Virtus Roma vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 May 2014

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 99-90

26-20 30-25 30-23 13-22

Position#5

Record16-13

FormLLLLW

Points / game77.9

Allowed / game77.9

Virtus Roma 🏆

Varese

Position#10

Record13-16

FormLWWWL

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game81.3

Lega ARound 30

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Varese

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Varese winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

82-79

H23/02

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

89-85 OT

A02/03

Lega A

Cremona

#14

85-80

H09/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

61-85

-24

A16/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

96-85

+11

H22/03

Lega A

Siena

89-93

-4

H30/03

Lega A

Reggiana

76-89

-13

A06/04

Lega A

Sassari

71-82

-11

A19/04

Lega A

Pistoia

75-87

-12

H26/04

Lega A

Venezia

#11

83-75

A04/05

Lega A

22-12

19-22

18-18

23-27

22-18

18-16

23-22

10-17

26-19

14-24

21-23

24-14

13-21

18-25

16-17

14-22

28-12

16-24

29-21

23-28

28-24

8-19

28-25

25-25

18-25

18-27

17-11

23-26

24-15

13-27

15-32

19-8

18-21

14-18

13-23

30-25

11-26

23-24

25-17

24-8

164.7Avg total

80.7Scored

84.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	77.9	77.9	155.8	-0.1	55%
Season at home (14)	79.1	77.6	156.6	+1.5	57%
Season away (15)	76.7	78.3	155.0	-1.5	53%
Last 10 (10)	80.7	84.0	164.7	-3.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	85.2	164.0	-6.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	73.2	78.7	151.9	-5.5	30%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	79.8	81.9	161.8	-2.1	46%
vs Weaker (6)	81.5	73.5	155.0	+8.0	83%

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari

91-112

112

-21

H23/02

Lega A

Brindisi

70-96

-26

A02/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

69-75

-6

H09/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

86-79

A16/03

Lega A

Pistoia

84-73

+11

H23/03

Lega A

Cantu

68-84

-16

A29/03

Lega A

Caserta

72-67

H06/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

78-77

A19/04

Lega A

Cremona

#14

78-70

H27/04

Lega A

Siena

71-80 OT

-9

H04/05

Lega A

20-31

24-23

21-26

26-32

19-27

11-21

22-22

18-26

23-10

17-24

14-18

15-23

12-18

24-18

25-21

25-22

13-21

21-22

31-14

19-16

14-15

12-20

17-28

25-21

18-13

14-17

21-20

19-17

29-20

9-15

29-32

11-10

21-19

13-16

23-15

21-20

17-16

16-12

15-17

16-19

158.0Avg total

76.7Scored

81.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	79.3	81.3	160.6	-2.1	45%
Season at home (15)	80.2	78.4	158.6	+1.8	53%
Season away (14)	78.3	84.5	162.8	-6.2	36%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	81.3	158.0	-4.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	75.6	149.0	-2.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	76.7	84.0	160.7	-7.3	18%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	78.7	80.9	159.5	-2.2	47%
vs Weaker (4)	82.2	79.8	162.0	+2.5	50%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaVarese

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.4	38.8	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	19.3	40.4	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	19.6	37.4	-1.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.3	40.3	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.2	42.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.9	21.3	40.2	-2.4	31%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.7	15.0	37.7	+7.7	83%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.0	39.5	+1.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	17.9	38.5	+2.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	20.1	40.4	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.6	36.4	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.8	18.5	38.4	+1.3	73%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.1	20.7	41.7	+0.4	53%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	14.2	34.0	+5.5	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	21.1	39.6	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	20.6	38.0	-3.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	21.5	41.1	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	22.6	38.7	-6.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	23.0	38.2	-7.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.1	20.8	37.9	-3.7	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.3	20.3	39.6	-1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.8	22.8	41.7	-4.0	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	20.9	38.6	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.8	22.1	39.9	-4.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	19.6	37.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	18.8	34.9	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.8	16.0	28.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.7	21.2	37.9	-4.5	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	27%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.2	23.2	45.5	-1.0	25%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

41-34

H23/02

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

40-34

A02/03

Lega A

Cremona

#14

40-43

-3

H09/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

31-46

-15

A16/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

44-36

H22/03

Lega A

Siena

36-43

-7

H30/03

Lega A

Reggiana

36-52

-16

A06/04

Lega A

Sassari

37-42

-5

A19/04

Lega A

Pistoia

32-39

-7

H26/04

Lega A

Venezia

#11

34-50

-16

A04/05

Lega A

79.0Avg total

37.1Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	40.5	78.4	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	39.9	78.4	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	41.1	78.4	-3.7	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	41.9	79.0	-4.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	45.2	80.2	-10.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.5	40.0	75.5	-4.5	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	38.2	41.6	79.8	-3.4	31%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.5	37.8	79.3	+3.7	67%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari

