Basket Napoli vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Sep 2024

Tip-off: 18:45

Final 87-96

16-29 18-23 36-18 17-26

Position#3

Record-

FormLWLLW

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Basket Napoli

Virtus Bologna 🏆

Position#2

Record-

FormWLWLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Lega A - Super CupLega A - Super Cup - Semi-finals· Nicolini A.

Other2024-25

Meetings · Basket Napoli v Virtus Bologna

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Napoli winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Virtus Bologna winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket Napoli Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNapoli

Date

Competition

Treviso

#13

95-81

+14

93avg 78

H03/03

Lega A

Tortona

72-97

-25

56avg 78

A10/03

Lega A

Pistoia

#10

93-95 OT

-2

no box

H16/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

84-86

-2

78avg 78

A24/03

Lega A

Venezia

90-97

-7

75avg 78

H30/03

Lega A

Varese

#12

79-113

113

-34

66avg 78

A07/04

Lega A

Sassari

88-79

90avg 78

H14/04

Lega A

Trento

93-103

103

-10

90avg 78

H21/04

Lega A

Reggiana

74-88

-14

62avg 78

A28/04

Lega A

Scafati

#14

102-92

102

+10

99avg 78

H05/05

Lega A

18-26

19-18

30-24

28-13

11-21

22-23

17-34

22-19

18-21

23-17

20-21

18-20

22-28

20-15

26-21

16-22

14-24

28-30

20-25

28-18

26-27

17-27

20-21

16-38

25-21

17-22

24-18

22-18

23-23

30-27

24-25

16-28

15-16

23-24

15-23

21-25

25-25

31-21

29-26

17-20

180.1Avg total

87.0Scored

93.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	87.0	93.1	180.1	-6.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	95.0	182.2	-7.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	81.6	90.2	171.8	-8.6	20%
vs Similar (19)	86.2	89.3	175.4	-3.1	42%
vs Weaker (5)	89.4	75.6	165.0	+13.8	100%

Virtus Bologna Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBologna

Date

Competition

Tortona

75-82

-7

69avg 80

A18/05

Lega A

Tortona

92-63

+29

97avg 80

H21/05

Lega A

Venezia

103-89 OT

103

+14

104avg 80

H24/05

Lega A

Venezia

79-78

83avg 80

H26/05

Lega A

Venezia

73-78

-5

73avg 80

A29/05

Lega A

Venezia

96-81

+15

91avg 80

A31/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

75-86 OT

-11

65avg 80

H06/06

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

72-64

70avg 80

H08/06

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

78-81

-3

75avg 80

A11/06

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

73-85

-12

63avg 80

A13/06

Lega A

18-21

19-22

18-24

20-15

21-14

25-21

23-19

23-9

24-22

28-15

15-28

19-21

28-15

19-15

17-27

15-21

29-16

20-22

10-21

14-19

23-27

34-18

13-21

26-15

19-14

14-11

15-29

20-14

12-17

20-14

23-20

17-13

25-29

19-17

15-16

19-19

23-22

13-24

14-20

23-19

160.3Avg total

81.6Scored

78.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	81.6	78.7	160.3	+2.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	79.4	158.2	-0.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	76.5	85.0	161.5	-8.5	0%
vs Similar (12)	78.2	82.7	160.9	-4.4	33%
vs Weaker (16)	88.1	79.5	167.6	+8.6	69%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Basket NapoliVirtus Bologna

