64
A21/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
85-97
85
97
-12
81avg 64
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
60-81
60
81
-21
50avg 64
A29/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
63-76
63
76
-13
55avg 64
A10/01
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
89-71
89
71
+18
90avg 64
H13/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
80-69
80
69
+11
79avg 64
A17/01
NBB
Minas
#1
L
68-79
68
79
-11
58avg 64
H22/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
82avg 64
H04/02
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
62-80
62
80
-18
52avg 64
H08/02
NBB
Franca
#2
L
81-91
81
91
-10
75avg 64
H14/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-28
26-20
21-20
29-22
16-25
15-22
25-22
29-28
11-19
17-21
17-23
15-18
9-25
17-14
17-19
20-18
28-17
17-25
27-14
17-15
26-14
19-20
24-15
11-20
13-23
21-19
20-17
14-20
20-20
24-22
18-22
18-16
11-22
15-22
20-18
16-18
21-28
18-20
24-23
18-20
161.8Avg total
79.1Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)73.779.7153.4-6.135%
Season at home (14)73.479.1152.5-5.643%
Season away (12)73.980.5154.4-6.625%
Last 10 (10)79.182.7161.8-3.640%
Last 5 (5)77.682.4160.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)72.079.7151.7-7.735%
vs Similar (4)74.579.0153.5-4.525%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
VascoMogi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H23/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A09/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H14/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H18/01
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A26/01
Super 8
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A04/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A06/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H14/02
NBB
77.5Avg total
37.9Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.636.070.6-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.335.670.9-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)33.936.470.3-2.527%-
Last 10 (10)37.939.677.5-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.277.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.033.362.3-4.333%-
vs Similar (20)35.637.272.9-1.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)32.732.064.7+0.733%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#14
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A21/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A29/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A10/01
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H13/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A17/01
NBB
Minas
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H22/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H04/02
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
26-44
26
44
-18
H08/02
NBB
Franca
#2
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H14/02
NBB
80.0Avg total
37.4Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.639.473.9-4.830%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.038.273.2-3.238%-
Last 30 away (14)34.140.674.7-6.621%-
Last 10 (10)37.442.680.0-5.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.642.079.6-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)34.839.674.3-4.831%-
vs Similar (4)33.238.071.2-4.825%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.117.5
56.3%
50.9%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.87.9
28.4%
33.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws24.717.9
72.5%
72.7%17.9
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.215.8
46.2%
50.9%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.911.0
39.4%
33.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.913.7
68.8%
72.7%13.7
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
WLLLWWLLLW
Mogi
LLWLWWLLLW
#7
League position
#16
-6.8
Net rating
-4.8
104.0
Offensive rating
104.6
110.8
Defensive rating
109.4
49.8%
Effective FG%
52.0%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
18.0%
Turnover %
18.2%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.32
28.4%
3-point %
39.4%
75.6%
Assist %
67.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 104.6Defence110.8 · 109.4Shooting49.8% · 52.0%3-point %28.4% · 39.4%Ball care18.0% · 18.2%Off. rebounds27.1% · 27.0%Free throws0.42 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Vasco   ■ Mogi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Vasco wins
6
Mogi wins
DateGameScore
17/10/24Mogi v Vasco66-65
02/03/24Vasco v Mogi79-73
25/11/23Mogi v Vasco79-95
13/02/19Mogi v Vasco90-88
14/12/18Vasco v Mogi75-88
01/02/18Mogi v Vasco89-80
18/11/17Vasco v Mogi75-82
04/02/17Mogi v Vasco80-73
19/11/16Vasco v Mogi94-70
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/25HPato98-86
06/02/25AUniao Corinthians71-84
04/02/25ACaxias do Sul82-88
26/01/25AFlamengo73-92
18/01/25HCearense75-74
14/01/25HUnifacisa76-74
11/01/25APinheiros70-87
09/01/25ACorinthians Paulista79-99
29/12/24HSao Jose69-75
23/12/24HBauru81-63
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/25HFranca81-91
08/02/25HBauru62-80
04/02/25HSao Jose97-93 OT
22/01/25HMinas68-79
17/01/25ASao Paulo80-69
13/01/25HBrasilia89-71
10/01/25APaulistano63-76
29/12/24AFlamengo60-81
27/12/24ABotafogo85-97
21/12/24APato106-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW52%
HomeWLWWW54%
AwayWLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %52%54%50%
Points / game75.576.174.9
Allowed / game75.774.876.8
Point differential-0.2+1.3-1.8
Avg total151.2150.8151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%23%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Mogi
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL35%
HomeWLWLL43%
AwayWLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %35%43%25%
Points / game73.773.473.9
Allowed / game79.779.180.5
Point differential-6.1-5.6-6.6
Avg total153.4152.5154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%7%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)62% (8)50% (2)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2420483%82.371.4+10.9
2 Flamengo2318578%84.273.0+11.2
3 Brasilia2718967%82.179.6+2.5
4 Franca2415962%83.078.2+4.9
5 Uniao Corinthians24141058%78.578.9-0.4
6 Bauru25141156%78.479.0-0.6
7 Paulistano25131252%78.074.9+3.1
8 Pinheiros25131252%74.874.3+0.6
9 Vasco25131252%75.575.7-0.2
10 Unifacisa26131350%75.375.2+0.2
11 Sao Jose26131350%78.578.8-0.3
12 Corinthians Paulista27131448%80.479.4+1.0
13 Sao Paulo25111444%76.478.6-2.3
14 Pato2691735%81.784.7-3.0
15 Mogi2691735%73.779.7-6.1
16 Caxias do Sul2471729%73.278.8-5.6
17 Botafogo2571828%73.581.0-7.5
18 Cearense2561924%71.278.2-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vasco20272433104
Mogi2025211682
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