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Vytis VDU vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 81-66
28-17 17-15 19-11 17-23
Position#2
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game78.0
Vytis VDU 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Ukmerges Stekas
Lithuania
Position#16
Record0-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game94.0
LithuaniaNKL· Sakiu sporto centras
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vytis VDU v Ukmerges Stekas
21 Jan 2027
VYTI v UKME
upcoming
09 Oct 2025
VYTI81
UKME66
09 Jan 2025
VYTI83
UKME77
23 Dec 2023
VYTI75
UKME79
22 Nov 2022
VYTI85
UKME83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vytis VDU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vytis VDULithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVDU
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
90-83
90
83
+7
90avg 84
A22/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
90-103
90
103
-13
82avg 84
A27/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
77-89
77
89
-12
64avg 84
H01/03
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
94-93
94
93
+1
90avg 84
H06/03
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
102-88
102
88
+14
97avg 84
A08/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
71-91
71
91
-20
61avg 84
A12/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
103-91
103
91
+12
98avg 84
H15/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
72-80
72
80
-8
60avg 84
A18/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
69-82
69
82
-13
81avg 84
A22/03
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
89-78
89
78
+11
92avg 84
A02/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-23
5-25
32-17
18-18
18-33
27-29
24-21
21-20
14-25
20-16
27-30
16-18
19-25
26-22
23-26
26-20
20-23
27-21
26-19
29-25
9-32
24-20
16-23
22-16
27-19
29-17
25-28
22-27
16-17
17-22
19-26
20-15
19-17
20-21
13-18
17-26
23-16
22-20
23-17
21-25
173.5Avg total
85.7Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)89.078.0167.0+11.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)89.078.0167.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.787.8173.5-2.150%
Last 5 (5)80.884.4165.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)91.593.5185.0-2.050%
vs Similar (18)84.786.5171.2-1.856%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)95.283.8179.0+11.490%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
109-60
109
60
+49
111avg 71
H08/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
94-87
94
87
+7
85avg 71
A13/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
76avg 71
H20/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
97-84
97
84
+13
98avg 71
A22/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
65-77
65
77
-12
49avg 71
A27/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
97-72
97
72
+25
93avg 71
H01/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
100-98
100
98
+2
98avg 71
A06/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
79-90
79
90
-11
76avg 71
H09/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
75-85
75
85
-10
67avg 71
A11/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
72-94
72
94
-22
65avg 71
H02/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-15
24-17
22-17
29-11
23-29
23-15
20-27
28-16
16-18
21-26
25-23
22-10
26-18
23-26
32-23
16-17
16-20
14-18
20-22
15-17
31-14
16-31
25-12
25-15
34-30
23-24
18-22
25-22
17-21
27-25
14-25
21-19
13-16
24-26
19-23
19-20
22-23
21-27
16-21
13-23
169.6Avg total
87.2Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)72.094.0166.0-22.00%
Season at home (1)72.094.0166.0-22.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.282.4169.6+4.860%
Last 5 (5)84.687.8172.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)67.081.0148.0-14.00%
vs Similar (23)78.379.4157.7-1.148%
vs Weaker (5)94.674.4169.0+20.280%
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +4.3+4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +4.3+4.3
Vytis VDUUkmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Vytis VDULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A22/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A27/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H01/03
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H06/03
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A08/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A12/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H15/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A18/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A22/03
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A02/10
NKL
86.0Avg total
41.7Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.342.486.8+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.138.984.0+6.269%-
Last 30 away (17)43.845.188.9-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)41.744.386.0-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.281.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.043.591.5+4.550%-
vs Similar (18)42.643.686.2-0.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.740.286.9+6.580%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
58-32
58
32
+26
H08/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A13/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H20/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A22/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A27/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H01/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A06/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H09/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A11/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H02/10
NKL
88.7Avg total
44.8Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.281.6-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.638.479.0+2.253%-
Last 30 away (15)40.244.084.2-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)44.843.988.7+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)45.647.493.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)41.048.089.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (23)38.941.780.5-2.835%-
vs Weaker (5)47.236.483.6+10.8100%-
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vytis VDUtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vytis VDU: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.123.3
56.7%
54.5%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.1
30.8%
32.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.113.6
64.5%
69.3%13.6
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.121.4
56.2%
54.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.49.9
32.6%
32.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.913.9
66.5%
69.3%13.9
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vytis VDU
WLLWLWWLLW
Ukmerges Stekas
LLLWWLWWWW
#2
League position
#16
-3.6
Net rating
+6.2
112.1
Offensive rating
112.2
115.7
Defensive rating
105.9
52.6%
Effective FG%
52.9%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
15.0%
Turnover %
15.1%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.8%
3-point %
32.6%
65.6%
Assist %
68.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 112.2Defence115.7 · 105.9Shooting52.6% · 52.9%3-point %30.8% · 32.6%Ball care15.0% · 15.1%Off. rebounds31.8% · 30.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Vytis VDU   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Vytis VDU wins
1
Ukmerges Stekas wins
DateGameScore
09/01/25Vytis VDU v Ukmerges Stekas83-77
10/10/24Ukmerges Stekas v Vytis VDU88-95
23/12/23Vytis VDU v Ukmerges Stekas75-79
04/11/23Ukmerges Stekas v Vytis VDU89-96
10/12/22Ukmerges Stekas v Vytis VDU80-84 OT
22/11/22Vytis VDU v Ukmerges Stekas85-83
Vytis VDUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/25AKretinga89-78
22/03/25ABC Olimpas Palanga69-82
18/03/25ABC Olimpas Palanga72-80
15/03/25HBC Olimpas Palanga103-91
12/03/25ABC Olimpas Palanga71-91
08/03/25AKretinga102-88
06/03/25HKretinga94-93
01/03/25HSuduva-Mantinga77-89
27/02/25AZalgiris Kaunas 290-103
22/02/25AOmega-Tauras90-83
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/25HVilkaviskis72-94
11/03/25AOmega-Tauras75-85
09/03/25HOmega-Tauras79-90
06/03/25AOmega-Tauras100-98
01/03/25HDelikatesas Joniskis97-72
27/02/25APlunges Olimpas65-77
22/02/25ARytas 297-84
20/02/25HNeptunas 284-77
13/02/25ASilute94-87
08/02/25HAlytaus Alytus109-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vytis VDU
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game89.0-89.0
Allowed / game78.0-78.0
Point differential+11.0-+11.0
Avg total167.0-167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game72.072.0-
Allowed / game94.094.0-
Point differential-22.0-22.0-
Avg total166.0166.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vilkaviskis220100%90.071.0+19.0
2 Vytis VDU110100%89.078.0+11.0
3 Kedainiu SC220100%92.082.5+9.5
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 2220100%88.584.5+4.0
5 Telsiai21150%85.574.5+11.0
6 Neptunas 221150%89.581.0+8.5
7 Jurbarkas21150%86.583.5+3.0
8 Omega-Tauras21150%86.084.0+2.0
9 Mazeikiai21150%77.077.0+0.0
10 Plunges Olimpas21150%88.088.0+0.0
11 Rytas 221150%89.091.0-2.0
12 Silute21150%81.087.5-6.5
13 Alytaus Alytus2020%76.585.0-8.5
14 BC Olimpas Palanga2020%66.582.0-15.5
15 Kretinga2020%74.593.5-19.0
16 Ukmerges Stekas1010%72.094.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vytis VDU2817191781
Ukmerges Stekas1715112366
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