PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Vasco vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 80-66
18-20 23-13 19-19 20-14
Position#7
Record15-12
FormLLWWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game76.0
Vasco 🏆
Brazil
vs
Botafogo
Brazil
Position#18
Record8-18
FormLLLWW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game80.5
BrazilNBB· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vasco v Botafogo
18 Apr 2026
VASC104
BOTA86
13 Mar 2025
VASC80
BOTA66
09 Feb 2024
VASC98
BOTA86
01 Dec 2018
VASC79
BOTA97
19 Dec 2017
VASC72
BOTA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
79-99
79
99
-20
72avg 70
A09/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
70-87
70
87
-17
64avg 70
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
76-74
76
74
+2
82avg 70
H14/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
75-74
75
74
+1
68avg 70
H18/01
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
73-92
73
92
-19
63avg 70
A26/01
Super 8
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
82-88
82
88
-6
76avg 70
A04/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
71-84
71
84
-13
65avg 70
A06/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
98-86
98
86
+12
104avg 70
H14/02
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
104-82
104
82
+22
114avg 70
H28/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
88-78
88
78
+10
90avg 70
H08/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
18-29
20-27
20-21
15-27
24-25
19-17
12-18
24-21
16-18
20-23
16-12
21-18
18-14
17-23
19-19
24-29
17-14
20-20
12-29
18-26
16-11
27-24
21-27
26-23
10-13
20-26
15-22
18-19
29-24
29-21
22-22
20-20
27-25
24-21
33-16
23-15
18-16
31-17
16-30
166.0Avg total
81.6Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.076.0153.1+1.056%
Season at home (15)78.775.5154.2+3.360%
Season away (12)74.976.8151.7-1.850%
Last 10 (10)81.684.4166.0-2.850%
Last 5 (5)88.683.6172.2+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.770.3137.0-3.733%
vs Similar (19)79.378.3157.6+0.958%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)77.473.9151.3+3.657%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
65avg 65
H23/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
97-85
97
85
+12
96avg 65
H27/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
63-75
63
75
-12
56avg 65
A09/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
79-84
79
84
-5
70avg 65
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
71-83
71
83
-12
64avg 65
H16/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 65
H20/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
67-78
67
78
-11
59avg 65
A06/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
77-90
77
90
-13
69avg 65
A08/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
91-76
91
76
+15
86avg 65
H16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
71-68
71
68
+3
61avg 65
H03/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
17-21
20-25
18-24
25-16
22-15
22-25
28-29
10-20
18-24
14-12
21-19
23-24
16-18
20-22
20-20
17-30
18-15
15-15
21-23
20-17
17-18
19-21
18-27
11-24
21-19
19-12
16-23
27-24
20-18
10-32
20-16
26-29
24-27
19-13
22-7
18-27
17-14
15-16
21-11
157.1Avg total
76.3Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)73.480.5153.9-7.131%
Season at home (14)73.780.4154.1-6.636%
Season away (12)73.080.7153.7-7.725%
Last 10 (10)76.380.8157.1-4.530%
Last 5 (5)76.079.0155.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)73.683.8157.4-10.225%
vs Similar (6)75.072.8147.8+2.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
VascoBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A09/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H14/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H18/01
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A26/01
Super 8
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A04/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A06/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H14/02
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H28/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H08/03
NBB
81.2Avg total
40.3Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.636.071.6-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.335.972.2+0.453%-
Last 30 away (13)34.636.270.8-1.531%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.981.2-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.479.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.033.362.3-4.333%-
vs Similar (19)36.636.873.5-0.247%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)34.733.968.6+0.943%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H23/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H27/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A09/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H16/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A06/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A08/02
NBB
Pato
#14
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H03/03
NBB
80.1Avg total
38.5Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.841.977.7-6.127%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.542.679.1-6.229%-
Last 30 away (13)34.840.975.8-6.123%-
Last 10 (10)38.541.680.1-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.483.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.544.179.5-8.617%-
vs Similar (6)37.033.270.2+3.867%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.918.8
58.9%
50.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.1
33.2%
33.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws25.718.9
73.5%
72.7%18.9
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.6
51.1%
50.9%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.17.0
34.8%
33.0%21.0
🏀 Free throws20.013.3
66.5%
72.7%13.3
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
WWWLLLWWLL
Botafogo
WWLLLLLLWL
#7
League position
#18
-4.1
Net rating
-5.8
109.5
Offensive rating
99.6
113.6
Defensive rating
105.4
55.0%
Effective FG%
51.5%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
19.5%
Turnover %
20.1%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.46
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.2%
3-point %
34.8%
75.5%
Assist %
60.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 99.6Defence113.6 · 105.4Shooting55.0% · 51.5%3-point %33.2% · 34.8%Ball care19.5% · 20.1%Off. rebounds26.1% · 25.1%Free throws0.46 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Vasco   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Vasco wins
3
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
15/11/24Botafogo v Vasco68-66
09/02/24Vasco v Botafogo98-86
04/11/23Botafogo v Vasco62-79
23/02/19Botafogo v Vasco79-74
01/12/18Vasco v Botafogo79-97
16/02/18Botafogo v Vasco87-94
19/12/17Vasco v Botafogo72-68
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HSao Paulo88-78
28/02/25HMogi104-82
14/02/25HPato98-86
06/02/25AUniao Corinthians71-84
04/02/25ACaxias do Sul82-88
26/01/25AFlamengo73-92
18/01/25HCearense75-74
14/01/25HUnifacisa76-74
11/01/25APinheiros70-87
09/01/25ACorinthians Paulista79-99
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/25HSao Jose71-68
16/02/25HPato91-76
08/02/25AUniao Corinthians77-90
06/02/25ACaxias do Sul67-78
20/01/25HCearense74-83
16/01/25HUnifacisa71-83
11/01/25ACorinthians Paulista79-84
09/01/25APinheiros63-75
27/12/24HMogi97-85
23/12/24HFranca73-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW56%
HomeWWWWW60%
AwayWLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game77.078.774.9
Allowed / game76.075.576.8
Point differential+1.0+3.3-1.8
Avg total153.1154.2151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Botafogo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW31%
HomeWLLWW36%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %31%36%25%
Points / game73.473.773.0
Allowed / game80.580.480.7
Point differential-7.1-6.6-7.7
Avg total153.9154.1153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %8%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2521484%82.271.6+10.6
2 Flamengo2620677%84.373.9+10.4
3 Brasilia2718967%82.179.6+2.5
4 Franca2516964%83.478.3+5.0
5 Bauru27161159%78.478.6-0.1
6 Uniao Corinthians25141156%78.579.0-0.6
7 Vasco27151256%77.076.0+1.0
8 Paulistano26131350%78.275.3+2.9
9 Pinheiros28141450%75.975.3+0.6
10 Sao Jose28141450%78.178.2-0.2
11 Unifacisa27131448%75.475.3+0.1
12 Corinthians Paulista28131546%80.179.3+0.8
13 Sao Paulo27111641%76.479.0-2.6
14 Pato2791833%81.785.0-3.3
15 Mogi2891932%74.181.0-6.9
16 Caxias do Sul2581732%73.678.9-5.3
17 Botafogo2681831%73.480.5-7.1
18 Cearense2882029%71.878.1-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vasco1823192080
Botafogo2013191466
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.