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.9	41.4	-2.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	22.2	41.4	-3.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	21.6	41.4	-1.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	23.2	42.9	-3.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	22.4	45.2	+0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.8	26.6	47.4	-5.8	20%	-
vs Similar (19)	19.4	21.3	40.7	-1.9	32%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.8	21.4	40.2	-2.6	20%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.4	42.1	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	18.9	40.9	+3.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	21.9	43.2	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	19.7	41.9	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.8	42.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.5	25.5	41.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.9	21.1	42.0	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (16)	23.0	19.2	42.2	+3.8	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.1	42.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	20.7	42.5	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	21.4	42.2	-0.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	22.4	45.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	24.2	47.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.0	20.2	37.2	-3.2	60%	-
vs Similar (19)	21.7	23.1	44.7	-1.4	37%	-
vs Weaker (5)	25.0	15.0	40.0	+10.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	19.3	41.5	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	19.5	42.8	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	19.2	40.1	+1.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	17.9	39.0	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.8	36.8	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	22.0	41.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (16)	24.1	19.2	43.3	+4.9	69%	-

Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Treviso

#13

37-44

-7

H03/03

Lega A

Tortona

33-44

-11

A10/03

Lega A

Pistoia

#10

41-38

H16/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

42-43

-1

A24/03

Lega A

Venezia

42-54

-12

H30/03

Lega A

Varese

#12

43-54

-11

A07/04

Lega A

Sassari

42-43

-1

H14/04

Lega A

Trento

53-50

H21/04

Lega A

Reggiana

38-40

-2

A28/04

Lega A

Scafati

#14

56-46

+10

H05/05

Lega A

88.3Avg total

42.7Scored

45.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	43.0	83.7	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.9	42.9	83.9	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.6	43.0	83.6	-2.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	45.6	88.3	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	46.6	93.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.8	46.8	84.6	-9.0	20%	-
vs Similar (19)	41.1	44.4	85.5	-3.3	32%	-
vs Weaker (5)	43.8	36.4	80.2	+7.4	60%	-

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tortona

37-43

-6

A18/05

Lega A

Tortona

46-35

+11

H21/05

Lega A

Venezia

52-37

+15

H24/05

Lega A

Venezia

47-30

+17

H26/05

Lega A

Venezia

49-38

+11

A29/05

Lega A

Venezia

57-45

+12

A31/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

33-25

H06/06

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

32-31

H08/06

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

44-46

-2

A11/06

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

36-46

-10

A13/06

Lega A

80.9Avg total

43.3Scored

37.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	39.7	83.5	+4.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.4	38.3	83.7	+7.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.2	41.1	83.3	+1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	37.6	80.9	+5.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	38.6	79.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	35.0	47.5	82.5	-12.5	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	40.8	40.2	81.0	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (16)	47.1	38.4	85.6	+8.7	75%	-

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	20.6	42.7	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.6	20.6	44.2	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.7	20.6	41.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	23.8	46.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	22.6	45.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.8	20.0	42.8	+2.8	60%	-
vs Similar (19)	21.9	22.3	44.2	-0.3	42%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.8	15.8	36.6	+5.0	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.7	39.7	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	20.5	40.9	-0.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	20.9	38.5	-3.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	22.5	38.8	-6.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	21.2	37.2	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	15.5	36.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.2	23.2	41.4	-4.9	17%	-
vs Weaker (16)	19.4	19.4	38.9	+0.0	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	22.4	44.3	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.5	22.2	45.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	22.5	43.1	-1.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	22.1	42.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	25.8	44.2	-7.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.0	23.4	44.4	-2.4	20%	-
vs Similar (19)	22.4	21.8	44.2	+0.6	58%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.0	22.4	44.4	-0.4	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.5	38.8	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	19.5	38.9	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	19.5	38.8	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	16.5	36.1	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.6	17.8	36.4	+0.8	58%	-
vs Weaker (16)	19.6	20.5	40.1	-0.9	38%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	43.0	87.0	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	47.1	42.8	89.9	+4.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.3	43.1	84.4	-1.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	45.9	88.8	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	48.4	89.2	-7.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	43.8	43.4	87.2	+0.4	40%	-
vs Similar (19)	44.3	44.1	88.4	+0.3	53%	-
vs Weaker (5)	42.8	38.2	81.0	+4.6	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	40.2	78.5	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	40.0	79.7	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	40.4	77.3	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	39.0	74.9	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	37.2	74.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	41.5	37.5	79.0	+4.0	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	36.8	41.0	77.8	-4.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (16)	39.1	39.9	79.0	-0.9	44%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 87.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 22% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.1	19.9	52.2%	-	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.2	9.5	30.4%	-	28.5
🏀 Free throws	24.1	19.3	80.1%	-	19.3

