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Washington Wizards vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 132-123
33-43 36-22 30-31 33-27
Position#22
Record29-38
FormLLWLW
Points / game114.0
Allowed / game116.4
vs
Position#24
Record28-38
FormLLWLL
Points / game108.3
Allowed / game109.9
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Dallas Mavericks
28 Mar 2027
WAS v DAL
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
WAS105
DAL111
05 Dec 2024
WAS101
DAL137
15 Nov 2023
WAS117
DAL130
10 Nov 2022
WAS113
DAL105
01 Apr 2022
WAS135
DAL103
03 Apr 2021
WAS87
DAL109
07 Feb 2020
WAS119
DAL118
06 Mar 2019
WAS132
DAL123
07 Nov 2017
WAS99
DAL113
15 Mar 2017
WAS107
DAL112
06 Dec 2015
WAS104
DAL116
19 Nov 2014
WAS102
DAL105
01 Jan 2014
WAS78
DAL87
01 Jan 2013
WAS94
DAL103
26 Feb 2011
WAS99
DAL105
20 Jan 2010
WAS93
DAL94
09 Oct 2009
WAS115
DAL123
21 Dec 2008
WAS86
DAL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
129-148
129
148
-19
A07/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
119-106
119
106
+13
H09/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
134-125
134
125
+9
A10/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#18
L
112-121
112
121
-9
A12/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
120-129
120
129
-9
A14/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
110-123
110
123
-13
A23/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
112-119
112
119
-7
H24/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
W
125-116
125
116
+9
A28/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
L
96-107
96
107
-11
A02/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
135-121
135
121
+14
H03/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-50
30-35
42-35
22-28
41-27
25-25
26-34
27-20
34-32
42-29
30-35
28-29
27-36
32-25
20-29
33-31
26-30
39-29
28-44
27-26
38-27
22-38
27-31
23-27
21-29
29-36
30-24
32-30
34-28
34-32
33-19
24-37
20-30
25-19
36-33
15-25
40-36
22-28
35-23
38-34
240.7Avg total
119.2Scored
121.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)114.0116.4230.4-2.443%
Season at home (32)117.8114.5232.3+3.359%
Season away (35)110.5118.1228.6-7.529%
Last 10 (10)119.2121.5240.7-2.340%
Last 5 (5)115.6117.2232.8-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)115.0119.1234.1-4.129%
vs Similar ◀ (11)114.1112.8226.9+1.355%
vs Weaker (5)111.8109.6221.4+2.260%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
107-122
107
122
-15
H09/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
102-101
102
101
+1
H10/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
104-120
104
120
-16
A12/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
101-112
101
112
-11
H14/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
104-114
104
114
-10
H23/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
109-125
109
125
-16
A24/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
L
112-121
112
121
-9
A26/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
110-101
110
101
+9
H28/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
L
81-111
81
111
-30
H03/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
L
88-127
88
127
-39
A05/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
22-35
35-30
21-28
25-24
22-33
31-35
24-9
22-25
28-39
28-28
26-28
25-29
33-28
16-32
27-23
30-25
21-27
23-39
30-23
25-31
33-30
20-25
31-39
22-29
35-34
31-28
24-30
28-27
25-26
26-25
31-23
21-33
28-29
18-28
14-21
21-31
26-34
26-34
15-28
217.2Avg total
101.8Scored
115.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)108.3109.9218.2-1.642%
Season at home (33)109.5107.0216.5+2.564%
Season away (33)107.1112.8219.8-5.721%
Last 10 (10)101.8115.4217.2-13.620%
Last 5 (5)100.0117.0217.0-17.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)105.4114.1219.4-8.721%
vs Similar ◀ (13)102.5106.2208.8-3.738%
vs Weaker (3)109.794.0203.7+15.7100%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
Washington WizardsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A07/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H09/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
76-61
76
61
+15
A10/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#18
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A12/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
W
65-59
65
59
+6
A14/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A23/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
50-65
50
65
-15
H24/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A28/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A02/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H03/03
NBA
123.7Avg total
61.6Scored
62.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.057.4114.4-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.655.6112.2+1.053%-
Last 30 away (15)57.559.1116.6-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)61.662.1123.7-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)57.060.6117.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)55.560.0115.5-4.536%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)59.155.6114.7+3.555%-
vs Weaker (5)56.853.8110.6+3.060%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
51-64
51
64
-13
