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Vytis VDU vs Ukmerges Stekas Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 21 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record9-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game96.1
Allowed / game89.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.3/10
Above normal
3.3/10
Below normal
Position#13
Record5-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game88.1
LithuaniaNKLRound 29· Sakiu sporto centras
Other2026-27
Meetings · Vytis VDU v Ukmerges Stekas
21 Jan 2027
VYTI v UKME
upcoming
09 Oct 2025
VYTI81
UKME66
09 Jan 2025
VYTI83
UKME77
23 Dec 2023
VYTI75
UKME79
22 Nov 2022
VYTI85
UKME83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vytis VDU win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vytis VDULithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVDU
Date
Competition
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
105-110 OT
105
110
-5
85avg 83
A15/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
W
104-92
104
92
+12
104avg 83
H17/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
97-85
97
85
+12
87avg 83
H22/10
NKL
Silute
#7
L
86-97
86
97
-11
63avg 83
A29/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
88-91
88
91
-3
76avg 83
H31/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
W
107-81
107
81
+26
no box
A03/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
101-77
101
77
+24
no box
A05/11
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
98-90
98
90
+8
no box
H07/11
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
107-98
107
98
+9
no box
H12/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
82-75
82
75
+7
no box
A14/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
20-21
23-18
29-31
30-19
33-28
25-23
16-22
34-21
25-16
14-22
24-26
21-24
22-26
18-25
25-22
12-20
23-27
23-25
30-19
21-23
24-21
35-19
27-18
26-21
26-21
17-20
32-15
21-19
25-23
22-24
30-24
28-17
28-24
24-28
27-29
23-22
17-19
22-15
20-19
187.1Avg total
97.5Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)96.189.1185.2+7.075%
Season at home (6)97.090.0187.0+7.083%
Season away (6)95.288.2183.3+7.067%
Last 10 (10)97.589.6187.1+7.970%
Last 5 (5)99.084.2183.2+14.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)89.594.5184.0-5.00%
vs Similar (13)87.285.9173.1+1.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)97.389.7187.0+7.573%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
73-87
73
87
-14
55avg 72
H15/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
76-107
76
107
-31
67avg 72
H17/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
70-104
70
104
-34
62avg 72
A22/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
74-70
74
70
+4
71avg 72
H24/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
L
76-97
76
97
-21
62avg 72
A29/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
64-87
64
87
-23
no box
H03/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
L
74-97
74
97
-23
no box
A05/11
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
58-73
58
73
-15
no box
H07/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
76-69
76
69
+7
no box
H12/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
W
96-91
96
91
+5
no box
A14/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
18-25
14-16
16-19
13-30
27-27
21-26
15-24
16-31
20-27
18-21
16-25
14-19
17-17
18-17
25-17
20-32
14-27
19-20
23-18
9-20
21-23
16-21
18-23
12-24
15-29
22-22
25-22
12-14
17-27
17-9
12-23
19-16
25-20
11-20
21-13
23-21
12-26
29-26
32-18
161.9Avg total
73.7Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.988.1167.1-9.236%
Season at home (8)77.283.8161.0-6.538%
Season away (6)81.294.0175.2-12.833%
Last 10 (10)73.788.2161.9-14.530%
Last 5 (5)73.683.4157.0-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)78.289.2167.5-11.021%
vs Similar (6)79.885.8165.7-6.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -7.1-7.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -7.1-7.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
Vytis VDUUkmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Vytis VDULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A15/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H17/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
59-37
59
37
+22
H22/10
NKL
Silute
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A29/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H31/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A03/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A05/11
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H07/11
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H12/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A14/11
NKL
92.1Avg total
48.3Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.443.989.2+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.243.590.7+3.659%-
Last 30 away (13)43.044.387.3-1.338%-
Last 10 (10)48.343.892.1+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)47.842.089.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.548.587.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (13)44.044.888.8-0.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)47.542.489.9+5.167%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H15/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
H17/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A22/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H24/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
L
34-59
34
59
-25
A29/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H03/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A05/11
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H07/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H12/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A14/11
NKL
83.1Avg total
34.9Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.745.281.9-8.517%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.544.180.6-7.622%-
Last 30 away (12)36.946.883.8-9.98%-
Last 10 (10)34.948.283.1-13.310%-
Last 5 (5)33.044.077.0-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)36.245.181.2-8.917%-
vs Similar (6)38.745.784.3-7.017%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vytis VDUtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vytis VDU: 93.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.426.0
61.3%
54.5%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.3
34.0%
31.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.810.5
62.5%
67.1%10.5
They take 72.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.5
51.8%
54.5%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.3
31.8%
31.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.413.1
67.5%
67.1%13.1
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vytis VDU
WWWWWLLWWL
Ukmerges Stekas
WWLLLLWLLL
#5
League position
#13
+4.7
Net rating
-9.0
99.3
Offensive rating
90.1
94.6
Defensive rating
99.1
57.0%
Effective FG%
50.1%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
14.5%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.0%
3-point %
31.8%
52.6%
Assist %
64.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 90.1Defence94.6 · 99.1Shooting57.0% · 50.1%3-point %34.0% · 31.8%Ball care14.5% · 15.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Vytis VDU   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Vytis VDU wins
1
Ukmerges Stekas wins
Vytis VDUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AOmega-Tauras82-75
12/11/26HKretinga107-98
07/11/26HKedainiai BC98-90
05/11/26AMazeikiai101-77
03/11/26AVilkaviskis107-81
31/10/26HTelsiai88-91
29/10/26ASilute86-97
22/10/26HKauno Atletas97-85
17/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas 2104-92
15/10/26AAlytaus Patriotai105-110 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26APlunges Olimpas96-91
12/11/26HRytas 276-69
07/11/26HAlytaus Patriotai58-73
05/11/26AVilkaviskis74-97
03/11/26HNeptunas 264-87
29/10/26AKedainiai BC76-97
24/10/26HMazeikiai74-70
22/10/26ATelsiai70-104
17/10/26HBC Olimpas Palanga76-107
15/10/26HOmega-Tauras73-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vytis VDU
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game96.197.095.2
Allowed / game89.190.088.2
Point differential+7.0+7.0+7.0
Avg total185.2187.0183.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW36%
HomeLWLLW38%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %36%38%33%
Points / game78.977.281.2
Allowed / game88.183.894.0
Point differential-9.2-6.5-12.8
Avg total167.1161.0175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai1312192%90.573.6+16.9
2 Jurbarkas1311285%88.678.3+10.3
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1411379%96.384.6+11.6
4 Suduva-Mantinga1310377%91.577.8+13.8
5 Vytis VDU129375%96.189.1+7.0
6 Neptunas 21410471%78.474.1+4.2
7 Silute128467%84.382.2+2.2
8 Alytaus Patriotai148657%83.884.9-1.1
9 Omega-Tauras147750%89.485.9+3.4
10 Plunges Olimpas147750%83.181.1+2.1
11 Vilkaviskis146843%83.186.1-3.0
12 Zalgiris Kaunas 2125742%94.296.8-2.7
13 Ukmerges Stekas145936%78.988.1-9.2
14 Kedainiai BC1441029%76.885.0-8.2
15 Mazeikiai1431121%78.988.9-10.0
16 Kretinga1321115%81.590.7-9.2
17 Kauno Atletas1421214%79.194.4-15.3
18 Rytas 2141137%77.186.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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