Virtus Roma vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2015

Tip-off: 17:30

Final 76-80

20-22 21-22 12-18 23-18

Position#14

Record7-12

FormLWWWL

Points / game70.9

Allowed / game73.9

Virtus Roma

Pesaro 🏆

Position#17

Record5-14

FormLLWLW

Points / game71.7

Allowed / game83.2

Lega ARound 20

Domestic2014-15

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Pesaro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pesaro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

70-60

+10

A11/01

Lega A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#31

53-67

-14

A14/01

Eurocup

Cedevita

#18

73-66

H21/01

Eurocup

Caserta

#16

53-54

-1

A25/01

Lega A

Cedevita

#18

90-91 OT

-1

A27/01

Eurocup

Venezia

62-72

-10

H01/02

Lega A

Volgograd

#13

88-86 OT

A04/02

Eurocup

Capo d'Orlando

#15

67-63

H08/02

Lega A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#31

87-66

+21

H11/02

Eurocup

Sassari

61-72

-11

A15/02

Lega A

22-24

17-6

12-19

19-11

11-22

12-6

7-16

23-23

19-12

20-19

11-22

23-13

12-7

16-19

19-12

6-16

15-19

18-15

25-24

24-24

19-14

13-20

16-18

14-20

15-18

16-21

21-20

22-15

19-12

13-12

13-23

22-16

23-21

18-15

27-14

19-16

18-22

14-13

16-18

13-19

140.1Avg total

70.4Scored

69.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	70.9	73.9	144.8	-3.1	37%
Season at home (9)	72.8	71.9	144.7	+0.9	56%
Season away (10)	69.2	75.8	145.0	-6.6	20%
Last 10 (10)	70.4	69.7	140.1	+0.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	71.8	144.8	+1.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	69.8	78.8	148.6	-9.0	0%
vs Similar (10)	70.6	71.6	142.2	-1.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	80.9	77.7	158.7	+3.2	60%

This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pesaro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

#11

80-73

A14/12

Lega A

Trento

57-76

-19

H21/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

67-70

-3

H26/12

Lega A

Pistoia

#10

53-84

-31

A29/12

Lega A

Cantu

83-103

103

-20

H04/01

Lega A

Caserta

#16

73-80

-7

A11/01

Lega A

Brindisi

93-101

101

-8

H25/01

Lega A

Varese

#12

80-70

+10

A01/02

Lega A

Avellino

#13

62-77

-15

H08/02

Lega A

Reggiana

75-74

H15/02

Lega A

17-24

19-23

23-13

21-13

24-19

8-25

9-13

16-19

9-18

14-18

24-16

20-18

9-17

14-25

15-19

15-23

16-24

16-19

24-35

27-25

16-21

10-20

24-24

23-15

19-28

17-21

25-28

32-24

14-22

24-19

23-8

19-21

20-14

16-14

7-31

19-18

13-21

24-21

22-15

16-17

153.1Avg total

72.3Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	71.7	83.2	154.9	-11.5	26%
Season at home (10)	76.2	83.4	159.6	-7.2	30%
Season away (9)	66.7	83.0	149.7	-16.3	22%
Last 10 (10)	72.3	80.8	153.1	-8.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	80.4	157.0	-3.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	73.0	83.8	156.8	-10.9	32%
vs Similar (2)	87.0	83.0	170.0	+4.0	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaPesaro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	18.3	36.4	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	16.9	36.7	+2.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.3	19.8	36.1	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	17.1	34.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	17.4	36.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	60%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.9	17.8	34.7	-0.9	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	18.5	18.3	36.8	+0.1	53%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	22.2	39.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.7	20.8	39.5	-2.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.6	23.8	39.4	-8.2	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.7	20.8	36.5	-5.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	21.2	37.6	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	16.7	22.1	38.8	-5.5	14%	-
vs Similar (2)	25.0	23.0	48.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	17.8	35.5	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	18.5	37.1	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	17.2	33.9	-0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.7	14.6	30.3	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	16.2	31.0	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	15.0	17.6	32.6	-2.6	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.1	18.8	36.9	-0.7	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	18.3	17.3	35.6	+1.1	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	20.8	38.5	-3.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	20.1	40.1	-0.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.1	21.6	36.7	-6.4	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	20.5	36.7	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	17.1	20.6	37.7	-3.6	32%	-
vs Similar (2)	26.5	23.0	49.5	+3.5	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

39-30

A11/01

Lega A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#31

23-28

-5

A14/01

Eurocup

Cedevita

#18

39-31

H21/01

Eurocup

Caserta

#16

28-26

A25/01

Lega A

Cedevita

#18

33-34

-1

A27/01

Eurocup

Venezia

32-34

-2

H01/02

Lega A

Volgograd

#13

31-39

-8

A04/02

Eurocup

Capo d'Orlando

#15

32-24

H08/02

Lega A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#31

41-36

H11/02

Eurocup

Sassari

32-35

-3

A15/02

Lega A

64.7Avg total

33.0Scored

31.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	36.2	71.9	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	35.3	73.8	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.0	37.0	70.0	-4.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.0	31.7	64.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	33.6	67.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	34.0	37.0	71.0	-3.0	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	35.0	36.6	71.6	-1.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	36.8	35.6	72.4	+1.2	53%	-