H09/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H10/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
50-64
50
64
-14
A12/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H14/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H23/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A24/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A26/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H28/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
L
49-62
49
62
-13
H03/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
L
47-65
47
65
-18
A05/03
NBA
111.9Avg total
52.1Scored
59.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.456.0110.3-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.656.1110.7-1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)54.155.9110.0-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)52.159.8111.9-7.710%-
Last 5 (5)52.860.8113.6-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)51.859.6111.4-7.87%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)57.553.3110.8+4.277%-
vs Weaker (3)53.050.7103.7+2.367%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 119.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.631.6
57.9%
51.7%63.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.012.4
34.4%
35.4%37.2
🏀 Free throws22.818.6
81.6%
76.6%18.6
They take 90.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 101.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.221.6
50.0%
51.7%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.313.4
32.4%
35.4%40.2
🏀 Free throws24.818.4
74.2%
76.6%18.4
They take 84.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
WLWLLLLWWL
Dallas Mavericks
LLWLLLLLWL
#22
League position
#24
-2.2
Net rating
-13.6
111.4
Offensive rating
101.6
113.6
Defensive rating
115.1
55.4%
Effective FG%
49.3%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
15.2%
Turnover %
13.2%
21.8%
Off. rebound %
17.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.4%
3-point %
32.4%
68.2%
Assist %
64.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 101.6Defence113.6 · 115.1Shooting55.4% · 49.3%3-point %34.4% · 32.4%Ball care15.2% · 13.2%Off. rebounds21.8% · 17.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/19HMinnesota Timberwolves135-121
02/03/19ABoston Celtics96-107
28/02/19ABrooklyn Nets125-116
24/02/19HIndiana Pacers112-119
23/02/19ACharlotte Hornets110-123
14/02/19AToronto Raptors120-129
12/02/19ADetroit Pistons112-121
10/02/19AChicago Bulls134-125
09/02/19HCleveland Cavaliers119-106
07/02/19AMilwaukee Bucks129-148
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/19ABrooklyn Nets88-127
03/03/19HMemphis Grizzlies81-111
28/02/19HIndiana Pacers110-101
26/02/19ALos Angeles Clippers112-121
24/02/19AUtah Jazz109-125
23/02/19HDenver Nuggets104-114
14/02/19HMiami Heat101-112
12/02/19AHouston Rockets104-120
10/02/19HPortland Trail Blazers102-101
09/02/19HMilwaukee Bucks107-122

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW43%
HomeLLWLW59%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673235
Win %43%59%29%
Points / game114.0117.8110.5
Allowed / game116.4114.5118.1
Point differential-2.4+3.3-7.5
Avg total230.4232.3228.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%34%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)44% (9)67% (6)
Overtime %9%16%3%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL42%
HomeWLLWL64%
AwayWLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663333
Win %42%64%21%
Points / game108.3109.5107.1
Allowed / game109.9107.0112.8
Point differential-1.6+2.5-5.7
Avg total218.2216.5219.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%15%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (22)67% (12)30% (10)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks68511775%117.7108.2+9.6
2 Toronto Raptors69492071%114.0108.6+5.4
3 Denver Nuggets67452267%111.9107.0+4.9
4 Golden State Warriors69452465%117.8112.4+5.3
5 Philadelphia 76ers67432464%115.6112.3+3.3
6 Indiana Pacers69442564%108.4103.7+4.7
7 Oklahoma City Thunder68422662%114.9110.6+4.3
8 Houston Rockets68422662%113.4110.5+2.9
9 Portland Trail Blazers69422761%113.5109.9+3.6
10 Utah Jazz66392759%110.7106.5+4.2
11 Boston Celtics69402958%111.6106.6+5.0
12 Los Angeles Clippers69402958%114.1112.7+1.4
13 San Antonio Spurs70393156%111.6110.4+1.2
14 Brooklyn Nets70353550%111.5112.2-0.8
15 Detroit Pistons67333449%107.2107.7-0.5
16 Charlotte Hornets68333549%111.4111.6-0.1
17 Sacramento Kings68333549%113.3115.5-2.2
18 Los Angeles Lakers70333747%112.3113.9-1.6
19 Miami Heat69323746%106.6107.1-0.5
20 Minnesota Timberwolves69313845%112.6113.7-1.1
21 Orlando Magic70313944%105.3106.4-1.0
22 Washington Wizards67293843%114.0116.4-2.4
23 Dallas Mavericks66283842%108.3109.9-1.6
24 New Orleans Pelicans71304142%115.8115.7+0.0
25 Memphis Grizzlies71284339%101.7104.5-2.8
26 Atlanta Hawks70244634%112.3118.8-6.5
27 Chicago Bulls70205029%104.7112.0-7.3
28 Cleveland Cavaliers68185026%103.8113.1-9.3
29 New York Knicks69165323%106.2113.9-7.8
30 Phoenix Suns69155422%106.2115.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards33363033132
Dallas Mavericks43223127123
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