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Pato vs Vasco Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 15 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 67-76
15-21 16-23 24-18 12-14
Position#12
Record10-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Vasco 🏆
Brazil
Position#4
Record13-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game70.8
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pato v Vasco
02 Feb 2026
PATO75
VASC84
12 Nov 2024
PATO76
VASC84
15 Jan 2024
PATO67
VASC76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
L
75-76
75
76
-1
63avg 68
H29/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
64-68
64
68
-4
50avg 68
H01/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
81-85
81
85
-4
76avg 68
A16/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
77-91
77
91
-14
67avg 68
A18/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
75-84
75
84
-9
66avg 68
A22/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
79-63
79
63
+16
77avg 68
H27/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
78-74
78
74
+4
65avg 68
H29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
77-65
77
65
+12
76avg 68
A06/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
82-75
82
75
+7
77avg 68
A08/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
97-91 OT
97
91
+6
no box
H13/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
16-19
17-20
27-20
15-17
17-18
22-14
10-19
18-18
22-14
16-29
25-24
16-25
23-14
10-28
28-24
20-23
14-23
27-16
14-22
13-15
23-13
18-9
25-26
24-16
18-17
20-20
16-21
15-19
26-16
12-15
24-15
22-15
13-21
26-16
21-23
21-17
20-20
19-26
21-18
155.7Avg total
78.5Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.677.8154.4-1.248%
Season at home (9)79.374.4153.8+4.967%
Season away (12)74.680.3154.9-5.833%
Last 10 (10)78.577.2155.7+1.350%
Last 5 (5)82.673.6156.2+9.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)73.580.3153.8-6.831%
vs Similar (10)76.478.3154.7-1.940%
vs Weaker (7)82.373.4155.7+8.986%
This opponent (Vasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Bauru
#5
W
67-58
67
58
+9
66avg 71
H02/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
64-77
64
77
-13
56avg 71
H04/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
75-70
75
70
+5
75avg 71
A09/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
76-70
76
70
+6
76avg 71
A11/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
67-73
67
73
-6
67avg 71
A13/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
81-71
81
71
+10
92avg 71
H18/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
81-75
81
75
+6
78avg 71
H23/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
80-78
80
78
+2
73avg 71
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
71avg 71
A08/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
61-81
61
81
-20
47avg 71
A13/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
15-9
13-17
24-16
15-19
11-26
21-15
17-17
24-20
22-9
15-21
14-20
20-20
18-17
20-24
18-9
23-19
13-21
16-13
15-20
17-20
22-15
22-12
20-24
21-21
24-22
16-16
20-16
14-24
22-17
26-18
18-19
20-17
16-24
21-21
22-22
8-22
16-15
17-22
20-22
146.8Avg total
73.1Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)73.370.8144.1+2.565%
Season at home (9)71.367.6138.9+3.867%
Season away (11)75.073.5148.5+1.564%
Last 10 (10)73.173.7146.8-0.660%
Last 5 (5)76.477.8154.2-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)71.987.4159.3-15.50%
vs Similar (7)75.972.1148.0+3.786%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)75.966.1142.0+9.888%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
PatoVasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H29/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H01/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A16/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A18/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A22/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H27/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A06/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A08/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H13/01
NBB
72.8Avg total
37.1Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.076.1+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.236.175.2+3.146%-
Last 30 away (17)37.339.476.7-2.141%-
Last 10 (10)37.135.772.8+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.033.872.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.440.076.4-3.631%-
vs Similar (10)37.637.174.7+0.540%-
vs Weaker (7)42.035.477.4+6.671%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#5
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H02/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H04/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A09/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A11/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A13/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H18/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H23/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A08/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A13/01
NBB
72.9Avg total
35.6Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.038.675.6-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.538.373.8-2.854%-
Last 30 away (17)38.138.976.9-0.841%-
Last 10 (10)35.637.372.9-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)36.039.475.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.742.678.3-6.920%-
vs Similar (7)38.035.973.9+2.171%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)38.433.672.0+4.875%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.3
50.5%
51.8%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.6
30.7%
33.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws14.510.0
69.0%
72.6%10.0
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.116.0
51.4%
51.8%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.2
33.2%
33.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.312.6
77.3%
72.6%12.6
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
WWWWWLLLLL
Vasco
LLWWWLWWLW
#12
League position
#4
-1.4
Net rating
-1.0
105.4
Offensive rating
100.0
106.8
Defensive rating
101.0
48.6%
Effective FG%
50.7%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
45.9%
15.2%
Turnover %
22.5%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.7%
3-point %
33.2%
60.2%
Assist %
77.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 100.0Defence106.8 · 101.0Shooting48.6% · 50.7%3-point %30.7% · 33.2%Ball care15.2% · 22.5%Off. rebounds33.2% · 29.5%Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Pato   ■ Vasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pato wins
1
Vasco wins
DateGameScore
27/10/23Vasco v Pato71-62
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24HFlamengo97-91 OT
08/01/24ACerrado82-75
06/01/24ABrasilia77-65
29/12/23HCaxias do Sul78-74
27/12/23HUniao Corinthians79-63
22/12/23AMinas75-84
18/12/23APinheiros77-91
16/12/23ACorinthians Paulista81-85
01/12/23HUnifacisa64-68
29/11/23HCearense75-76
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24AMinas61-81
08/01/24AFlamengo79-84
27/12/23ACorinthians Paulista80-78
23/12/23HCearense81-75
18/12/23HUnifacisa81-71
13/12/23APinheiros67-73
11/12/23APaulistano76-70
09/12/23ASao Paulo75-70
04/12/23HFranca64-77
02/12/23HBauru67-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW48%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %48%67%33%
Points / game76.679.374.6
Allowed / game77.874.480.3
Point differential-1.2+4.9-5.8
Avg total154.4153.8154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%22%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Vasco
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL65%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWLWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %65%67%64%
Points / game73.371.375.0
Allowed / game70.867.673.5
Point differential+2.5+3.8+1.5
Avg total144.2138.9148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%22%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %5%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2118386%85.372.2+13.1
2 Franca2117481%88.576.8+11.7
3 Flamengo2117481%84.575.3+9.2
4 Paulistano2114767%74.871.7+3.1
5 Unifacisa2013765%83.779.9+3.8
6 Vasco2013765%73.370.8+2.5
7 Bauru2012860%78.877.2+1.7
8 Sao Jose1911858%79.574.7+4.8
9 Cearense1910953%77.976.1+1.8
10 Pato21101148%76.677.8-1.2
11 Corinthians Paulista1981142%79.881.4-1.6
12 Pinheiros1981142%76.478.8-2.5
13 Sao Paulo2291341%77.480.9-3.5
14 Caxias do Sul1961332%72.279.2-6.9
15 Uniao Corinthians1961332%71.980.5-8.5
16 Botafogo2061430%76.584.9-8.3
17 Cerrado1951426%73.875.7-1.9
18 Mogi1931616%73.379.7-6.4
19 Brasilia1931616%70.784.8-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato1516241267
Vasco2123181476
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