Virtus Roma vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Mar 2010

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 70-61

21-19 19-13 11-18 19-11

Position#7

Record10-10

FormWWLWL

Points / game81.1

Allowed / game75.7

Virtus Roma 🏆

Pesaro

Position#11

Record7-13

FormWWLLL

Points / game82.0

Allowed / game83.0

Lega A

Domestic2009-10

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Pesaro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pesaro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maccabi Tel Aviv

59-79

-20

A07/01

Euroleague

NSB Napoli

#16

138-37

138

+101

H10/01

Lega A

Petrol Olimpija

#29

69-48

+21

H14/01

Euroleague

Virtus Bologna

61-81

-20

A17/01

Lega A

Caserta

83-64

+19

H24/01

Lega A

Cremona

#12

79-75

A31/01

Lega A

Treviso

100-76

100

+24

H07/02

Lega A

Avellino

56-74

-18

A14/02

Lega A

Ferrara

#15

84-73

+11

H28/02

Lega A

Biella

#14

80-85

-5

A07/03

Lega A

20-22

15-13

13-21

11-23

31-10

35-8

27-5

45-14

13-5

15-10

21-13

20-20

12-20

10-27

20-19

19-15

16-13

20-11

22-21

25-19

13-13

21-19

30-14

15-29

21-13

17-19

22-24

40-20

18-17

13-13

9-28

16-16

17-15

22-17

18-21

27-20

19-22

19-24

23-18

19-21

150.1Avg total

80.9Scored

69.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	81.1	75.7	156.8	+5.4	50%
Season at home (10)	85.0	71.0	156.0	+14.0	60%
Season away (10)	77.2	80.4	157.6	-3.2	40%
Last 10 (10)	80.9	69.2	150.1	+11.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	76.6	156.4	+3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	67.6	79.0	146.6	-11.4	20%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	78.3	76.8	155.1	+1.5	53%
vs Weaker (6)	85.0	66.2	151.2	+18.8	50%

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pesaro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

94-86

H31/01

Lega A

Buducnost

#14

90-77

+13

H02/02

EuroChallenge

Siena

76-90

-14

A07/02

Lega A

Chalon/Saone

88-83

H09/02

EuroChallenge

Treviso

84-94

-10

H14/02

Lega A

Apoel BC

#11

78-69

H23/02

EuroChallenge

Cantu

93-81

+12

A28/02

Lega A

Buducnost

#14

87-90

-3

A02/03

EuroChallenge

Caserta

81-89

-8

H07/03

Lega A

Chalon/Saone

88-94

-6

A09/03

EuroChallenge

20-23

26-22

31-23

17-18

21-28

17-14

29-16

23-19

22-22

16-27

16-23

22-18

19-21

26-20

17-21

26-21

26-27

20-24

21-25

17-18

18-13

14-15

23-23

23-18

24-26

17-19

36-16

16-20

21-10

19-21

16-28

31-31

21-22

22-18

17-22

21-27

27-23

19-25

20-14

22-32

171.2Avg total

85.9Scored

85.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	82.0	83.0	164.9	-1.0	35%
Season at home (10)	84.3	81.4	165.7	+2.9	50%
Season away (10)	79.6	84.6	164.2	-5.0	20%
Last 10 (10)	85.9	85.3	171.2	+0.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	84.6	170.0	+0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	79.3	91.3	170.7	-12.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	80.1	81.9	161.9	-1.8	44%
vs Weaker (11)	86.6	71.6	158.3	+15.0	82%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaPesaro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.4	37.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	17.0	35.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	19.8	38.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	15.0	33.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	16.0	33.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	17.8	18.9	36.7	-1.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.3	15.3	35.7	+5.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	20.4	42.6	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	20.7	44.1	+2.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	20.1	41.0	+0.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	21.5	43.4	+0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.8	41.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.7	21.7	44.3	+1.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.3	21.2	42.6	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.4	18.7	42.1	+4.6	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.2	36.8	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	15.7	34.9	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	20.7	38.8	-2.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	16.1	34.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.4	36.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	13.8	18.2	32.0	-4.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	58%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.7	17.5	37.2	+2.2	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.6	38.8	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	18.4	40.5	+3.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	18.9	37.1	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.5	40.1	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	22.0	42.7	-1.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.1	16.6	38.7	+5.5	73%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maccabi Tel Aviv

35-35

A07/01

Euroleague

NSB Napoli

#16

66-18

+48

H10/01

Lega A

Petrol Olimpija

#29

28-15

+13

H14/01

Euroleague

Virtus Bologna

22-47

-25

A17/01

Lega A

Caserta

36-24

+12

H24/01

Lega A

Cremona

#12

34-32

A31/01

Lega A

Treviso

38-32

H07/02

Lega A

Avellino

31-30

A14/02

Lega A

Ferrara

#15

39-32

H28/02

Lega A

Biella

#14

38-46

-8

A07/03

Lega A

67.8Avg total

36.7Scored

31.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	36.6	73.9	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.5	32.7	70.3	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.0	40.5	77.5	-3.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	31.1	67.8	+5.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	34.4	70.4	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	33.4	38.4	71.8	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	37.4	37.3	74.7	+0.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.0	32.8	72.8	+7.2	67%	-

