PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Venezia vs Basket Napoli Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 25 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record5-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game87.6
Venezia
Italy
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
6.0/10
Above normal
Basket Napoli
Italy
Position#2
Record7-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game86.9
ItalyLega ARound 28· Palasport Giuseppe Taliercio
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Venezia v Basket Napoli
25 Apr 2027
VEN v NAP
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
VEN106
NAP96
09 Feb 2025
VEN91
NAP68
07 Jan 2024
VEN81
NAP89
06 Nov 2022
VEN82
NAP71
05 Jan 2022
VEN79
NAP75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Napoli win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#16
W
75-65
75
65
+10
66avg 78
H14/10
Eurocup
BC Roma
#13
W
104-98
104
98
+6
98avg 78
A17/10
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#11
L
79-90
79
90
-11
72avg 78
A21/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#4
L
89-97 OT
89
97
-8
77avg 78
H25/10
Lega A
Tenerife
#5
L
80-82
80
82
-2
75avg 78
A28/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
L
81-99
81
99
-18
68avg 78
A01/11
Lega A
Siauliai
#19
W
98-77
98
77
+21
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
W
83-78
83
78
+5
no box
A07/11
Lega A
London Lions
#9
L
76-80
76
80
-4
no box
A10/11
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
W
88-81
88
81
+7
no box
H15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
19-13
18-22
18-14
24-29
22-26
24-13
34-30
18-23
27-22
12-19
22-26
21-31
22-13
17-21
20-15
25-24
16-24
25-17
14-17
16-19
22-25
20-30
23-25
25-21
27-18
22-20
24-18
18-26
21-20
20-18
24-14
19-19
16-19
20-21
21-21
26-26
36-20
6-16
20-19
170.0Avg total
85.3Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.987.6175.5+0.262%
Season at home (4)87.086.0173.0+1.050%
Season away (4)88.889.2178.0-0.575%
Last 10 (10)85.384.7170.0+0.650%
Last 5 (5)85.283.0168.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)85.290.0175.2-4.842%
vs Similar (12)83.484.4167.8-1.050%
vs Weaker (6)94.278.8173.0+15.383%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
86-82
86
82
+4
84avg 89
A14/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
82-98
82
98
-16
72avg 89
H18/10
Lega A
Tofas
#6
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
99avg 89
H21/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#12
W
92-90
92
90
+2
86avg 89
A25/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#26
W
94-85
94
85
+9
98avg 89
A28/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#7
W
99-81
99
81
+18
100avg 89
H01/11
Lega A
Trento
#27
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
W
91-89
91
89
+2
no box
A08/11
Lega A
Chemnitz
#13
W
112-90
112
90
+22
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Trieste
#8
W
90-89
90
89
+1
no box
H15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
18-19
21-24
25-21
25-18
13-23
23-25
21-32
29-20
24-22
20-24
20-27
19-26
22-21
26-17
25-26
24-20
23-25
24-20
23-20
19-16
25-22
30-20
25-23
24-21
13-18
28-15
25-25
22-19
15-28
27-28
27-14
24-22
35-19
20-28
33-21
34-27
11-24
20-22
25-16
182.5Avg total
94.1Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)93.286.9180.1+6.488%
Season at home (4)92.590.2182.8+2.275%
Season away (4)94.083.5177.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)94.188.4182.5+5.790%
Last 5 (5)96.485.6182.0+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.694.2171.8-16.60%
vs Similar (14)87.685.5173.1+2.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)94.583.6178.1+10.8100%
This opponent (Venezia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
VeneziaBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#16
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H14/10
Eurocup
BC Roma
#13
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A17/10
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#11
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A21/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H25/10
Lega A
Tenerife
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A28/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/11
Lega A
Siauliai
#19
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H04/11
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A07/11
Lega A
London Lions
#9
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A10/11
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
W
62-46
62
46
+16
H15/11
Lega A
87.4Avg total
