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Virtus Bologna vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 83-79
25-22 18-12 20-22 20-23
Position#17
Record9-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#5
Record11-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 20· Segafredo Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Zalgiris Kaunas
28 Oct 2026
VIR74
ZAL91
06 Jan 2026
VIR83
ZAL79
15 Oct 2024
VIR68
ZAL71
05 Oct 2023
VIR79
ZAL82
10 Jan 2023
VIR77
ZAL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Tortona
#6
W
92-77
92
77
+15
92avg 79
H08/12
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
73avg 79
H12/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
63-74
63
74
-11
51avg 79
A14/12
Lega A
Partizan
#15
W
86-68
86
68
+18
80avg 79
A17/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
89-90
89
90
-1
91avg 79
A19/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#4
W
86-76
86
76
+10
85avg 79
H22/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#1
L
94-97
94
97
-3
85avg 79
H26/12
Euroleague
Trieste
#10
W
74-66
74
66
+8
69avg 79
A29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
97-85
97
85
+12
94avg 79
H02/01
Euroleague
Trapani
#3
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H04/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
28-15
32-22
12-20
24-21
18-15
15-14
17-29
11-21
24-14
14-23
14-16
24-19
16-18
23-15
23-16
15-23
31-22
24-25
19-20
18-21
23-17
25-15
20-23
25-23
16-27
19-27
34-20
25-22
19-17
11-13
19-14
14-27
33-20
30-19
20-19
–
–
–
–
148.7Avg total
77.5Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)83.183.2166.3-0.147%
Season at home (9)87.281.4168.7+5.878%
Season away (10)79.484.7164.1-5.320%
Last 10 (10)77.571.2148.7+6.360%
Last 5 (5)74.264.8139.0+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.481.3160.8-1.933%
vs Similar (10)84.582.7167.2+1.860%
vs Weaker (11)80.270.4150.5+9.891%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#5
W
108-71
108
71
+37
117avg 83
H07/12
LKL
Paris
#16
W
108-105
108
105
+3
109avg 83
A11/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
91-75
91
75
+16
94avg 83
A14/12
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
64-87
64
87
-23
57avg 83
H17/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
W
109-68
109
68
+41
113avg 83
H19/12
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
118-73
118
73
+45
126avg 83
A21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Panathinaikos
#7
L
85-92
85
92
-7
74avg 83
H23/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
90-81
90
81
+9
86avg 83
A27/12
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
93-80
93
80
+13
88avg 83
A30/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#3
W
112-77
112
77
+35
115avg 83
H04/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
27-18
26-18
26-13
28-29
20-27
32-17
28-32
24-21
22-27
27-14
18-13
17-28
18-9
16-26
13-24
28-15
25-15
29-18
27-20
33-21
25-10
35-19
25-23
28-19
22-21
14-23
21-29
23-20
27-18
22-19
18-24
18-25
21-15
24-13
30-27
31-25
32-6
23-18
26-28
178.7Avg total
97.8Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)87.282.0169.2+5.258%
Season at home (10)83.576.8160.3+6.760%
Season away (9)91.287.8179.0+3.456%
Last 10 (10)97.880.9178.7+16.980%
Last 5 (5)99.680.6180.2+19.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.095.0173.0-17.00%
vs Similar (9)88.085.6173.6+2.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)91.575.9167.4+15.680%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +7.3+7.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +7.3+7.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
Virtus BolognaZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#6
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H08/12
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H12/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A14/12
Lega A
Partizan
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A17/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A19/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H22/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#1
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H26/12
Euroleague
Trieste
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#13
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H02/01
Euroleague
82.9Avg total
42.7Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.939.981.8+2.062%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.239.882.9+3.469%-
Last 30 away (16)40.940.080.9+0.956%-
Last 10 (9)42.740.282.9+2.467%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.887.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.040.180.1-0.156%-
vs Similar (10)41.942.584.4-0.640%-
vs Weaker (10)43.737.180.8+6.690%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#5
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H07/12
LKL
Paris
#16
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A11/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A14/12
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H17/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H19/12
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
58-31
58
31
+27
A21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Panathinaikos
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H23/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A27/12
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A30/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#3
W
63-31
63
31
+32
H04/01
LKL
88.9Avg total
49.8Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.938.883.7+6.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.337.482.7+7.980%-
Last 30 away (15)44.540.384.8+4.353%-
Last 10 (10)49.839.188.9+10.760%-
Last 5 (5)52.036.088.0+16.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.050.086.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (9)43.439.983.3+3.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.037.883.8+8.270%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.1
54.1%
60.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.8
40.8%
35.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws16.112.2
75.8%
78.2%12.2
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 96.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.425.7
62.1%
60.4%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.610.1
42.8%
35.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.915.1
75.9%
78.2%15.1
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WWWLWLWLLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWLWWLWWW
#17
League position
#5
+6.9
Net rating
+23.0
114.1
Offensive rating
131.7
107.2
Defensive rating
108.7
57.1%
Effective FG%
62.8%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
19.0%
Turnover %
14.1%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
40.8%
3-point %
42.8%
66.9%
Assist %
65.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 131.7Defence107.2 · 108.7Shooting57.1% · 62.8%3-point %40.8% · 42.8%Ball care19.0% · 14.1%Off. rebounds30.9% · 35.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Virtus Bologna wins
7
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HTrapani20-0
02/01/26HOlimpia Milano97-85
29/12/25ATrieste74-66
26/12/25HOlympiacos94-97
22/12/25HBrescia86-76
19/12/25ACrvena zvezda89-90
17/12/25APartizan86-68
14/12/25AOlimpia Milano63-74
12/12/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv74-79
08/12/25HTortona92-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HNeptunas112-77
30/12/25AHapoel Tel-Aviv93-80
27/12/25ARytas90-81
23/12/25HPanathinaikos85-92
21/12/25AJonava118-73
19/12/25HPartizan109-68
17/12/25HAnadolu Efes64-87
14/12/25AJuventus91-75
11/12/25AParis108-105
07/12/25HGargzdai108-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW47%
HomeWWLLW78%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%78%20%
Points / game83.187.279.4
Allowed / game83.281.484.7
Point differential-0.1+5.8-5.3
Avg total166.3168.7164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%44%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW58%
HomeWLLWL60%
AwayLLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %58%60%56%
Points / game87.283.591.2
Allowed / game82.076.887.8
Point differential+5.2+6.7+3.4
Avg total169.2160.3179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv2014670%87.982.2+5.8
2 Valencia2014670%90.284.8+5.4
3 Fenerbahce1913668%82.179.2+2.9
4 Monaco2013765%91.283.5+7.7
5 Barcelona1912763%87.485.2+2.2
6 Real Madrid2012860%86.684.2+2.5
7 Panathinaikos2012860%87.785.7+2.0
8 Zalgiris Kaunas1911858%87.282.0+5.2
9 Olympiacos1911858%87.984.6+3.3
10 Crvena zvezda2011955%86.083.6+2.4
11 Olimpia Milano20101050%84.985.0-0.1
12 Virtus Bologna1991047%83.183.2-0.1
13 Dubai2091145%85.888.5-2.7
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv1981142%89.391.6-2.3
15 Paris1961332%90.592.8-2.3
16 Baskonia1961332%87.992.0-4.1
17 Anadolu Efes1961332%80.585.7-5.2
18 Bayern1961332%78.483.8-5.4
19 Lyon-Villeurbanne2061430%78.887.2-8.4
20 Partizan2061430%80.689.5-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2518202083
Zalgiris Kaunas2212222379
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