44-54

-10

H23/02

Lega A

Brindisi

30-48

-18

A02/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

40-34

H09/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

36-36

A16/03

Lega A

Pistoia

34-43

-9

H23/03

Lega A

Cantu

26-35

-9

A29/03

Lega A

Caserta

32-30

H06/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

38-35

A19/04

Lega A

Cremona

#14

34-35

-1

H27/04

Lega A

Siena

33-28

H04/05

Lega A

72.5Avg total

34.7Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	39.9	78.0	-1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.4	40.1	78.5	-1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	39.7	77.6	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.7	37.8	72.5	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	32.6	65.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	36.5	39.7	76.3	-3.2	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	38.3	40.7	78.9	-2.4	47%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.0	37.5	79.5	+4.5	75%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	17.4	36.7	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	17.9	36.9	+1.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	17.1	36.5	+2.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.9	41.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.6	41.2	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.3	20.7	39.0	-2.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.8	15.8	35.5	+4.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.7	16.7	37.3	+4.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.5	40.7	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	21.8	42.1	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	21.3	43.1	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.4	43.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.9	21.6	41.5	-1.7	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	47%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	21.5	42.2	-0.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	19.9	41.1	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	20.4	38.8	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	18.4	42.6	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.4	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.2	22.6	42.8	-2.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.3	19.0	38.3	+0.3	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.5	40.1	-1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	20.7	39.1	-2.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.6	40.1	-1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.4	35.8	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.6	20.1	38.7	-1.5	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	53%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.5	20.8	40.2	-1.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	37.6	76.5	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.2	37.8	78.0	+2.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.8	37.5	75.2	+0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	40.9	82.9	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	40.0	83.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	37.7	38.7	76.4	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	40.0	38.4	78.4	+1.6	54%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.0	35.7	75.7	+4.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	41.0	80.7	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	39.9	78.4	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.9	42.2	83.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	41.9	83.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	39.8	79.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	38.5	41.7	80.3	-3.2	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	40.4	40.2	80.6	+0.2	47%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.2	42.2	82.5	-2.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Varese wins

Date	Game	Score
12/01/14	Varese v Virtus Roma	78-86
01/04/13	Varese v Virtus Roma	81-58
09/02/13	Virtus Roma v Varese	71-81
02/12/12	Virtus Roma v Varese	91-87
12/02/12	Varese v Virtus Roma	76-78
30/10/11	Virtus Roma v Varese	74-76 OT
27/03/11	Varese v Virtus Roma	84-78
05/12/10	Virtus Roma v Varese	89-92
17/04/10	Virtus Roma v Varese	64-71
20/12/09	Varese v Virtus Roma	67-84

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/05/14	A	Venezia	83-75
26/04/14	H	Pistoia	75-87
19/04/14	A	Sassari	71-82
06/04/14	A	Reggiana	76-89
30/03/14	H	Siena	89-93
22/03/14	H	Pesaro	96-85
16/03/14	A	Olimpia Milano	61-85
09/03/14	H	Cremona	85-80
02/03/14	A	Virtus Bologna	89-85 OT
23/02/14	H	Caserta	82-79

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/05/14	H	Siena	71-80 OT
27/04/14	H	Cremona	78-70
19/04/14	A	Virtus Bologna	78-77
06/04/14	H	Caserta	72-67
29/03/14	A	Cantu	68-84
23/03/14	H	Pistoia	84-73
16/03/14	A	Pesaro	86-79
09/03/14	H	Sutor Montegranaro	69-75
02/03/14	A	Brindisi	70-96
23/02/14	H	Sassari	91-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	55%
Home	WWWLL	57%
Away	WLLLW	53%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	55%	57%	53%
Points / game	77.9	79.1	76.7
Allowed / game	77.9	77.6	78.3
Point differential	-0.1	+1.5	-1.5
Avg total	155.8	156.6	155.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	14%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (13)	57% (7)	67% (6)
Overtime %	7%	7%	7%

Varese

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	45%
Home	LWWWL	53%
Away	LLWLW	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	45%	53%	36%
Points / game	79.3	80.2	78.3
Allowed / game	81.3	78.4	84.5
Point differential	-2.1	+1.8	-6.2
Avg total	160.6	158.6	162.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	33%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	33% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	29	24	5	83%	81.6	71.0	+10.6
2	Siena	29	20	9	69%	77.0	70.0	+7.1
3	Cantu	29	19	10	66%	80.9	76.4	+4.5
4	Brindisi	29	18	11	62%	76.1	74.0	+2.1
5	Sassari	29	17	12	59%	85.9	80.1	+5.9
6	Virtus Roma	29	16	13	55%	77.9	77.9	-0.1
7	Reggiana	29	15	14	52%	78.2	74.3	+3.9
8	Caserta	29	15	14	52%	73.1	72.5	+0.7
9	Pistoia	29	14	15	48%	76.7	77.8	-1.1
10	Varese	29	13	16	45%	79.3	81.3	-2.1
11	Venezia	29	12	17	41%	80.0	80.5	-0.4
12	Virtus Bologna	29	11	18	38%	78.0	79.0	-1.0
13	Avellino	29	11	18	38%	76.2	80.9	-4.7
14	Cremona	29	10	19	34%	76.1	82.4	-6.4
15	Sutor Montegranaro	29	9	20	31%	77.8	87.2	-9.4
16	Pesaro	29	8	21	28%	78.5	87.9	-9.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	26	30	30	13	99
Varese	20	25	23	22	90

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Varese Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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