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Vigevano vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-74
20-20 23-20 17-21 19-13
Position#16
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game88.2
vs
Position#10
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game76.5
ItalySerie A2Round 5· Pala Elachem
Other2026-27
Meetings · Vigevano v Forli
21 Oct 2026
VIGE79
FORL74
02 Mar 2025
VIGE76
FORL78
12 May 2024
VIGE69
FORL95
10 May 2024
VIGE76
FORL67
07 Apr 2024
VIGE80
FORL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vigevano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VigevanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVigevano
Date
Competition
Cantu
#2
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
A27/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
100-106 OT
100
106
-6
no box
A11/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
99-105 OT
99
105
-6
no box
A13/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
79-72
79
72
+7
no box
H16/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
83-79
83
79
+4
no box
H18/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
77-85
77
85
-8
no box
A21/05
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
69-87
69
87
-18
58avg 63
A27/09
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#5
L
64-79
64
79
-15
59avg 63
H04/10
Serie A2
Cento
#17
L
88-98
88
98
-10
76avg 63
A11/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#9
L
70-89
70
89
-19
59avg 63
A18/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
13-18
21-23
21-14
22-23
17-22
24-20
20-18
26-19
32-19
15-25
21-31
22-22
16-14
12-16
29-20
22-15
15-19
17-26
29-19
25-18
14-24
22-21
16-22
10-29
16-26
23-11
20-21
15-24
17-26
15-16
17-13
27-24
21-21
21-29
19-24
18-21
15-27
20-21
17-20
168.3Avg total
80.8Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.888.2161.0-15.50%
Season at home (1)64.079.0143.0-15.00%
Season away (3)75.791.3167.0-15.70%
Last 10 (10)80.887.5168.3-6.730%
Last 5 (5)73.687.6161.2-14.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)74.682.1156.6-7.531%
vs Similar (14)78.682.9161.6-4.343%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
72-96
72
96
-24
63avg 70
A29/03
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
89-81
89
81
+8
80avg 70
H04/04
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
56-89
56
89
-33
43avg 70
A08/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
91-86
91
86
+5
86avg 70
H12/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
66avg 70
A19/04
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
65-96
65
96
-31
55avg 70
H26/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
W
85-68
85
68
+17
78avg 70
A26/09
Serie A2
Cento
#17
W
80-73
80
73
+7
70avg 70
H03/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
81-94
81
94
-13
66avg 70
A11/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#5
W
93-71
93
71
+22
93avg 70
H18/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
20-21
28-28
6-22
22-25
23-24
23-15
21-17
8-22
21-27
13-26
14-14
29-21
19-30
23-22
20-13
17-20
24-27
19-23
13-15
15-21
20-30
9-22
21-23
27-15
21-8
16-23
21-22
31-18
16-19
18-19
15-17
19-25
21-24
23-24
18-21
25-11
30-33
13-15
25-12
162.4Avg total
78.5Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.876.5161.2+8.275%
Season at home (2)86.572.0158.5+14.5100%
Season away (2)83.081.0164.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)78.583.9162.4-5.450%
Last 5 (5)80.880.4161.2+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)74.784.4159.2-9.722%
vs Similar (10)84.181.3165.4+2.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)82.570.5153.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Vigevano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
VigevanoForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VigevanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A27/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A11/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
58-38
58
38
+20
A13/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H16/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H18/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A21/05
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
26-55
26
55
-29
A27/09
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#5
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H04/10
Serie A2
Cento
#17
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A11/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#9
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A18/10
Serie A2
81.8Avg total
38.7Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.179.7-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.740.580.2-0.846%-
Last 30 away (17)37.841.679.4-3.829%-
Last 10 (10)38.743.181.8-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.648.083.6-12.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.142.379.4-5.219%-
vs Similar (14)40.339.880.1+0.557%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A29/03
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H04/04
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A08/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H12/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A19/04
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H26/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A26/09
Serie A2
Cento
#17
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H03/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A11/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#5
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H18/10
Serie A2
87.2Avg total
42.6Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.143.084.1-1.827%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.642.985.5-0.333%-
Last 30 away (15)39.743.182.7-3.420%-
Last 10 (10)42.644.687.2-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)45.040.885.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)38.343.381.6-4.911%-
vs Similar (10)44.945.089.9-0.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)47.530.077.5+17.5100%-
This opponent (Vigevano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vigevanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vigevano: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.416.8
46.2%
51.5%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.4
35.4%
34.5%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.915.5
77.9%
70.9%15.5
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.7
56.6%
51.5%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.6
34.1%
34.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.913.0
65.3%
70.9%13.0
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vigevano
LLLLLWWLLW
Forli
WLWWLLWLWL
#16
League position
#10
-9.1
Net rating
-0.8
101.6
Offensive rating
99.4
110.8
Defensive rating
100.2
49.2%
Effective FG%
54.5%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
13.9%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.4%
3-point %
34.1%
48.5%
Assist %
50.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 99.4Defence110.8 · 100.2Shooting49.2% · 54.5%3-point %35.4% · 34.1%Ball care13.9% · 13.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Vigevano   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vigevano wins
6
Forli wins
DateGameScore
02/03/25Vigevano v Forli76-78
22/12/24Forli v Vigevano93-91
12/05/24Vigevano v Forli69-95
10/05/24Vigevano v Forli76-67
07/05/24Forli v Vigevano84-69
05/05/24Forli v Vigevano87-71
07/04/24Vigevano v Forli80-85
Vigevanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26APistoia70-89
11/10/26ACento88-98
04/10/26HSebastiani Rieti64-79
27/09/26AAvellino Basket69-87
21/05/25ALibertas Livorno77-85
18/05/25HLibertas Livorno83-79
16/05/25HLibertas Livorno79-72
13/05/25ALibertas Livorno99-105 OT
11/05/25ALibertas Livorno100-106 OT
27/04/25ACantu79-75
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26HSebastiani Rieti93-71
11/10/26AAvellino Basket81-94
03/10/26HCento80-73
26/09/26ACividale85-68
26/04/26HFortitudo Bologna65-96
19/04/26APesaro73-85
12/04/26HLibertas Livorno91-86
08/04/26AVerona56-89
04/04/26HRoseto89-81
29/03/26AScafati72-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vigevano
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game72.864.075.7
Allowed / game88.279.091.3
Point differential-15.5-15.0-15.7
Avg total161.0143.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forli
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game84.886.583.0
Allowed / game76.572.081.0
Point differential+8.2+14.5+2.0
Avg total161.2158.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno550100%79.663.0+16.6
2 Avellino Basket550100%83.271.6+11.6
3 Pesaro550100%85.677.2+8.4
4 Fortitudo Bologna54180%80.674.2+6.4
5 Forli43175%84.876.5+8.2
6 Brindisi43175%81.875.8+6.0
7 Sebastiani Rieti43175%77.275.0+2.2
8 Basket Torino43175%75.574.0+1.5
9 Rimini53260%79.470.6+8.8
10 Sassari53260%75.275.4-0.2
11 Pistoia52340%78.869.4+9.4
12 Mestre52340%74.278.8-4.6
13 Caserta41325%81.884.0-2.2
14 Urania Milano51420%79.881.8-2.0
15 Ruvo Di Puglia51420%79.289.0-9.8
16 Cividale51420%68.679.4-10.8
17 Cento51420%74.888.0-13.2
18 Montecatini51420%72.285.6-13.4
19 JuVi Cremona5050%75.482.8-7.4
20 Vigevano4040%72.888.2-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vigevano2023171979
Forli2020211374
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