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Virtus Roma vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 82-72
27-22 18-13 20-19 17-18
Position#15
Record5-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#14
Record3-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game78.5
ItalyLega ARound 12
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Virtus Roma v Trieste
06 Dec 2020
VRO v TRI
upcoming
08 Dec 2019
VRO82
TRI72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoma
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
L
63-87
63
87
-24
53avg 70
H29/09
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
97-94
97
94
+3
96avg 70
H06/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
81-67
81
67
+14
74avg 70
A12/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
79-65
79
65
+14
no box
H20/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
no box
H27/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
72-108
72
108
-36
67avg 70
A02/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
76-74
76
74
+2
72avg 70
A10/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
92-83
92
83
+9
83avg 70
H17/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
69-81
69
81
-12
64avg 70
H24/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
69-99
69
99
-30
62avg 70
A01/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
13-16
22-26
14-18
23-26
27-23
21-23
26-22
22-19
19-16
24-17
16-15
21-16
20-20
20-9
18-20
29-16
14-14
15-32
15-17
24-25
11-32
18-31
19-20
23-19
17-28
24-13
12-14
24-20
20-20
23-22
25-21
13-25
22-25
20-14
14-17
19-34
20-24
15-21
15-20
160.8Avg total
77.1Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.282.8159.0-6.645%
Season at home (6)78.881.5160.3-2.750%
Season away (5)73.084.4157.4-11.440%
Last 10 (10)77.183.7160.8-6.650%
Last 5 (5)75.689.0164.6-13.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.585.5162.1-9.027%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.276.2155.4+3.060%
vs Weaker (9)91.080.3171.3+10.778%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Venezia
#7
L
73-78
73
78
-5
59avg 101
A26/09
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
62-92
62
92
-30
51avg 101
H29/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
no box
A06/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
65-59
65
59
+6
54avg 101
A13/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
66avg 101
H19/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
72-76
72
76
-4
61avg 101
A03/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 101
H10/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
no box
H17/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
78-88
78
88
-10
64avg 101
A24/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
69-61
69
61
+8
58avg 101
H01/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
18-11
25-25
14-23
13-29
12-25
20-12
17-26
14-23
14-21
20-21
25-23
19-22
8-13
16-13
22-11
26-20
20-19
18-22
12-13
19-14
17-16
17-19
19-27
22-21
14-16
20-23
16-20
20-16
28-19
12-20
12-17
21-22
17-16
17-28
23-22
10-27
23-11
7-15
29-8
151.0Avg total
72.5Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)72.578.5151.0-6.030%
Season at home (5)72.879.2152.0-6.440%
Season away (5)72.277.8150.0-5.620%
Last 10 (10)72.578.5151.0-6.030%
Last 5 (5)75.278.8154.0-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.081.0154.0-8.025%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.385.7169.0-2.436%
vs Weaker (8)91.880.5172.2+11.275%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
Virtus RomaTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H29/09
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H06/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A12/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H20/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H27/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A02/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A10/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H17/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H24/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A01/12
Lega A
84.0Avg total
39.5Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.182.0-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.039.381.3+2.775%-
Last 30 away (14)39.843.182.9-3.329%-
Last 10 (10)39.544.584.0-5.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.650.489.0-11.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.244.582.6-6.336%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.438.679.0+1.850%-
vs Weaker (9)45.039.784.7+5.378%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#7
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A26/09
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
25-54
25
54
-29
H29/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A06/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A13/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H19/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A03/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H10/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H17/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H01/12
Lega A
73.1Avg total
35.1Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.182.7+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.343.188.4+2.250%-
Last 30 away (16)38.339.477.8-1.138%-
Last 10 (10)35.138.073.1-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.235.673.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.239.074.2-3.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.144.686.6-2.521%-
vs Weaker (8)47.037.284.2+9.888%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.9
50.6%
52.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.47.3
35.8%
35.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.512.6
72.0%
73.6%12.6
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 65.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.3
49.2%
52.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.86.5
28.5%
35.1%19.5
🏀 Free throws14.39.7
67.8%
73.6%9.7
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Roma
LLWWLLWWWL
Trieste
WLLLLWWLLL
#15
League position
#14
-8.7
Net rating
-9.9
106.9
Offensive rating
96.8
115.5
Defensive rating
106.7
51.6%
Effective FG%
46.8%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
19.6%
Turnover %
17.3%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.8%
3-point %
28.5%
54.3%
Assist %
52.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 96.8Defence115.5 · 106.7Shooting51.6% · 46.8%3-point %35.8% · 28.5%Ball care19.6% · 17.3%Off. rebounds34.1% · 27.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Virtus Roma   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Virtus Roma wins
0
Trieste wins
No previous meetings.
Virtus Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/19AVarese69-99
24/11/19HTreviso69-81
17/11/19HPesaro92-83
10/11/19ACantu76-74
02/11/19ASassari72-108
27/10/19HOlimpia Milano73-79
20/10/19HFortitudo Bologna79-65
12/10/19APistoia81-67
06/10/19HCremona97-94
29/09/19HBrindisi63-87
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/19HTreviso69-61
24/11/19ACremona78-88
17/11/19HVirtus Bologna85-89 OT
10/11/19HBrindisi72-80
03/11/19APistoia72-76
19/10/19HBrescia76-74
13/10/19ASassari65-59
06/10/19AOlimpia Milano73-88
29/09/19HVarese62-92
26/09/19AVenezia73-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL45%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game76.278.873.0
Allowed / game82.881.584.4
Point differential-6.6-2.7-11.4
Avg total159.0160.3157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trieste
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW30%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game72.572.872.2
Allowed / game78.579.277.8
Point differential-6.0-6.4-5.6
Avg total151.0152.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1110191%82.575.0+7.5
2 Sassari118373%81.371.3+10.0
3 Olimpia Milano128467%81.773.7+8.0
4 Brindisi117464%83.379.2+4.1
5 Fortitudo Bologna117464%78.477.6+0.7
6 Cremona117464%77.677.4+0.3
7 Brescia127558%82.675.2+7.3
8 Treviso126650%77.276.3+0.8
9 Venezia115645%75.973.5+2.5
10 Varese115645%80.578.2+2.3
11 Reggiana115645%81.080.9+0.1
12 Trento115645%77.681.0-3.4
13 Virtus Roma115645%76.282.8-6.6
14 Cantu114736%71.476.2-4.8
15 Trieste103730%72.578.5-6.0
16 Pistoia123925%73.483.9-10.5
17 Pesaro110110%77.290.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Roma2718201782
Trieste2213191872
← all games of the day
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