This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

#11

36-47

-11

A14/12

Lega A

Trento

32-44

-12

H21/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

23-36

-13

H26/12

Lega A

Pistoia

#10

23-42

-19

A29/12

Lega A

Cantu

32-43

-11

H04/01

Lega A

Caserta

#16

26-41

-15

A11/01

Lega A

Brindisi

36-49

-13

H25/01

Lega A

Varese

#12

38-41

-3

A01/02

Lega A

Avellino

#13

36-28

H08/02

Lega A

Reggiana

37-42

-5

H15/02

Lega A

73.2Avg total

31.9Scored

41.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.9	43.0	77.9	-8.1	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.6	40.9	79.6	-2.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	30.7	45.4	76.1	-14.6	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.9	41.3	73.2	-9.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	40.2	74.8	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	33.8	42.8	76.5	-9.0	18%	-
vs Similar (2)	51.5	46.0	97.5	+5.5	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	18.3	36.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	18.1	35.5	-0.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	18.5	36.5	-0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	18.6	35.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.0	17.4	34.4	-0.4	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.3	16.6	32.9	-0.3	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	18.9	19.7	38.6	-0.9	47%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	21.6	40.4	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	21.8	40.8	-2.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	21.4	40.0	-2.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	18.8	21.6	40.4	-2.9	32%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.5	20.5	41.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	20.2	39.1	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	17.3	35.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.2	35.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.8	24.4	43.2	-5.6	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.3	18.4	37.7	+0.9	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.7	18.8	40.5	+2.9	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.3	40.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	20.5	19.4	39.9	+1.1	54%	-
vs Similar (2)	15.0	16.5	31.5	-1.5	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	37.9	76.0	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.3	37.1	76.5	+2.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	38.7	75.6	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.2	35.9	71.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	35.8	72.4	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.8	41.8	77.6	-6.0	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	35.6	35.0	70.6	+0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	40.6	38.5	79.1	+2.1	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	40.8	79.7	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.8	41.0	80.8	-1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.0	40.5	78.5	-2.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	39.5	79.9	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	40.2	82.2	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	39.2	41.0	80.2	-1.8	43%	-
vs Similar (2)	35.5	37.0	72.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Pesaro wins

Date	Game	Score
08/11/14	Pesaro v Virtus Roma	89-87
22/03/14	Virtus Roma v Pesaro	96-85
08/12/13	Pesaro v Virtus Roma	77-82
20/01/13	Virtus Roma v Pesaro	65-64
30/09/12	Pesaro v Virtus Roma	71-75
02/05/12	Pesaro v Virtus Roma	83-75
11/01/12	Virtus Roma v Pesaro	73-77 OT
30/01/11	Virtus Roma v Pesaro	85-53
24/10/10	Pesaro v Virtus Roma	76-69
14/03/10	Virtus Roma v Pesaro	70-61

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/02/15	A	Sassari	61-72
11/02/15	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	87-66
08/02/15	H	Capo d'Orlando	67-63
04/02/15	A	Volgograd	88-86 OT
01/02/15	H	Venezia	62-72
27/01/15	A	Cedevita	90-91 OT
25/01/15	A	Caserta	53-54
21/01/15	H	Cedevita	73-66
14/01/15	A	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	53-67
11/01/15	A	Cantu	70-60

Pesarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/02/15	H	Reggiana	75-74
08/02/15	H	Avellino	62-77
01/02/15	A	Varese	80-70
25/01/15	H	Brindisi	93-101
11/01/15	A	Caserta	73-80
04/01/15	H	Cantu	83-103
29/12/14	A	Pistoia	53-84
26/12/14	H	Virtus Bologna	67-70
21/12/14	H	Trento	57-76
14/12/14	A	Cremona	80-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	37%
Home	LLWLW	56%
Away	LLWLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	37%	56%	20%
Points / game	70.9	72.8	69.2
Allowed / game	73.9	71.9	75.8
Point differential	-3.1	+0.9	-6.6
Avg total	144.8	144.7	145.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	16%	22%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	100% (1)	20% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Pesaro

Lega A 2014-15

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	26%
Home	LLLLW	30%
Away	LWLLW	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	26%	30%	22%
Points / game	71.7	76.2	66.7
Allowed / game	83.2	83.4	83.0
Point differential	-11.5	-7.2	-16.3
Avg total	154.9	159.6	149.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	5%	0%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	60% (5)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Named Sport Team	1	1	0	100%	146.0	143.0	+3.0
2	Olimpia Milano	19	17	2	89%	86.6	73.4	+13.3
3	Reggiana	19	14	5	74%	79.9	73.8	+6.1
4	Venezia	19	14	5	74%	77.6	72.8	+4.7
5	Sassari	19	13	6	68%	87.4	81.8	+5.6
6	Brindisi	19	11	8	58%	76.9	74.5	+2.4
7	Virtus Bologna	19	10	9	53%	76.1	78.4	-2.3
8	Trento	20	10	10	50%	84.7	85.7	-1.0
9	Pistoia	19	9	10	47%	75.4	74.9	+0.5
10	Cantu	19	9	10	47%	79.8	79.4	+0.5
11	Cremona	19	9	10	47%	75.6	76.1	-0.5
12	Avellino	19	8	11	42%	76.6	77.2	-0.5
13	Virtus Roma	19	7	12	37%	70.9	73.9	-3.1
14	Varese	19	6	13	32%	81.5	84.2	-2.7
15	Capo d'Orlando	19	6	13	32%	69.5	74.8	-5.3
16	Pesaro	19	5	14	26%	71.7	83.2	-11.5
17	Caserta	19	4	15	21%	74.4	80.7	-6.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	20	21	12	23	76
Pesaro	22	22	18	18	80

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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