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Virtus Bologna vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 68-71
15-16 15-28 22-16 16-11
Position#17
Record0-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game81.5
Virtus Bologna
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Position#13
Record1-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game70.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 3· Segafredo Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Zalgiris Kaunas
28 Oct 2026
VIR74
ZAL91
06 Jan 2026
VIR83
ZAL79
15 Oct 2024
VIR68
ZAL71
05 Oct 2023
VIR79
ZAL82
10 Jan 2023
VIR77
ZAL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
72-64
72
64
+8
70avg 79
H08/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
78-81
78
81
-3
75avg 79
A11/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
63avg 79
A13/06
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#3
W
96-87
96
87
+9
94avg 79
A21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
96-98 OT
96
98
-2
no box
A22/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trapani
#3
W
89-88
89
88
+1
88avg 79
A28/09
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
67-76
67
76
-9
61avg 79
H04/10
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
W
84-68
84
68
+16
82avg 79
H06/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
85-87
85
87
-2
82avg 79
A10/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#8
W
76-68
76
68
+8
66avg 79
A12/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
20-14
23-20
17-13
25-29
19-17
15-16
19-19
23-22
13-24
14-20
23-19
29-16
23-18
18-36
26-17
26-17
21-19
22-28
15-20
29-25
21-16
19-20
20-27
21-15
15-21
16-15
15-25
32-19
19-20
17-10
16-19
27-38
22-19
21-16
15-14
22-14
21-17
17-23
16-14
161.8Avg total
81.6Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.081.5157.5-5.50%
Season at home (1)67.076.0143.0-9.00%
Season away (1)85.087.0172.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)81.680.2161.8+1.450%
Last 5 (5)80.277.4157.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.076.0143.0-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.884.3164.1-4.527%
vs Weaker (17)87.377.7165.0+9.676%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
76avg 80
H05/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
94-104 OT
94
104
-10
87avg 80
A07/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
91-81
91
81
+10
81avg 80
H10/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
87-88
87
88
-1
74avg 80
A12/06
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
91-63
91
63
+28
92avg 80
A22/09
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
93-72
93
72
+21
88avg 80
A25/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
89-76
89
76
+13
83avg 80
A29/09
LKL
Barcelona
#6
W
74-67
74
67
+7
63avg 80
H03/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
88-91
88
91
-3
72avg 80
A06/10
LKL
Olympiacos
#2
L
68-74
68
74
-6
49avg 80
A11/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
19-24
20-11
21-23
30-19
20-25
17-27
20-16
25-15
22-21
19-20
25-25
24-23
24-28
17-19
22-18
17-19
23-15
28-16
23-13
22-20
24-16
26-19
21-17
27-19
24-19
20-23
18-15
21-14
22-17
7-17
24-19
18-22
17-28
25-23
28-18
6-21
18-14
19-17
25-22
166.8Avg total
86.3Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.070.5141.5+0.550%
Season at home (1)74.067.0141.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)68.074.0142.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)86.380.5166.8+5.850%
Last 5 (5)82.476.0158.4+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.068.3136.3-0.333%
vs Similar ◀ (9)88.382.1170.4+6.256%
vs Weaker (18)92.975.6168.4+17.383%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +4.1+4.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +4.1+4.1
Virtus BolognaZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H08/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A11/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A13/06
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#3
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A22/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trapani
#3
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A28/09
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H04/10
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H06/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A10/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#8
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A12/10
Lega A
83.7Avg total
44.0Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.139.084.2+6.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.537.083.5+9.579%-
Last 30 away (16)43.940.884.8+3.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.039.783.7+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)45.840.886.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.036.072.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.340.882.1+0.545%-
vs Weaker (17)47.838.486.1+9.476%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H05/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A07/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H10/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A12/06
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A22/09
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A25/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A29/09
LKL
Barcelona
#6
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H03/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A06/10
LKL
Olympiacos
#2
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A11/10
Euroleague
81.8Avg total
42.0Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.438.381.7+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.336.581.8+8.869%-
Last 30 away (14)41.240.481.6+0.857%-
Last 10 (10)42.039.881.8+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.077.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.732.363.0-1.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.841.684.3+1.244%-
vs Weaker (18)45.837.783.6+8.178%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.5
54.5%
54.5%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.3
30.3%
36.2%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.515.6
76.1%
78.0%15.6
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.921.4
53.6%
54.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.3
32.0%
36.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws23.417.5
74.8%
78.0%17.5
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WLWLWLWLLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
LLWWWWLWLL
#17
League position
#13
+0.4
Net rating
+7.3
108.1
Offensive rating
116.9
107.7
Defensive rating
109.6
51.0%
Effective FG%
51.4%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
16.3%
Turnover %
13.1%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.3%
3-point %
32.0%
68.7%
Assist %
52.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 116.9Defence107.7 · 109.6Shooting51.0% · 51.4%3-point %30.3% · 32.0%Ball care16.3% · 13.1%Off. rebounds28.6% · 33.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Virtus Bologna wins
4
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
19/03/24Zalgiris Kaunas v Virtus Bologna96-81
05/10/23Virtus Bologna v Zalgiris Kaunas79-82
10/01/23Virtus Bologna v Zalgiris Kaunas77-87
18/10/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Virtus Bologna68-65
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24AVenezia76-68
10/10/24ALyon-Villeurbanne85-87
06/10/24HPistoia84-68
04/10/24HAnadolu Efes67-76
28/09/24ATrapani89-88
22/09/24AOlimpia Milano96-98 OT
21/09/24ABasket Napoli96-87
13/06/24AOlimpia Milano73-85
11/06/24AOlimpia Milano78-81
08/06/24HOlimpia Milano72-64
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/24AOlympiacos68-74
06/10/24ARytas88-91
03/10/24HBarcelona74-67
29/09/24ANevezis89-76
25/09/24AJonava93-72
22/09/24ASiauliai91-63
12/06/24ARytas87-88
10/06/24HRytas91-81
07/06/24ARytas94-104 OT
05/06/24HRytas88-89 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.067.085.0
Allowed / game81.576.087.0
Point differential-5.5-9.0-2.0
Avg total157.5143.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game71.074.068.0
Allowed / game70.567.074.0
Point differential+0.5+7.0-6.0
Avg total141.5141.0142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos220100%90.578.0+12.5
2 Crvena zvezda330100%78.068.3+9.7
3 Monaco220100%89.079.5+9.5
4 Olympiacos32167%78.072.7+5.3
5 Maccabi Tel Aviv32167%87.086.0+1.0
6 Fenerbahce32167%74.075.0-1.0
7 Barcelona21150%77.573.5+4.0
8 Zalgiris Kaunas21150%71.070.5+0.5
9 Baskonia21150%79.580.0-0.5
10 Real Madrid21150%91.091.5-0.5
11 Bayern21150%88.091.5-3.5
12 Anadolu Efes31233%81.781.0+0.7
13 Lyon-Villeurbanne31233%82.786.0-3.3
14 Alba Berlin31233%78.084.7-6.7
15 Olimpia Milano31233%75.785.3-9.7
16 Paris2020%75.579.5-4.0
17 Virtus Bologna2020%76.081.5-5.5
18 Partizan2020%84.090.5-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna1515221668
Zalgiris Kaunas1628161171
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