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

46-45

H31/01

Lega A

Buducnost

#14

38-42

-4

H02/02

EuroChallenge

Siena

38-49

-11

A07/02

Lega A

Chalon/Saone

45-41

H09/02

EuroChallenge

Treviso

46-51

-5

H14/02

Lega A

Apoel BC

#11

32-28

H23/02

EuroChallenge

Cantu

41-45

-4

A28/02

Lega A

Buducnost

#14

40-31

A02/03

EuroChallenge

Caserta

43-40

H07/03

Lega A

Chalon/Saone

46-48

-2

A09/03

EuroChallenge

83.5Avg total

41.5Scored

42.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	39.0	81.3	+3.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.5	39.1	84.6	+6.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	38.9	78.1	+0.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	42.0	83.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	38.4	78.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	43.3	43.7	87.0	-0.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	40.0	40.6	80.6	-0.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (11)	45.5	35.4	80.8	+10.1	73%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.7	36.5	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	16.7	36.5	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	18.6	36.5	-0.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	18.4	38.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.6	17.8	34.4	-1.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.3	19.0	38.3	+0.3	63%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.3	13.3	32.7	+6.0	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	20.0	42.2	+2.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	20.3	41.5	+0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.2	19.7	42.9	+3.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	21.1	43.7	+1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.6	43.0	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	23.3	39.7	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	24.2	20.8	45.0	+3.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.9	17.9	38.8	+3.0	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.7	40.6	+1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	20.0	42.1	+2.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	19.4	39.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	19.7	43.4	+4.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	21.2	44.6	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	14.2	19.0	33.2	-4.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	21.6	20.5	42.1	+1.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.2	17.8	42.0	+6.3	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	19.8	37.4	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	20.5	37.1	-4.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	22.2	44.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	25.6	48.2	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	24.3	44.0	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	15.5	19.9	35.4	-4.4	12%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.3	18.4	38.6	+1.9	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	37.4	77.1	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	36.7	78.6	+5.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	38.0	75.5	-0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	38.1	82.3	+6.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	42.2	86.0	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	30.8	36.8	67.6	-6.0	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	40.8	39.5	80.3	+1.4	58%	-
vs Weaker (6)	43.5	31.2	74.7	+12.3	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	39.8	79.6	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.0	39.3	79.3	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.7	40.3	80.0	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.4	43.3	87.7	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	46.2	91.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.0	47.7	83.7	-11.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	39.7	40.7	80.4	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	41.2	36.3	77.5	+4.9	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Pesaro wins

Date	Game	Score
15/11/09	Pesaro v Virtus Roma	73-84
15/03/09	Virtus Roma v Pesaro	98-76
23/11/08	Pesaro v Virtus Roma	106-93

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/10	A	Biella	80-85
28/02/10	H	Ferrara	84-73
14/02/10	A	Avellino	56-74
07/02/10	H	Treviso	100-76
31/01/10	A	Cremona	79-75
24/01/10	H	Caserta	83-64
17/01/10	A	Virtus Bologna	61-81
14/01/10	H	Petrol Olimpija	69-48
10/01/10	H	NSB Napoli	138-37
07/01/10	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	59-79

Pesarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/03/10	A	Chalon/Saone	88-94
07/03/10	H	Caserta	81-89
02/03/10	A	Buducnost	87-90
28/02/10	A	Cantu	93-81
23/02/10	H	Apoel BC	78-69
14/02/10	H	Treviso	84-94
09/02/10	H	Chalon/Saone	88-83
07/02/10	A	Siena	76-90
02/02/10	H	Buducnost	90-77
31/01/10	H	Avellino	94-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	50%
Home	WWWWW	60%
Away	WLWLL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	50%	60%	40%
Points / game	81.1	85.0	77.2
Allowed / game	75.7	71.0	80.4
Point differential	+5.4	+14.0	-3.2
Avg total	156.8	156.0	157.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	50%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	5%	10%	0%

Pesaro

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	35%
Home	WWWLL	50%
Away	WLLLW	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	35%	50%	20%
Points / game	82.0	84.3	79.6
Allowed / game	83.0	81.4	84.6
Point differential	-1.1	+2.9	-5.0
Avg total	164.9	165.7	164.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	10%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	100% (2)	20% (5)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	21	21	0	100%	90.2	66.0	+24.2
2	Caserta	21	14	7	67%	86.5	74.9	+11.6
3	Sutor Montegranaro	21	14	7	67%	80.8	77.8	+3.0
4	Olimpia Milano	21	13	8	62%	76.9	75.0	+1.9
5	Avellino	20	12	8	60%	80.0	74.8	+5.2
6	Virtus Bologna	21	12	9	57%	77.5	72.5	+5.0
7	Cantu	21	12	9	57%	78.5	74.4	+4.0
8	Virtus Roma	20	10	10	50%	81.1	75.7	+5.4
9	Treviso	20	10	10	50%	82.2	82.5	-0.3
10	Biella	20	9	11	45%	81.0	79.8	+1.1
11	Varese	20	9	11	45%	76.0	80.2	-4.2
12	Teramo	21	9	12	43%	77.2	75.1	+2.1
13	Cremona	20	7	13	35%	83.1	80.8	+2.4
14	Pesaro	20	7	13	35%	82.0	83.0	-1.1
15	Ferrara	20	5	15	25%	74.3	81.7	-7.3
16	NSB Napoli	21	0	21	0%	58.0	111.0	-53.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	21	19	11	19	70
Pesaro	19	13	18	11	61

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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