PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Virginia vs Louisville Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 21:00
Postponed
Position#43
Record12-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game59.7
vs
Position#94
Record11-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game64.2
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Virginia v Louisville
04 Jan 2025
VIRG50
LOUI70
03 Jan 2024
VIRG77
LOUI53
04 Mar 2023
VIRG75
LOUI60
09 Mar 2022
VIRG51
LOUI50
24 Jan 2022
VIRG64
LOUI52
06 Feb 2021
VIRG v LOUI
upcoming
07 Mar 2020
VIRG57
LOUI54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gonzaga
#4
L
75-98
75
98
-23
H26/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
66-57
66
57
+9
A30/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H07/01
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A09/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H13/01
NCAA
Clemson
#78
W
85-50
85
50
+35
A16/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H24/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
W
81-58
81
58
+23
H26/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A30/01
NCAA
NC State
#137
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-44
44-54
30-24
36-33
34-39
36-22
29-26
32-23
37-25
43-43
33-17
52-33
32-36
32-26
35-26
46-32
29-21
22-44
28-24
36-33
132.2Avg total
69.7Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)71.359.7130.9+11.680%
Season at home (9)75.861.8137.6+14.089%
Season away (6)64.556.5121.0+8.067%
Last 10 (10)69.762.5132.2+7.280%
Last 5 (5)69.058.4127.4+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)61.365.3126.7-4.050%
vs Similar (9)60.156.6116.7+3.678%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)69.155.7124.7+13.493%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#215
W
64-54
64
54
+10
A23/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H26/12
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A02/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H06/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A14/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A17/01
NCAA
Florida State
#42
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H19/01
NCAA
Duke
#154
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H23/01
NCAA
Clemson
#78
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A28/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-28
34-26
28-27
34-32
37-24
39-40
36-31
37-40
46-34
31-31
21-33
51-45
28-42
37-36
36-33
34-32
22-21
28-33
33-27
41-31
132.9Avg total
68.3Scored
64.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)69.564.2133.7+5.373%
Season at home (9)72.862.6135.3+10.289%
Season away (6)64.566.7131.2-2.250%
Last 10 (10)68.364.6132.9+3.770%
Last 5 (5)66.266.6132.8-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)75.871.5147.2+4.275%
vs Similar (10)67.164.7131.8+2.470%
vs Weaker (16)73.064.1137.1+8.975%
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +2.0+2.0
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +2.0+2.0
VirginiaLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gonzaga
#4
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H26/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A30/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H07/01
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A09/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H13/01
NCAA
Clemson
#78
W
33-17
33
17
+16
A16/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H24/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H26/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
W
29-21
29
21
+8
A30/01
NCAA
NC State
#137
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A04/02
NCAA
60.0Avg total
31.8Scored
28.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.325.555.8+4.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.125.457.4+6.756%-
Last 30 away (14)28.425.654.0+2.771%-
Last 10 (10)31.828.260.0+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)31.424.856.2+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)28.032.760.7-4.717%-
vs Similar (9)29.225.254.4+4.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)31.922.854.7+9.180%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#215
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A23/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H26/12
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A02/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H06/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A14/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A17/01
NCAA
Florida State
#42
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H19/01
NCAA
Duke
#154
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H23/01
NCAA
Clemson
#78
W
22-21
22
21
+1
A28/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H01/02
NCAA
61.7Avg total
31.7Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.531.364.8+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.731.166.8+4.669%-
Last 30 away (14)31.031.562.5-0.557%-
Last 10 (10)31.730.061.7+1.780%-
Last 5 (5)28.031.259.2-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.834.070.8+2.875%-
vs Similar (10)32.031.363.3+0.780%-
vs Weaker (16)33.630.664.2+3.050%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Virginia wins
1
Louisville wins
DateGameScore
07/03/20Virginia v Louisville57-54
08/02/20Louisville v Virginia80-73
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/21ANC State64-57
30/01/21AVirginia Tech51-65
26/01/21HSyracuse81-58
24/01/21HGeorgia Tech64-62
16/01/21AClemson85-50
13/01/21HNotre Dame80-68
09/01/21ABoston College61-49
07/01/21HWake Forest70-61
30/12/20ANotre Dame66-57
26/12/20HGonzaga75-98
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/21HGeorgia Tech74-58
28/01/21AClemson50-54
23/01/21HDuke70-65
19/01/21HFlorida State65-78
17/01/21AMiami (FL)72-78
14/01/21AWake Forest77-65
06/01/21HVirginia Tech73-71
02/01/21ABoston College76-64
26/12/20HKentucky62-59
23/12/20APittsburgh64-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %80%89%67%
Points / game71.375.864.5
Allowed / game59.761.856.5
Point differential+11.6+14.0+8.0
Avg total130.9137.6121.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%56%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %7%11%0%
Louisville
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW73%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %73%89%50%
Points / game69.572.864.5
Allowed / game64.262.666.7
Point differential+5.3+10.2-2.2
Avg total133.7135.3131.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%44%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia1512380%71.359.7+11.6
2 Virginia Tech1814478%72.565.6+6.9
3 Florida State1310377%78.268.3+9.8
4 Louisville1511473%69.564.2+5.3
5 SMU Mustangs1410471%74.567.4+7.1
6 Clemson1712571%65.162.6+2.5
7 North Carolina1711665%73.169.5+3.6
8 Pittsburgh149564%73.169.1+3.9
9 Syracuse1610662%76.770.8+5.9
10 Stanford1811761%72.168.3+3.8
11 Georgia Tech148657%76.371.6+4.6
12 Duke137654%74.270.7+3.5
13 NC State158753%75.270.3+4.9
14 Notre Dame167944%71.370.8+0.6
15 Miami (FL)1871139%66.769.9-3.2
16 Wake Forest135838%69.268.7+0.5
17 California2071335%66.269.9-3.6
18 Boston College1431121%72.178.4-6.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.