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Virtus Bologna vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 77-87
13-24 23-16 24-20 17-27
Position#14
Record8-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game80.7
Virtus Bologna
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Position#9
Record9-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game77.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 18
European cup2022
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Zalgiris Kaunas
28 Oct 2026
VIR74
ZAL91
06 Jan 2026
VIR83
ZAL79
15 Oct 2024
VIR68
ZAL71
05 Oct 2023
VIR79
ZAL82
10 Jan 2023
VIR77
ZAL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Scafati
#11
L
77-84
77
84
-7
57avg 79
H11/12
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#17
W
85-76
85
76
+9
87avg 79
H14/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
78-73
78
73
+5
66avg 79
H16/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#8
W
89-77
89
77
+12
87avg 79
A18/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
L
79-90
79
90
-11
68avg 79
A22/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
no box
A26/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
W
92-88
92
88
+4
92avg 79
H30/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
74-96
74
96
-22
65avg 79
H02/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
W
83-75
83
75
+8
85avg 79
A05/01
Euroleague
Tortona
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
A07/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
8-23
26-23
21-20
18-15
22-14
23-23
22-24
20-16
24-25
13-19
21-13
25-19
24-13
18-26
22-19
14-17
17-28
20-18
28-27
25-18
14-22
20-19
14-14
23-25
23-21
19-22
27-20
15-19
17-21
18-25
24-31
26-15
16-24
18-18
23-18
22-29
11-19
26-20
22-21
165.5Avg total
82.5Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.280.7157.9-3.547%
Season at home (8)79.476.4155.8+3.062%
Season away (9)75.384.6159.9-9.233%
Last 10 (10)82.583.0165.5-0.560%
Last 5 (5)83.486.0169.4-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.087.5165.5-9.540%
vs Similar ◀ (8)75.974.1150.0+1.850%
vs Weaker (12)85.975.8161.7+10.283%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
84-61
84
61
+23
91avg 76
H11/12
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
73-77
73
77
-4
68avg 76
A13/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
81-72
81
72
+9
70avg 76
H15/12
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
H18/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
89-71
89
71
+18
93avg 76
A21/12
LKL
Bayern
#16
W
75-67
75
67
+8
68avg 76
H23/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
82-84
82
84
-2
75avg 76
A29/12
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#6
W
95-79
95
79
+16
no box
A02/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Fenerbahce
#7
W
86-66
86
66
+20
no box
H05/01
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
77-46
77
46
+31
75avg 76
H08/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
21-18
21-13
23-16
22-14
15-22
21-20
15-21
18-21
19-14
19-20
25-17
24-12
8-25
27-14
26-26
20-14
17-19
33-17
19-21
26-21
18-14
16-13
15-19
26-17
23-25
15-18
18-24
26-21
22-14
28-25
19-19
21-15
20-15
26-10
19-26
12-13
19-13
25-15
21-5
152.7Avg total
82.7Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.077.6154.6-0.653%
Season at home (9)74.372.4146.8+1.978%
Season away (8)80.083.4163.4-3.425%
Last 10 (10)82.770.0152.7+12.780%
Last 5 (5)83.068.4151.4+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.783.0160.7-5.333%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.074.5149.5+0.560%
vs Weaker (14)88.072.1160.1+15.993%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
Virtus BolognaZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#11
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H11/12
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#17
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H14/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H16/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A18/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A22/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A26/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H30/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H02/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A05/01
Euroleague
Tortona
#3
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A07/01
Lega A
78.7Avg total
38.6Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.039.279.2+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.437.277.6+3.257%-
Last 30 away (16)39.641.080.6-1.450%-
Last 10 (10)38.640.178.7-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.442.681.0-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.045.083.0-7.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.533.272.8+6.288%-
vs Weaker (12)42.038.480.4+3.658%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H11/12
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A13/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H15/12
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H18/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A21/12
LKL
Bayern
#16
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H23/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A29/12
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#6
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A02/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Fenerbahce
#7
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H05/01
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H08/01
LKL
73.7Avg total
39.6Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.336.977.2+3.573%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.235.073.2+3.269%-
Last 30 away (14)42.839.081.8+3.879%-
Last 10 (10)39.634.173.7+5.590%-
Last 5 (5)42.633.676.2+9.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.741.081.7-0.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.637.073.6-0.450%-
vs Weaker (14)42.935.077.9+7.993%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.020.3
58.0%
53.5%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.3
36.2%
36.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.315.1
74.4%
78.5%15.1
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.7
53.4%
53.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.48.2
36.6%
36.2%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.712.6
75.4%
78.5%12.6
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LWLWWLWWWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWLWWWWLW
#14
League position
#9
-7.2
Net rating
+13.0
113.6
Offensive rating
112.4
120.8
Defensive rating
99.4
56.6%
Effective FG%
53.9%
59.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
18.7%
Turnover %
17.7%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.2%
3-point %
36.6%
61.2%
Assist %
61.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 112.4Defence120.8 · 99.4Shooting56.6% · 53.9%3-point %36.2% · 36.6%Ball care18.7% · 17.7%Off. rebounds27.0% · 33.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Virtus Bologna wins
1
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
18/10/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Virtus Bologna68-65
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23ATortona81-89
05/01/23ABarcelona83-75
02/01/23HOlimpia Milano74-96
30/12/22HFenerbahce92-88
26/12/22APesaro87-82 OT
22/12/22ABaskonia79-90
18/12/22ABrescia89-77
16/12/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv78-73
14/12/22HAlba Berlin85-76
11/12/22HScafati77-84
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/23HNeptunas77-46
05/01/23HFenerbahce86-66
02/01/23ABC Wolves95-79
29/12/22AMonaco82-84
23/12/22HBayern75-67
21/12/22AGargzdai89-71
18/12/22HLietkabelis85-77
15/12/22HReal Madrid81-72
13/12/22ACrvena zvezda73-77
11/12/22HPieno Zvaigzdes84-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW47%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%62%33%
Points / game77.279.475.3
Allowed / game80.776.484.6
Point differential-3.5+3.0-9.2
Avg total157.9155.8159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW53%
HomeLLWWW78%
AwayWLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %53%78%25%
Points / game77.074.380.0
Allowed / game77.672.483.4
Point differential-0.6+1.9-3.4
Avg total154.6146.8163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%11%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1812667%84.477.1+7.4
2 Monaco1812667%81.480.8+0.6
3 Baskonia1711665%85.980.7+5.2
4 Barcelona1711665%80.377.4+2.9
5 Olympiacos1811761%85.276.4+8.7
6 Fenerbahce1710759%82.878.5+4.2
7 Anadolu Efes179853%82.377.5+4.8
8 Zalgiris Kaunas179853%77.077.6-0.6
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv179853%80.581.6-1.1
10 Crvena zvezda189950%75.078.4-3.4
11 Partizan178947%84.584.9-0.5
12 Virtus Bologna178947%77.280.7-3.5
13 Valencia1771041%80.984.4-3.5
14 Bayern1761135%75.178.2-3.1
15 Panathinaikos1761135%78.383.0-4.7
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne1761135%74.179.6-5.6
17 Alba Berlin1861233%81.483.2-1.7
18 Olimpia Milano1861233%70.176.6-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna1323241777
Zalgiris Kaunas2416202787
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