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Virtus Bologna vs Trento Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 09 May 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWLWLL
Points / game97.4
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#6
Record3-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game81.8
ItalyLega ARound 30· Segafredo Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Trento
26 May 2026
VIR106
TRE95
19 May 2026
VIR84
TRE87
17 May 2026
VIR102
TRE71
01 Feb 2026
VIR85
TRE87
10 Mar 2025
VIR80
TRE75
05 May 2024
VIR108
TRE61
16 Apr 2023
VIR96
TRE80
13 Apr 2022
VIR95
TRE88
10 May 2021
VIR83
TRE91
26 Apr 2020
VIR v TRE
upcoming
28 Apr 2019
VIR74
TRE69
21 Jan 2018
VIR82
TRE75
03 Apr 2016
VIR68
TRE75
11 Jan 2015
VIR88
TRE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trento win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maxima Roma
#8
W
98-89
98
89
+9
H04/10
Lega A
Bayern
#18
W
94-87
94
87
+7
A08/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#5
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A11/10
Lega A
Paris
#16
W
96-94
96
94
+2
A14/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H16/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
108-83
108
83
+25
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
74-91
74
91
-17
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#11
L
101-103
101
103
-2
H30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
12-26
28-26
33-21
35-21
17-22
23-25
19-19
20-29
25-22
24-21
24-14
26-26
20-12
18-27
32-29
24-12
22-22
22-19
18-25
32-17
18-19
23-20
35-27
25-23
23-13
14-28
19-26
20-22
17-30
22-15
22-14
22-14
13-23
18-28
21-26
24-24
30-23
20-23
27-33
182.4Avg total
92.9Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)97.484.2181.6+13.2100%
Season at home (2)103.086.0189.0+17.0100%
Season away (3)93.783.0176.7+10.7100%
Last 10 (10)92.989.5182.4+3.470%
Last 5 (5)92.492.2184.6+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.888.2168.0-8.525%
vs Similar (4)89.591.0180.5-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)91.483.9175.2+7.573%
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#11
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A26/09
Lega A
Neptunas
#28
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A29/09
Eurocup
Treviso
#3
L
90-93
90
93
-3
H03/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#29
L
81-94
81
94
-13
H06/10
Eurocup
Udine
#12
W
74-66
74
66
+8
A10/10
Lega A
Chemnitz
#5
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H13/10
Eurocup
Varese
#9
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H18/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#25
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A21/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A24/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#18
W
94-92
94
92
+2
H27/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
20-25
16-18
21-17
21-15
15-21
23-15
17-22
16-22
20-28
28-20
26-23
22-28
13-22
26-19
20-25
23-21
15-12
16-17
20-16
17-19
17-18
24-18
22-33
23-17
26-24
23-21
15-23
24-19
21-34
15-22
19-15
26-22
19-16
19-24
17-25
23-16
24-34
20-17
27-25
167.1Avg total
82.5Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.081.8164.8+1.260%
Season at home (2)88.589.0177.5-0.550%
Season away (3)79.377.0156.3+2.367%
Last 10 (10)82.584.6167.1-2.150%
Last 5 (5)84.288.4172.6-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)85.688.7174.2-3.144%
vs Similar (16)81.983.5165.4-1.650%
vs Weaker (5)85.091.2176.2-6.220%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.0-2.0
Virtus BolognaTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maxima Roma
#8
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H04/10
Lega A
Bayern
#18
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A08/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#5
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A11/10
Lega A
Paris
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A14/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H16/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#11
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H30/10
Euroleague
86.6Avg total
45.0Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.341.586.8+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.742.190.7+6.667%-
Last 30 away (15)42.040.982.9+1.160%-
Last 10 (10)45.041.686.6+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.841.686.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.540.583.0+2.025%-
vs Similar (4)44.841.286.0+3.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.041.787.6+4.368%-
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A26/09
Lega A
Neptunas
#28
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A29/09
Eurocup
Treviso
#3
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H03/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#29
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H06/10
Eurocup
Udine
#12
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A10/10
Lega A
Chemnitz
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H13/10
Eurocup
Varese
#9
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H18/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#25
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A21/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A24/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#18
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H27/10
Eurocup
84.2Avg total
41.1Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.144.285.4-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.044.184.1-4.138%-
Last 30 away (17)42.044.486.4-2.435%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.184.2-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)44.043.887.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)42.345.988.2-3.622%-
vs Similar (16)40.442.582.9-2.144%-
vs Weaker (5)41.446.888.2-5.440%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 92.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.722.1
55.7%
54.3%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.8
34.6%
34.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws23.518.8
80.0%
74.4%18.8
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.0
48.9%
54.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.8
34.5%
34.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.216.0
75.5%
74.4%16.0
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LLWLWWWWWW
Trento
WLLWLWLLWW
#1
League position
#6
+4.2
Net rating
-2.0
101.4
Offensive rating
89.9
97.3
Defensive rating
91.9
54.1%
Effective FG%
50.2%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
13.7%
Turnover %
17.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.6%
3-point %
34.5%
59.2%
Assist %
66.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 89.9Defence97.3 · 91.9Shooting54.1% · 50.2%3-point %34.6% · 34.5%Ball care13.7% · 17.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Virtus Bologna wins
4
Trento wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HBesiktas101-103
28/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas74-91
25/10/26AOlimpia Milano98-94 OT
21/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv81-90
18/10/26HScafati108-83
16/10/26HBaskonia86-78
14/10/26AParis96-94
11/10/26AVenezia93-86
08/10/26ABayern94-87
04/10/26HMaxima Roma98-89
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26HBuducnost94-92
24/10/26AScafati81-87
21/10/26AJL Bourg79-90
18/10/26HVarese87-85
13/10/26HChemnitz80-88
10/10/26AUdine74-66
06/10/26HSlask Wroclaw81-94
03/10/26HTreviso90-93
29/09/26ANeptunas76-73
26/09/26AReggiana83-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.4103.093.7
Allowed / game84.286.083.0
Point differential+13.2+17.0+10.7
Avg total181.6189.0176.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Trento
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game83.088.579.3
Allowed / game81.889.077.0
Point differential+1.2-0.5+2.3
Avg total164.8177.5156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%97.484.2+13.2
2 Basket Napoli54180%93.287.2+6.0
3 Treviso54180%95.693.0+2.6
4 Olimpia Milano53260%90.682.2+8.4
5 Venezia53260%90.288.6+1.6
6 Trento53260%83.081.8+1.2
7 Verona53260%90.088.8+1.2
8 Maxima Roma53260%86.087.4-1.4
9 Varese53260%86.888.2-1.4
10 Trieste52340%89.085.2+3.8
11 Reggiana52340%85.284.4+0.8
12 Udine52340%79.880.8-1.0
13 BC Roma51420%99.697.8+1.8
14 Tortona51420%84.495.0-10.6
15 Scafati51420%78.490.0-11.6
16 Cantu5050%73.888.4-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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