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Virtus Bologna vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 93-85
20-23 29-30 24-16 20-16
Position#2
Record18-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#11
Record11-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game79.0
ItalyLega ARound 27· Segafredo Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Cremona
20 Oct 2025
VIR69
CRE86
20 Jan 2025
VIR81
CRE63
14 Apr 2024
VIR93
CRE85
29 Jan 2022
VIR79
CRE71
10 Oct 2020
VIR92
CRE95
09 Sep 2020
VIR79
CRE56
05 Apr 2020
VIR v CRE
upcoming
16 Feb 2019
VIR91
CRE102
28 Oct 2018
VIR66
CRE84
03 Dec 2017
VIR79
CRE78
26 Mar 2016
VIR73
CRE66
20 Dec 2014
VIR70
CRE83
26 Jan 2014
VIR85
CRE90
20 Jan 2013
VIR92
CRE93
30 Oct 2011
VIR80
CRE78
26 Dec 2010
VIR116
CRE100
25 Apr 2010
VIR65
CRE68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 81
H15/03
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
L
86-87 OT
86
87
-1
no box
A17/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
81-96
81
96
-15
75avg 81
A19/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
79-94
79
94
-15
66avg 81
A22/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
W
87-73
87
73
+14
84avg 81
A25/03
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
79avg 81
H29/03
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
L
93-100
93
100
-7
86avg 81
H01/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
75-90
75
90
-15
67avg 81
A05/04
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
89-70
89
70
+19
90avg 81
A07/04
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
L
91-95
91
95
-4
88avg 81
H12/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
16-21
21-17
22-28
19-18
17-15
17-17
19-22
22-22
27-21
14-25
18-28
23-21
19-27
23-26
14-20
20-22
24-17
29-22
14-12
16-28
23-23
20-14
20-16
26-14
29-27
28-27
10-32
18-22
16-24
19-27
22-17
24-20
30-11
20-16
15-23
22-21
31-23
21-31
17-20
170.9Avg total
83.4Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)88.577.3165.7+11.269%
Season at home (12)92.977.6170.5+15.383%
Season away (14)84.677.0161.6+7.657%
Last 10 (10)83.487.5170.9-4.120%
Last 5 (5)85.487.2172.6-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.082.8154.8-10.80%
vs Similar (12)81.985.1167.0-3.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)89.577.5166.9+12.064%
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#5
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 72
A21/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
68avg 72
H28/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
76avg 72
A04/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
90-83
90
83
+7
87avg 72
H11/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
76-79
76
79
-3
62avg 72
A03/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
67-74
67
74
-7
51avg 72
H10/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
71-78
71
78
-7
65avg 72
A17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
92-90
92
90
+2
84avg 72
H24/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
76-87
76
87
-11
73avg 72
A30/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
68-63
68
63
+5
66avg 72
H07/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
13-16
15-17
25-21
12-19
23-20
22-26
25-18
15-17
17-22
26-20
22-27
20-18
26-18
19-29
25-18
14-21
15-17
20-20
27-21
17-18
11-21
19-17
20-18
17-14
21-22
12-19
21-23
24-20
18-22
17-30
33-18
18-20
18-21
19-25
21-21
18-17
17-13
15-12
18-21
157.4Avg total
77.3Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.079.0159.0+0.942%
Season at home (13)84.076.5160.5+7.569%
Season away (13)75.981.5157.5-5.615%
Last 10 (10)77.380.1157.4-2.830%
Last 5 (5)74.878.4153.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)73.080.3153.3-7.333%
vs Similar (17)81.879.5161.2+2.353%
vs Weaker (10)77.472.2149.6+5.250%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +3.1+3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +3.1+3.1
Virtus BolognaCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H15/03
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A17/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A19/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A22/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A25/03
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H29/03
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H01/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A05/04
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A07/04
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H12/04
Euroleague
85.7Avg total
43.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.382.8+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.440.183.5+3.264%-
Last 30 away (16)41.840.482.1+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)43.742.085.7+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)47.042.689.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.545.082.5-7.517%-
vs Similar (12)40.941.282.1-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.537.384.7+10.282%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A21/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H28/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H11/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A03/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H10/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H24/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A30/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H07/04
Lega A
73.2Avg total
35.2Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.737.174.9+0.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.435.377.7+7.164%-
Last 30 away (16)33.638.872.4-5.112%-
Last 10 (10)35.238.073.2-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.837.673.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)34.336.370.7-2.033%-
vs Similar (17)39.138.877.9+0.224%-
vs Weaker (10)36.534.571.0+2.060%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.1
54.0%
53.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.7
36.6%
35.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws15.412.1
78.6%
76.3%12.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.315.6
49.8%
53.1%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.5
36.0%
35.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws17.813.8
77.5%
76.3%13.8
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LWLLLWLLLL
Cremona
WLWLLLWLLL
#2
League position
#11
-4.1
Net rating
-4.2
116.4
Offensive rating
106.8
120.5
Defensive rating
111.0
54.4%
Effective FG%
51.8%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.2%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.6%
3-point %
36.0%
65.4%
Assist %
56.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.4 · 106.8Defence120.5 · 111.0Shooting54.4% · 51.8%3-point %36.6% · 36.0%Ball care15.5% · 17.2%Off. rebounds32.9% · 25.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Virtus Bologna wins
5
Cremona wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/24HBaskonia91-95
07/04/24AVenezia89-70
05/04/24AOlimpia Milano75-90
01/04/24HPistoia93-100
29/03/24HPanathinaikos79-81
25/03/24ABrescia87-73
22/03/24ACrvena zvezda79-94
19/03/24AZalgiris Kaunas81-96
17/03/24APesaro86-87 OT
15/03/24HReal Madrid74-89
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24HScafati68-63
30/03/24ATortona76-87
24/03/24HVenezia92-90
17/03/24ATreviso71-78
10/03/24HPistoia67-74
03/03/24ABrindisi76-79
11/02/24HBasket Napoli90-83
04/02/24ASassari80-86
28/01/24HVarese82-83
21/01/24AReggiana71-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW69%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %69%83%57%
Points / game88.592.984.6
Allowed / game77.377.677.0
Point differential+11.2+15.3+7.6
Avg total165.7170.5161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %8%8%7%
Cremona
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW42%
HomeLWLWW69%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %42%69%15%
Points / game80.084.075.9
Allowed / game79.076.581.5
Point differential+0.9+7.5-5.6
Avg total159.0160.5157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%46%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia2619773%87.778.0+9.7
2 Olimpia Milano2719870%79.974.4+5.5
3 Virtus Bologna2618869%88.577.3+11.2
4 Venezia2617965%82.477.9+4.5
5 Reggiana27151256%80.779.8+0.9
6 Trento27141352%83.583.4+0.1
7 Pistoia27141352%80.083.0-3.1
8 Tortona27131448%80.278.9+1.3
9 Basket Napoli26121446%85.886.6-0.8
10 Sassari26121446%78.282.5-4.3
11 Cremona26111542%80.079.0+0.9
12 Scafati26111542%82.286.0-3.8
13 Varese26101638%85.689.8-4.2
14 Treviso27101737%80.384.6-4.3
15 Pesaro2791833%80.487.2-6.8
16 Brindisi2781930%74.881.1-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2029242093
Cremona2330161685
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