They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 81.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 22% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	19.4	52.9%	-	38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.7	8.1	34.2%	-	24.3
🏀 Free throws	23.2	17.9	77.2%	-	17.9

They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.4	21.1	56.4%	-	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.5	12.0	38.1%	-	36.0
🏀 Free throws	22.3	16.6	74.4%	-	16.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.7	17.4	50.1%	-	34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	9.2	34.1%	-	27.6
🏀 Free throws	20.7	15.7	75.8%	-	15.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	18.9	53.1%	-	37.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.7	10.2	33.3%	-	30.6
🏀 Free throws	21.1	16.7	78.9%	-	16.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.8	19.5	54.6%	-	39.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	9.0	34.7%	-	26.9
🏀 Free throws	20.7	16.1	77.8%	-	16.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.9	19.8	56.7%	-	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.0	10.6	34.3%	-	31.9
🏀 Free throws	20.4	15.2	74.5%	-	15.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.9	17.9	51.4%	-	35.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	9.6	35.4%	-	28.8
🏀 Free throws	19.9	15.2	76.2%	-	15.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Basket Napoli

WLLWLLLLLW

Virtus Bologna

LLWLWLWWWL

League position

-8.8

Net rating

+4.0

107.3

Offensive rating

113.0

116.1

Defensive rating

109.0

49.3%

Effective FG%

52.2%

56.7%

Opp. effective FG%

50.6%

13.4%

Turnover %

15.0%

26.6%

Off. rebound %

28.6%

0.35

Free-throw rate

0.38

30.4%

3-point %

34.2%

64.3%

Assist %

75.6%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Basket Napoli ■ Virtus Bologna

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Basket Napoli wins

Virtus Bologna wins

Date	Game	Score
28/01/24	Virtus Bologna v Basket Napoli	101-89
30/10/23	Basket Napoli v Virtus Bologna	75-88
08/04/23	Virtus Bologna v Basket Napoli	81-89
02/10/22	Basket Napoli v Virtus Bologna	77-89
06/03/22	Virtus Bologna v Basket Napoli	86-75
24/10/21	Basket Napoli v Virtus Bologna	92-89

Basket Napolilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/05/24	H	Scafati	102-92
28/04/24	A	Reggiana	74-88
21/04/24	H	Trento	93-103
14/04/24	H	Sassari	88-79
07/04/24	A	Varese	79-113
30/03/24	H	Venezia	90-97
24/03/24	A	Olimpia Milano	84-86
16/03/24	H	Pistoia	93-95 OT
10/03/24	A	Tortona	72-97
03/03/24	H	Treviso	95-81

Virtus Bolognalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/06/24	A	Olimpia Milano	73-85
11/06/24	A	Olimpia Milano	78-81
08/06/24	H	Olimpia Milano	72-64
06/06/24	H	Olimpia Milano	75-86 OT
31/05/24	A	Venezia	96-81
29/05/24	A	Venezia	73-78
26/05/24	H	Venezia	79-78
24/05/24	H	Venezia	103-89 OT
21/05/24	H	Tortona	92-63
18/05/24	A	Tortona	75-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Napoli

Lega A - Super Cup 2024-25

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Virtus Bologna

Lega A - Super Cup 2024-25

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	1	1	0	100%	73.0	62.0	+11.0
2	Venezia	1	0	1	0%	62.0	73.0	-11.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Basket Napoli	16	18	36	17	87
Virtus Bologna	29	23	18	26	96

← all games of the day

Basket Napoli vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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