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Trieste vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Sep 2020
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 102-77
29-19 22-12 30-16 21-30
Position#6
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Trieste 🏆
Italy
vs
Cremona
Italy
Position#9
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyLega ARound 1
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Trieste v Cremona
10 May 2026
TRI89
CRE94
21 Dec 2024
TRI91
CRE83
16 Apr 2022
TRI84
CRE72
27 Sep 2020
TRI102
CRE77
22 Mar 2020
TRI v CRE
upcoming
23 May 2019
TRI v CRE
upcoming
31 Mar 2019
TRI97
CRE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
67-85
67
85
-18
53avg 66
H26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
83-82
83
82
+1
no box
H02/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-76
74
76
-2
67avg 66
A09/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
97-80
97
80
+17
91avg 66
H07/03
Lega A
Trento
#12
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
H30/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#7
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
A02/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
W
76-69
76
69
+7
no box
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
L
62-79
62
79
-17
no box
A08/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trento
#12
L
61-79
61
79
-18
no box
A11/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#7
L
62-80
62
80
-18
no box
H14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
19-18
12-25
21-19
20-24
14-20
19-20
30-18
17-16
20-18
25-14
12-28
25-20
25-19
22-22
25-19
23-21
25-23
13-17
25-22
17-22
24-14
23-18
17-23
20-14
20-17
11-13
25-25
15-21
17-15
14-24
16-19
20-22
6-20
17-18
18-19
21-20
13-24
11-19
17-17
153.9Avg total
74.9Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.979.0153.9-4.150%
Last 5 (5)68.476.8145.2-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)73.380.5153.8-7.232%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.281.2158.5-4.025%
vs Weaker (3)83.777.3161.0+6.367%
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
W
94-84
94
84
+10
91avg 70
A18/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
103-92
103
92
+11
99avg 70
H26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
95-93
95
93
+2
no box
H02/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
no box
A09/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
66-87
66
87
-21
no box
H29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#8
L
77-96
77
96
-19
no box
A01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#9
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
H04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#9
L
71-78
71
78
-7
no box
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
56-79
56
79
-23
no box
A09/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#8
L
63-73
63
73
-10
no box
H13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
18-27
19-18
28-20
32-22
26-29
22-24
23-17
18-36
31-14
18-16
28-27
16-23
23-19
22-17
13-18
22-17
10-21
24-24
10-25
23-25
22-25
22-23
10-23
16-6
17-21
12-18
30-24
26-18
14-19
19-11
12-30
15-19
15-25
13-13
13-22
14-11
23-23
12-25
14-14
160.2Avg total
77.4Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.482.8160.2-5.440%
Last 5 (5)68.479.0147.4-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.079.8151.8-7.827%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.278.9160.2+2.375%
vs Weaker (7)86.483.4169.9+3.057%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -3.9-3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -3.9-3.9
TriesteCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H02/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A09/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H07/03
Lega A
Trento
#12
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H30/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A02/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A08/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trento
#12
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A11/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
76.7Avg total
37.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.040.377.4-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.941.380.1-2.436%-
Last 30 away (16)35.439.574.9-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)37.639.176.7-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)34.637.872.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)35.639.374.9-3.637%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.543.581.0-6.012%-
vs Weaker (3)44.738.783.3+6.0100%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A18/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H02/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A09/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#8
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#9
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A09/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#8
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
82.9Avg total
41.0Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.483.6+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.140.383.5+2.873%-
Last 30 away (15)41.342.483.7-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.982.9-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.475.4-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.738.277.9+1.564%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.342.786.0+0.767%-
vs Weaker (7)44.144.188.3+0.029%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.021.5
51.2%
51.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.9
31.9%
35.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws15.511.3
72.9%
75.8%11.3
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.324.2
54.6%
51.2%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.2
33.2%
35.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.014.5
76.3%
75.8%14.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
LLLWWWWLWL
Cremona
LLLWLLLWWW
#6
League position
#9
-3.3
Net rating
+3.2
108.8
Offensive rating
116.7
112.2
Defensive rating
113.5
49.9%
Effective FG%
53.0%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
16.5%
Turnover %
17.2%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.9%
3-point %
33.2%
50.3%
Assist %
55.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 116.7Defence112.2 · 113.5Shooting49.9% · 53.0%3-point %31.9% · 33.2%Ball care16.5% · 17.2%Off. rebounds33.7% · 35.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Trieste   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Trieste wins
3
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
24/11/19Cremona v Trieste88-78
19/05/19Cremona v Trieste82-75
31/03/19Trieste v Cremona97-80
09/12/18Cremona v Trieste87-78
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/09/20HTreviso62-80
11/09/20ATrento61-79
08/09/20AVenezia62-79
05/09/20HVenezia76-69
02/09/20ATreviso81-77
30/08/20HTrento86-83
07/03/20HPistoia97-80
09/02/20ABrescia74-76
02/02/20HSassari83-82
26/01/20HOlimpia Milano67-85
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/09/20HFortitudo Bologna63-73
09/09/20AVirtus Bologna56-79
07/09/20AReggiana71-78
04/09/20HReggiana75-69
01/09/20AFortitudo Bologna77-96
29/08/20HVirtus Bologna66-87
09/02/20AOlimpia Milano74-77
02/02/20HReggiana95-93
26/01/20HVirtus Roma103-92
18/01/20ATreviso94-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Cremona
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano110100%87.071.0+16.0
2 Varese110100%94.089.0+5.0
3 Virtus Roma110100%81.076.0+5.0
4 Treviso110100%84.080.0+4.0
5 Trento1010%80.084.0-4.0
6 Brescia1010%89.094.0-5.0
7 Fortitudo Bologna1010%76.081.0-5.0
8 Reggiana1010%71.087.0-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste29223021102
Cremona1912163077
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