44.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.244.387.5-1.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.340.986.2+4.553%-
Last 30 away (15)41.147.788.8-6.713%-
Last 10 (10)44.043.487.4+0.630%-
Last 5 (5)45.242.687.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)41.648.890.3-7.28%-
vs Similar (12)42.443.285.6-0.825%-
vs Weaker (6)48.037.785.7+10.3100%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H18/10
Lega A
Tofas
#6
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H21/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#12
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A25/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#26
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A28/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#7
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H01/11
Lega A
Trento
#27
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H03/11
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A08/11
Lega A
Chemnitz
#13
W
59-41
59
41
+18
A11/11
Eurocup
Trieste
#8
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H15/11
Lega A
86.9Avg total
44.1Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.484.0+1.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.038.779.7+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)44.144.288.3-0.167%-
Last 10 (10)44.142.886.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.287.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.243.482.6-4.260%-
vs Similar (14)41.140.982.0+0.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.841.387.1+4.573%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.3
53.9%
54.3%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.7
35.4%
34.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.116.0
79.6%
74.6%16.0
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 93.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.5
59.1%
54.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.611.5
41.7%
34.3%34.5
🏀 Free throws24.717.8
72.1%
74.6%17.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Venezia
WLWWLLLLWW
Basket Napoli
WWWWWWWWLW
#7
League position
#2
+0.1
Net rating
+8.2
100.0
Offensive rating
106.6
99.9
Defensive rating
98.4
53.6%
Effective FG%
60.6%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
14.0%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.40
35.4%
3-point %
41.7%
54.5%
Assist %
68.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 106.6Defence99.9 · 98.4Shooting53.6% · 60.6%3-point %35.4% · 41.7%Ball care14.0% · 15.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Venezia   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Venezia wins
2
Basket Napoli wins
DateGameScore
01/11/26Basket Napoli v Venezia99-81
08/02/26Basket Napoli v Venezia64-79
21/12/25Venezia v Basket Napoli106-96
09/02/25Venezia v Basket Napoli91-68
03/11/24Basket Napoli v Venezia80-81
30/03/24Basket Napoli v Venezia90-97
07/01/24Venezia v Basket Napoli81-89
16/04/23Basket Napoli v Venezia91-93
06/11/22Venezia v Basket Napoli82-71
19/02/22Basket Napoli v Venezia76-81
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HMaxima Roma88-81
10/11/26ALondon Lions76-80
07/11/26AReggiana83-78
04/11/26HSiauliai98-77
01/11/26ABasket Napoli81-99
28/10/26ATenerife80-82
25/10/26HTreviso89-97 OT
21/10/26AMaxima Roma79-90
17/10/26ABC Roma104-98
14/10/26HTurk Telekom75-65
Basket Napolilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HTrieste90-89
11/11/26AChemnitz112-90
08/11/26AScafati91-89
03/11/26HTrento90-79
01/11/26HVenezia99-81
28/10/26ANeptunas94-85
25/10/26ATortona92-90
21/10/26HTofas105-101 OT
18/10/26HOlimpia Milano82-98
14/10/26ASlask Wroclaw86-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game87.987.088.8
Allowed / game87.686.089.2
Point differential+0.2+1.0-0.5
Avg total175.5173.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Basket Napoli
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%75%100%
Points / game93.292.594.0
Allowed / game86.990.283.5
Point differential+6.4+2.2+10.5
Avg total180.1182.8177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna87188%95.484.6+10.8
2 Basket Napoli87188%93.286.9+6.4
3 Olimpia Milano86275%89.981.1+8.8
4 Treviso86275%90.887.6+3.1
5 Maxima Roma85362%87.284.2+3.0
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Venezia85362%87.987.6+0.2
8 Trieste84450%93.888.6+5.1
9 Udine84450%79.980.6-0.8
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento83538%79.884.1-4.4
12 Tortona83538%86.591.1-4.6
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati81712%81.591.9-10.4
16 Cantu8080%78.892.8-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.