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Virtus Roma vs Trieste Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 06 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 15:30
Scheduled
Position#16
Record2-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game87.7
vs
Position#6
Record2-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game78.0
ItalyLega ARound 10
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Virtus Roma v Trieste
06 Dec 2020
VRO v TRI
upcoming
08 Dec 2019
VRO82
TRI72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#4
L
62-98
62
98
-36
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H27/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A04/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
72-92
72
92
-20
H11/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A18/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H25/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A31/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
71-89
71
89
-18
H08/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
88-98
88
98
-10
A15/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
85-101
85
101
-16
A22/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
20-20
12-32
17-27
20-20
24-12
20-28
17-16
15-22
14-25
20-27
18-18
10-21
13-23
21-18
28-30
16-25
14-28
17-24
24-16
14-18
18-22
17-23
20-21
18-29
16-12
20-10
16-13
15-28
28-24
10-14
18-23
17-20
16-28
28-23
27-27
21-23
15-23
27-28
22-27
162.3Avg total
73.6Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.987.7162.6-12.822%
Season at home (4)73.285.2158.5-12.025%
Season away (5)76.289.6165.8-13.420%
Last 10 (10)73.688.7162.3-15.120%
Last 5 (5)76.687.2163.8-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)74.490.9165.3-16.415%
vs Similar (2)81.076.5157.5+4.550%
vs Weaker (1)92.083.0175.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#7
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A02/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A08/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trento
#12
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A11/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#7
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#9
W
102-77
102
77
+25
H27/09
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A04/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
65-87
65
87
-22
H11/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A18/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H25/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
24-14
23-18
17-23
20-14
20-17
11-13
25-25
15-21
17-15
14-24
16-19
20-22
6-20
17-18
18-19
21-20
13-24
11-19
17-17
29-19
22-12
30-16
21-30
11-22
24-15
17-19
22-16
12-26
24-19
9-24
20-18
9-29
18-19
21-8
15-19
22-23
18-22
21-16
15-18
149.6Avg total
72.2Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.078.0154.0-2.040%
Season at home (3)81.081.0162.0+0.033%
Season away (2)68.573.5142.0-5.050%
Last 10 (10)72.277.4149.6-5.240%
Last 5 (5)76.078.0154.0-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)73.779.5153.2-5.837%
vs Similar (8)77.578.4155.9-0.938%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)83.777.3161.0+6.367%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
Virtus RomaTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H27/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A04/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H11/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A18/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H25/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A31/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H08/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A15/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A22/11
Lega A
77.9Avg total
33.7Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.947.184.0-10.220%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.445.381.6-8.929%-
Last 30 away (16)37.348.786.0-11.412%-
Last 10 (10)33.744.277.9-10.510%-
Last 5 (5)35.645.481.0-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)35.948.284.1-12.311%-
vs Similar (2)46.535.582.0+11.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)44.040.084.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A02/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A08/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trento
#12
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A11/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#9
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H27/09
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A04/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H11/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A18/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H25/10
Lega A
75.7Avg total
36.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.539.677.2-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.440.380.7+0.138%-
Last 30 away (14)34.338.973.1-4.636%-
Last 10 (10)36.239.575.7-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.841.279.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)36.939.276.1-2.332%-
vs Similar (8)36.441.077.4-4.625%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)44.738.783.3+6.0100%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.9
52.8%
51.2%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.4
31.5%
35.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.011.2
65.9%
75.8%11.2
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.221.7
51.4%
51.2%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.5
32.9%
35.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws13.19.6
73.3%
75.8%9.6
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Roma
LLLWLLLLWL
Trieste
LLLWWLLLWW
#16
League position
#6
-16.4
Net rating
-0.9
100.3
Offensive rating
105.0
116.7
Defensive rating
105.9
50.7%
Effective FG%
50.7%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
16.6%
Turnover %
17.6%
21.5%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.19
31.5%
3-point %
32.9%
56.9%
Assist %
54.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 105.0Defence116.7 · 105.9Shooting50.7% · 50.7%3-point %31.5% · 32.9%Ball care16.6% · 17.6%Off. rebounds21.5% · 30.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Virtus Roma   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Virtus Roma wins
0
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
08/12/19Virtus Roma v Trieste82-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/20ACantu85-101
15/11/20AVarese88-98
08/11/20HVenezia71-89
31/10/20ABrescia70-64
25/10/20HPesaro69-84
18/10/20AOlimpia Milano71-93
11/10/20HSassari72-92
04/10/20ABrindisi67-92
27/09/20HFortitudo Bologna81-76
14/09/20ABrindisi62-98
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/20HBrindisi76-79
18/10/20ABrescia63-75
11/10/20HOlimpia Milano65-87
04/10/20ASassari74-72
27/09/20HCremona102-77
14/09/20HTreviso62-80
11/09/20ATrento61-79
08/09/20AVenezia62-79
05/09/20HVenezia76-69
02/09/20ATreviso81-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game74.973.276.2
Allowed / game87.785.289.6
Point differential-12.8-12.0-13.4
Avg total162.6158.5165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trieste
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game76.081.068.5
Allowed / game78.081.073.5
Point differential-2.0+0.0-5.0
Avg total154.0162.0142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano990100%88.668.4+20.1
2 Brindisi98189%87.777.4+10.2
3 Pesaro85362%81.576.5+5.0
4 Venezia85362%79.177.8+1.4
5 Reggiana74357%79.377.1+2.1
6 Virtus Bologna95456%83.278.9+4.3
7 Sassari95456%88.085.3+2.7
8 Trento94544%78.779.3-0.7
9 Varese94544%81.986.4-4.6
10 Cantu73443%79.682.0-2.4
11 Treviso73443%82.792.0-9.3
12 Trieste52340%76.078.0-2.0
13 Cremona62433%80.787.3-6.7
14 Brescia103730%76.880.4-3.6
15 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
16 Fortitudo Bologna91811%80.788.7-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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