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Olympiacos vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 71-77
19-23 17-14 21-24 14-16
Position#4
Record6-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Position#1
Record10-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 12· Peace and Friendship Stadium
European cup2023
Meetings · Olympiacos v Real Madrid
20 Nov 2026
OLY v MAD
upcoming
24 May 2026
OLY92
MAD85
07 Apr 2026
OLY102
MAD88
25 Apr 2025
OLY77
MAD71
23 Apr 2025
OLY84
MAD72
29 Oct 2024
OLY79
MAD69
05 Dec 2023
OLY71
MAD77
21 May 2023
OLY78
MAD79
20 Jan 2023
OLY73
MAD60
08 Oct 2021
OLY74
MAD68
18 Dec 2020
OLY82
MAD86
22 Nov 2018
OLY88
MAD83
08 Dec 2017
OLY92
MAD83
24 Mar 2017
OLY73
MAD79
25 Mar 2016
OLY99
MAD84
23 Apr 2014
OLY71
MAD62
21 Apr 2014
OLY78
MAD76
12 May 2013
OLY100
MAD88
18 Oct 2010
OLY82
MAD66
26 Mar 2009
OLY79
MAD73
24 Mar 2009
OLY88
MAD79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
PAOK
#10
W
77-63
77
63
+14
86avg 84
A05/11
Basket League
Baskonia
#9
L
74-75
74
75
-1
71avg 84
H09/11
Euroleague
Promitheas
#7
W
92-75
92
75
+17
94avg 84
H11/11
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
79-74
79
74
+5
76avg 84
A14/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
88-83
88
83
+5
90avg 84
H16/11
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
111-83
111
83
+28
112avg 84
A19/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
89-72
89
72
+17
88avg 84
H24/11
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
87-74
87
74
+13
86avg 84
H27/11
Basket League
Monaco
#3
L
77-85
77
85
-8
71avg 84
A30/11
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
96-54
96
54
+42
107avg 84
A02/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
20-12
16-13
24-22
26-20
9-30
25-17
14-8
19-17
32-22
25-18
16-18
27-19
24-17
13-19
15-19
20-23
25-21
19-9
24-30
24-21
29-20
28-21
30-21
19-19
24-12
26-21
20-20
27-14
16-19
20-19
24-22
17-22
22-16
20-20
18-27
26-19
24-6
25-11
21-18
160.8Avg total
87.0Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.776.3155.0+2.555%
Season at home (6)82.076.3158.3+5.767%
Season away (5)74.876.2151.0-1.440%
Last 10 (10)87.073.8160.8+13.280%
Last 5 (5)92.073.6165.6+18.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.873.2147.0+0.640%
vs Weaker (20)83.466.8150.2+16.790%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
100-74
100
74
+26
104avg 75
H09/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
W
87-84
87
84
+3
84avg 75
A12/11
ACB
Valencia
#14
W
76-73
76
73
+3
73avg 75
A14/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
W
91-73
91
73
+18
102avg 75
H16/11
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
L
93-99
93
99
-6
84avg 75
H19/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
99-75
99
75
+24
109avg 75
H23/11
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
85-76
85
76
+9
80avg 75
H26/11
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
99-70
99
70
+29
99avg 75
A28/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
99-100 OT
99
100
-1
91avg 75
A30/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
91-58
91
58
+33
97avg 75
H03/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
27-10
15-14
32-23
20-11
16-22
27-23
24-28
24-26
19-23
20-13
13-11
30-20
23-19
27-11
11-23
25-26
29-13
18-27
21-33
27-17
17-16
23-18
32-24
20-16
23-17
26-26
16-17
36-21
16-20
22-15
25-14
29-16
15-21
23-22
20-28
17-19
24-9
27-12
23-18
170.2Avg total
92.0Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)90.276.0166.2+14.291%
Season at home (6)89.372.7162.0+16.7100%
Season away (5)91.280.0171.2+11.280%
Last 10 (10)92.078.2170.2+13.880%
Last 5 (5)94.675.8170.4+18.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)87.093.8180.8-6.80%
vs Weaker (25)90.276.2166.4+14.196%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
OlympiacosReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#10
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A05/11
Basket League
Baskonia
#9
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H09/11
Euroleague
Promitheas
#7
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H11/11
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A14/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H16/11
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A19/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H24/11
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H27/11
Basket League
Monaco
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A30/11
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
