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Verona vs Mestre Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-68
21-11 29-21 20-16 17-20
Position#2
Record22-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game73.6
Verona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#15
Record14-20
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game81.0
ItalySerie A2Round 36· PalaOlimpia
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Verona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mestre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
69-78
69
78
-9
H08/02
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
95-71
95
71
+24
A11/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A15/02
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H22/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A08/03
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H22/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A25/03
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H29/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A03/04
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
89-56
89
56
+33
H08/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
24-29
14-16
16-15
19-14
27-21
20-24
29-12
27-25
14-23
21-11
16-23
18-15
13-18
23-10
22-18
22-12
19-16
17-22
18-24
19-16
22-17
21-16
22-20
16-23
31-13
18-20
21-18
18-25
28-16
21-15
17-27
21-24
22-18
16-21
24-21
22-8
27-21
26-13
14-14
155.2Avg total
82.0Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)78.673.6152.2+4.963%
Season at home (17)82.173.9156.0+8.182%
Season away (18)75.373.3148.6+1.944%
Last 10 (10)82.073.2155.2+8.870%
Last 5 (5)85.273.2158.4+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)76.772.2148.9+4.458%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)79.574.2153.7+5.361%
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H31/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
80-82 OT
80
82
-2
A08/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A15/02
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H21/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
84-93
84
93
-9
H27/02
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
82-61
82
61
+21
A07/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
75-93
75
93
-18
H21/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H28/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
81-95
81
95
-14
A05/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
83-85
83
85
-2
H08/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
22-20
15-23
17-19
22-24
15-20
18-14
19-16
26-22
12-17
16-20
19-16
28-18
17-26
23-15
22-26
25-24
17-26
21-19
21-24
23-17
19-16
28-16
12-12
26-17
18-29
23-32
8-15
14-11
27-20
26-15
19-24
16-22
22-28
21-24
22-21
22-26
24-19
20-24
17-16
163.4Avg total
81.5Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)78.381.0159.3-2.741%
Season at home (18)78.882.4161.2-3.644%
Season away (16)77.879.5157.2-1.838%
Last 10 (10)81.581.9163.4-0.440%
Last 5 (5)81.480.8162.2+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)77.283.6160.8-6.429%
vs Similar (12)79.879.0158.8+0.850%
vs Weaker (1)74.078.0152.0-4.00%
This opponent (Verona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
VeronaMestre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H08/02
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A11/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A15/02
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H22/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A08/03
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H22/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A25/03
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H29/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A03/04
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H08/04
Serie A2
79.6Avg total
42.4Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.976.7+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.637.679.1+4.071%-
Last 30 away (16)38.336.374.6+2.056%-
Last 10 (10)42.437.279.6+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.236.281.4+9.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)37.035.872.8+1.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.737.779.4+4.161%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H31/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A08/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A15/02
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H21/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H27/02
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A07/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H21/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H28/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A05/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H08/04
Serie A2
84.2Avg total
42.2Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.881.6-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.241.581.8-1.256%-
Last 30 away (14)39.242.181.4-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)42.242.084.2+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.241.083.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.343.182.4-3.841%-
vs Similar (12)39.739.979.6-0.250%-
vs Weaker (1)49.043.092.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Verona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.7
54.3%
50.8%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.6
40.3%
34.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws14.710.8
73.5%
74.4%10.8
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.319.7
48.9%
50.8%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.4
35.9%
34.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.216.6
71.6%
74.4%16.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Verona
WLWWWWWLWL
Mestre
LLWLWLWLLW
#2
League position
#15
+12.9
Net rating
-0.8
104.0
Offensive rating
95.8
91.1
Defensive rating
96.6
56.9%
Effective FG%
50.7%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
15.3%
Turnover %
11.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.36
40.3%
3-point %
35.9%
60.4%
Assist %
45.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 95.8Defence91.1 · 96.6Shooting56.9% · 50.7%3-point %40.3% · 35.9%Ball care15.3% · 11.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Verona   ■ Mestre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Verona wins
1
Mestre wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25Mestre v Verona74-72
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/26HForli89-56
03/04/26APesaro83-84
29/03/26HCento84-83
25/03/26ARimini86-74
22/03/26HLibertas Livorno84-69
08/03/26ABasket Torino76-74
22/02/26HScafati76-61
15/02/26ASebastiani Rieti78-82
11/02/26ARuvo Di Puglia95-71
08/02/26HJuVi Cremona69-78
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/26HAvellino Basket83-85
05/04/26ARimini81-95
28/03/26HBrindisi86-70
21/03/26HPesaro75-93
07/03/26ACento82-61
27/02/26HUrania Milano84-93
21/02/26HPistoia90-85
15/02/26ABasket Torino73-75
08/02/26ASebastiani Rieti80-82 OT
31/01/26HScafati81-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Verona
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW63%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayWLWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %63%82%44%
Points / game78.682.175.3
Allowed / game73.673.973.3
Point differential+4.9+8.1+1.9
Avg total152.2156.0148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%53%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)100% (3)29% (7)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Mestre
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL41%
HomeWLLWL44%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %41%44%38%
Points / game78.378.877.8
Allowed / game81.082.479.5
Point differential-2.7-3.6-1.8
Avg total159.3161.2157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%11%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)56% (9)33% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro3526974%82.578.3+4.2
2 Scafati35241169%83.277.6+5.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna35231266%76.272.8+3.4
4 Brindisi34221265%78.273.8+4.4
5 Cividale36231364%78.674.3+4.2
6 Verona35221363%78.673.6+4.9
7 Rimini34201459%82.178.6+3.4
8 Avellino Basket34201459%81.479.2+2.2
9 Libertas Livorno35201557%78.873.2+5.6
10 Sebastiani Rieti35201557%78.877.1+1.7
11 Blu Basket Bergamo25131252%79.479.7-0.3
12 JuVi Cremona34161847%74.577.1-2.6
13 Basket Torino35161946%73.174.1-1.0
14 Urania Milano34151944%79.481.4-2.1
15 Mestre34142041%78.381.0-2.7
16 Forli34122235%76.481.4-5.1
17 Ruvo Di Puglia34102429%76.986.8-9.9
18 Cento35102529%77.381.1-3.8
19 Pistoia3582723%76.583.3-6.7
20 Roseto3472721%78.484.8-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Verona2129201787
Mestre1121162068
← all games of the day
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