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Virtus Bologna vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 96-94
33-30 16-20 26-20 21-24
Position#16
Record0-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game99.5
Allowed / game90.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 3· Segafredo Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Olympiacos
01 Oct 2026
VIR96
OLY94
26 Dec 2025
VIR94
OLY97
28 Feb 2025
VIR70
OLY92
19 Dec 2023
VIR69
OLY67
12 Jan 2023
VIR83
OLY85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Trento
#9
L
85-102
85
102
-17
70avg 80
A22/05
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
90-81
90
81
+9
84avg 80
A24/05
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
106-95
106
95
+11
105avg 80
H26/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
83-91
83
91
-8
70avg 80
H30/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
98-79
98
79
+19
102avg 80
H01/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
85-89
85
89
-4
79avg 80
A04/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
83-90
83
90
-7
78avg 80
A06/06
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
L
68-78
68
78
-10
57avg 80
A25/09
Euroleague
Varese
#6
W
90-69
90
69
+21
92avg 80
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#19
L
85-87
85
87
-2
80avg 80
A29/09
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
24-28
25-31
22-20
30-27
19-15
27-12
14-27
28-28
30-27
18-24
30-16
23-18
23-27
19-19
18-27
29-16
33-26
20-12
16-25
28-16
17-24
14-19
26-30
23-24
19-13
27-20
14-33
17-23
21-16
17-20
13-19
26-21
21-18
21-19
22-11
20-30
21-17
26-19
18-21
173.4Avg total
87.3Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.582.5159.0-6.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)76.582.5159.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)87.386.1173.4+1.240%
Last 5 (5)82.282.6164.8-0.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)81.093.2174.2-12.20%
vs Similar (8)85.190.9176.0-5.825%
vs Weaker (18)88.382.3170.7+6.061%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
W
92-85
92
85
+7
95avg 92
H24/05
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
94-77
94
77
+17
90avg 92
H28/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
95-68
95
68
+27
102avg 92
A30/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
82-76
82
76
+6
80avg 92
H03/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
58-68
58
68
-10
57avg 92
A05/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
102-92
102
92
+10
101avg 92
H08/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
86-93 OT
86
93
-7
71avg 92
A10/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
89-85
89
85
+4
84avg 92
H13/06
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
106-89
106
89
+17
102avg 92
A24/09
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
W
93-91
93
91
+2
88avg 92
A29/09
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
27-18
15-21
31-20
26-19
20-19
25-19
23-20
20-10
24-20
22-16
29-22
21-17
21-13
20-28
20-18
15-9
15-20
8-19
20-20
27-21
20-24
23-17
32-30
16-20
18-20
23-13
12-16
26-17
21-18
22-24
20-26
36-29
20-17
25-14
25-29
21-24
23-20
20-19
29-28
172.1Avg total
89.7Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)99.590.0189.5+9.5100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)99.590.0189.5+9.5100%
Last 10 (10)89.782.4172.1+7.380%
Last 5 (5)95.290.0185.2+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)92.786.0178.7+6.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)92.579.0171.5+13.589%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
Virtus BolognaOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#9
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A22/05
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A24/05
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H26/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H30/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
62-42
62
42
+20
H01/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A04/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A06/06
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A25/09
Euroleague
Varese
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#19
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A29/09
Euroleague
90.3Avg total
46.6Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.843.588.3+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.144.093.1+5.160%-
Last 30 away (15)40.543.183.5-2.640%-
Last 10 (10)46.643.790.3+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.483.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)40.248.588.8-8.20%-
vs Similar (8)45.147.192.2-2.025%-
vs Weaker (18)45.640.886.4+4.872%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H24/05
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H28/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A30/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A05/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H08/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A10/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H13/06
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A24/09
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A29/09
Euroleague
81.7Avg total
43.6Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.739.387.0+8.487%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.638.586.1+9.193%-
Last 30 away (15)47.840.187.9+7.780%-
Last 10 (10)43.638.181.7+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)45.642.087.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)48.342.791.0+5.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)47.639.086.6+8.785%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.322.6
57.5%
55.2%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.0
32.0%
35.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws23.517.9
76.2%
77.1%17.9
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.420.7
62.0%
55.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.3
31.6%
35.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.818.7
82.0%
77.1%18.7
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LWLLLWLWWL
Olympiacos
WWWLWLWWWW
#16
League position
#2
+1.7
Net rating
+9.6
101.2
Offensive rating
98.0
99.4
Defensive rating
88.5
53.8%
Effective FG%
55.5%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
14.5%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.0%
3-point %
31.6%
59.2%
Assist %
67.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 98.0Defence99.4 · 88.5Shooting53.8% · 55.5%3-point %32.0% · 31.6%Ball care14.5% · 15.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Virtus Bologna wins
7
Olympiacos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/26AOlimpia Milano85-87
27/09/26AVarese90-69
25/09/26AFenerbahce68-78
06/06/26AVenezia83-90
04/06/26AVenezia85-89
01/06/26HVenezia98-79
30/05/26HVenezia83-91
26/05/26HTrento106-95
24/05/26ATrento90-81
22/05/26ATrento85-102
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/26AZalgiris Kaunas93-91
24/09/26ABaskonia106-89
13/06/26HPanathinaikos89-85
10/06/26APanathinaikos86-93 OT
08/06/26HPanathinaikos102-92
05/06/26APanathinaikos58-68
03/06/26HPanathinaikos82-76
30/05/26AAEK Athens95-68
28/05/26HAEK Athens94-77
24/05/26HReal Madrid92-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game76.5-76.5
Allowed / game82.5-82.5
Point differential-6.0--6.0
Avg total159.0-159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Olympiacos
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game99.5-99.5
Allowed / game90.0-90.0
Point differential+9.5-+9.5
Avg total189.5-189.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos220100%96.575.5+21.0
2 Fenerbahce220100%89.072.0+17.0
3 Partizan220100%92.077.5+14.5
4 Valencia220100%103.591.0+12.5
5 Olympiacos220100%99.590.0+9.5
6 Dubai220100%86.082.0+4.0
7 Hapoel Tel-Aviv32167%89.088.0+1.0
8 Besiktas21150%101.594.5+7.0
9 Zalgiris Kaunas21150%87.085.0+2.0
10 Barcelona21150%88.088.0+0.0
11 Lyon-Villeurbanne21150%81.588.0-6.5
12 Olimpia Milano21150%81.588.5-7.0
13 Bayern21150%81.092.0-11.0
14 Anadolu Efes31233%82.783.3-0.7
15 Crvena zvezda31233%78.078.7-0.7
16 Real Madrid3030%86.391.3-5.0
17 Virtus Bologna2020%76.582.5-6.0
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv2020%83.596.5-13.0
19 Paris2020%75.591.5-16.0
20 Baskonia2020%88.5108.5-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna3316262196
Olympiacos3020202494
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