50-25
50
25
+25
A02/12
Basket League
81.2Avg total
44.7Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.135.076.1+6.077%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.234.974.1+4.375%-
Last 30 away (14)43.235.278.4+8.079%-
Last 10 (10)44.736.581.2+8.290%-
Last 5 (5)45.633.679.2+12.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.736.374.0+1.460%-
vs Weaker (20)42.834.477.2+8.485%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H09/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A12/11
ACB
Valencia
#14
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A14/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H16/11
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H19/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H23/11
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H26/11
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A28/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A30/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H03/12
ACB
83.2Avg total
46.3Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.036.881.8+8.283%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.734.980.6+10.986%-
Last 30 away (16)44.438.582.9+5.981%-
Last 10 (10)46.336.983.2+9.490%-
Last 5 (5)44.834.479.2+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)46.542.288.8+4.275%-
vs Weaker (25)44.935.880.7+9.184%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.719.9
59.1%
53.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.411.1
43.7%
36.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.613.1
70.4%
77.4%13.1
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.220.2
57.4%
53.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.8
37.2%
36.6%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.518.6
86.5%
77.4%18.6
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WLWWWWWWLW
Real Madrid
WLWWWLWWWW
#4
League position
#1
+19.1
Net rating
+18.4
123.2
Offensive rating
120.0
104.0
Defensive rating
101.6
61.8%
Effective FG%
56.7%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
17.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
43.7%
3-point %
37.2%
74.8%
Assist %
71.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence123.2 · 120.0Defence104.0 · 101.6Shooting61.8% · 56.7%3-point %43.7% · 37.2%Ball care17.8% · 16.4%Off. rebounds32.5% · 31.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Olympiacos   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Olympiacos wins
5
Real Madrid wins
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23ALavrio96-54
30/11/23AMonaco77-85
27/11/23HPeristeri87-74
24/11/23HZalgiris Kaunas89-72
19/11/23AMaroussi111-83
16/11/23HCrvena zvezda88-83
14/11/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv79-74
11/11/23HPromitheas92-75
09/11/23HBaskonia74-75
05/11/23APAOK77-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23HBreogan91-58
30/11/23AFenerbahce99-100 OT
28/11/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv99-70
26/11/23HMoraBanc Andorra85-76
23/11/23HAlba Berlin99-75
19/11/23HUnicaja93-99
16/11/23HMonaco91-73
14/11/23AValencia76-73
12/11/23ABilbao87-84
09/11/23HVirtus Bologna100-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL55%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game78.782.074.8
Allowed / game76.376.376.2
Point differential+2.5+5.7-1.4
Avg total155.0158.3151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %18%17%20%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %91%100%80%
Points / game90.289.391.2
Allowed / game76.072.780.0
Point differential+14.2+16.7+11.2
Avg total166.2162.0171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%83%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1110191%90.276.0+14.2
2 Barcelona119282%84.277.1+7.1
3 Monaco117464%78.977.4+1.5
4 Virtus Bologna117464%83.081.7+1.3
5 Olympiacos116555%78.776.3+2.5
6 Baskonia116555%83.082.3+0.7
7 Fenerbahce116555%80.981.3-0.4
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv116555%84.786.2-1.5
9 Panathinaikos126650%81.779.8+1.9
10 Anadolu Efes126650%80.286.2-5.9
11 Partizan115645%87.587.0+0.5
12 Bayern115645%79.080.9-1.9
13 Valencia115645%73.976.9-3.0
14 Zalgiris Kaunas125742%78.680.1-1.5
15 Olimpia Milano114736%79.477.2+2.2
16 Crvena zvezda114736%82.080.1+1.9
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne112918%81.589.5-8.1
18 Alba Berlin1221017%75.785.8-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos1917211471
Real Madrid2314241677
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