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Virtus Roma vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Nov 2019
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 92-83
24-20 20-20 23-22 25-21
Position#15
Record4-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#17
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game93.9
ItalyLega ARound 9
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Virtus Roma v Pesaro
25 Oct 2020
VRO69
PES84
10 Sep 2020
VRO56
PES89
17 Nov 2019
VRO92
PES83
28 Feb 2015
VRO76
PES80
22 Mar 2014
VRO96
PES85
20 Jan 2013
VRO65
PES64
11 Jan 2012
VRO73
PES77
30 Jan 2011
VRO85
PES53
14 Mar 2010
VRO70
PES61
15 Mar 2009
VRO98
PES76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
L
77-77
77
77
+0
H28/04
A2 East
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
L
100-103 OT
100
103
-3
A01/05
A2 East
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A25/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
63-87
63
87
-24
H29/09
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
97-94
97
94
+3
H06/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
81-67
81
67
+14
A12/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H20/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H27/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
72-108
72
108
-36
A02/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A10/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
26-25
16-18
18-21
11-27
27-14
21-25
23-16
16-17
13-23
23-24
15-10
14-27
13-16
22-26
14-18
23-26
27-23
21-23
26-22
22-19
19-16
24-17
16-15
21-16
20-20
20-9
18-20
29-16
14-14
15-32
15-17
24-25
11-32
18-31
19-20
23-19
17-28
24-13
12-14
161.3Avg total
78.5Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.081.0157.0-5.050%
Season at home (4)78.081.2159.2-3.250%
Season away (4)74.080.8154.8-6.850%
Last 10 (10)78.582.8161.3-4.340%
Last 5 (5)76.278.6154.8-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.284.6162.8-6.333%
vs Similar (11)78.877.0155.8+1.855%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)88.880.2169.0+8.670%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#7
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A28/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
73-100
73
100
-27
H05/05
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A12/05
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H24/09
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
79-99
79
99
-20
A29/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
79-94
79
94
-15
H13/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
99-108
99
108
-9
A20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
65-90
65
90
-25
H27/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A03/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
95-101 OT
95
101
-6
H09/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
8-19
28-19
17-24
12-24
19-25
16-25
26-26
17-26
18-26
19-24
17-17
20-23
21-17
7-26
24-14
19-20
15-30
22-25
23-24
19-25
16-29
13-16
31-24
27-32
24-27
20-19
28-30
20-24
15-19
19-20
11-27
27-16
12-24
18-24
18-21
8-18
23-24
30-15
21-25
171.4Avg total
78.3Scored
93.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.693.9174.4-13.30%
Season at home (4)77.891.2169.0-13.50%
Season away (3)84.397.3181.7-13.00%
Last 10 (10)78.393.1171.4-14.80%
Last 5 (5)82.695.6178.2-13.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)79.094.0173.0-15.010%
vs Similar (1)81.077.0158.0+4.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -6.9-6.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.6-1.6
Virtus RomaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H28/04
A2 East
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A01/05
A2 East
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A25/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H29/09
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H06/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A12/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H20/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H27/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A02/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A10/11
Lega A
80.3Avg total
38.7Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.281.3+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.338.580.8+3.780%-
Last 30 away (15)40.041.981.9-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)38.741.680.3-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.041.081.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.442.380.8-3.944%-
vs Similar (11)40.538.679.1+1.855%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.340.084.3+4.370%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#7
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A28/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H05/05
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A12/05
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H24/09
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A29/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H13/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H27/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A03/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H09/11
Lega A
82.9Avg total
36.2Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.447.686.0-9.217%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.247.287.4-7.019%-
Last 30 away (14)36.348.184.4-11.814%-
Last 10 (10)36.246.782.9-10.510%-
Last 5 (5)38.247.685.8-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)38.147.785.8-9.617%-
vs Similar (1)46.046.092.0+0.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.5
49.1%
52.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.48.1
36.3%
35.1%24.4
🏀 Free throws15.611.9
76.0%
73.6%11.9
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.0
50.8%
52.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.3
32.3%
35.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws14.710.4
70.7%
73.6%10.4
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Roma
WLLWWWLLLL
Pesaro
LLLLLLLLLL
#15
League position
#17
-6.6
Net rating
-20.1
103.8
Offensive rating
101.6
110.4
Defensive rating
121.7
51.0%
Effective FG%
49.8%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
19.2%
Turnover %
16.3%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.3%
3-point %
32.3%
54.3%
Assist %
36.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 101.6Defence110.4 · 121.7Shooting51.0% · 49.8%3-point %36.3% · 32.3%Ball care19.2% · 16.3%Off. rebounds30.4% · 25.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 0%
■ Virtus Roma   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Virtus Roma wins
5
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
28/02/15Virtus Roma v Pesaro76-80
08/11/14Pesaro v Virtus Roma89-87
22/03/14Virtus Roma v Pesaro96-85
08/12/13Pesaro v Virtus Roma77-82
20/01/13Virtus Roma v Pesaro65-64
30/09/12Pesaro v Virtus Roma71-75
02/05/12Pesaro v Virtus Roma83-75
11/01/12Virtus Roma v Pesaro73-77 OT
30/01/11Virtus Roma v Pesaro85-53
24/10/10Pesaro v Virtus Roma76-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/19ACantu76-74
02/11/19ASassari72-108
27/10/19HOlimpia Milano73-79
20/10/19HFortitudo Bologna79-65
12/10/19APistoia81-67
06/10/19HCremona97-94
29/09/19HBrindisi63-87
25/09/19AVirtus Bologna67-74
01/05/19AFortitudo Bologna100-103 OT
28/04/19HFortitudo Bologna77-77
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/19HTrento95-101 OT
03/11/19ATreviso75-85
27/10/19HReggiana65-90
20/10/19ABrindisi99-108
13/10/19HVirtus Bologna79-94
29/09/19ASassari79-99
24/09/19HFortitudo Bologna72-80
12/05/19ATorino71-93
05/05/19HReggiana73-100
28/04/19AVarese75-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game76.078.074.0
Allowed / game81.081.280.8
Point differential-5.0-3.2-6.8
Avg total157.0159.2154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game80.677.884.3
Allowed / game93.991.297.3
Point differential-13.3-13.5-13.0
Avg total174.4169.0181.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna990100%83.675.2+8.3
2 Sassari86275%82.168.4+13.8
3 Brindisi86275%84.080.4+3.6
4 Olimpia Milano95456%81.173.7+7.4
5 Brescia95456%81.675.4+6.1
6 Fortitudo Bologna95456%76.178.2-2.1
7 Reggiana84450%81.179.5+1.6
8 Varese84450%80.679.5+1.1
9 Trento84450%79.981.5-1.6
10 Cremona84450%76.880.5-3.8
11 Virtus Roma84450%76.081.0-5.0
12 Venezia94544%74.372.2+2.1
13 Treviso94544%77.077.2-0.2
14 Cantu83538%69.974.8-4.9
15 Trieste82625%72.279.5-7.2
16 Pistoia92722%72.381.6-9.2
17 Pesaro7070%80.693.9-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Roma2420232592
Pesaro2020222183
← all games of the day
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