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Washington Wizards vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 117-130
26-41 25-30 32-33 34-26
Position#29
Record2-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game115.3
Allowed / game122.5
vs
Position#6
Record8-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game122.8
Allowed / game118.8
USANBA· Capital One Arena (Washington)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Dallas Mavericks
28 Mar 2027
WAS v DAL
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
WAS105
DAL111
05 Dec 2024
WAS101
DAL137
15 Nov 2023
WAS117
DAL130
10 Nov 2022
WAS113
DAL105
01 Apr 2022
WAS135
DAL103
03 Apr 2021
WAS87
DAL109
07 Feb 2020
WAS119
DAL118
06 Mar 2019
WAS132
DAL123
07 Nov 2017
WAS99
DAL113
15 Mar 2017
WAS107
DAL112
06 Dec 2015
WAS104
DAL116
19 Nov 2014
WAS102
DAL105
01 Jan 2014
WAS78
DAL87
01 Jan 2013
WAS94
DAL103
26 Feb 2011
WAS99
DAL105
20 Jan 2010
WAS93
DAL94
21 Dec 2008
WAS86
DAL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
120-143
120
143
-23
110avg 107
A25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
113-106
113
106
+7
101avg 107
H28/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
107-126
107
126
-19
97avg 107
H30/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
121-130
121
130
-9
109avg 107
A01/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
114-121
114
121
-7
111avg 107
A04/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
128-146
128
146
-18
120avg 107
A07/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
132-116
132
116
+16
119avg 107
A09/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
117-124
117
124
-7
109avg 107
H11/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
94-102
94
102
-8
78avg 107
A12/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
107-111
107
111
-4
106avg 107
A14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-34
29-39
28-37
24-33
25-22
37-24
30-34
21-26
19-42
32-35
24-31
32-18
30-25
21-34
31-40
39-31
34-34
20-26
27-41
33-20
24-33
34-42
40-45
30-26
24-29
41-17
38-38
29-32
27-22
36-35
34-31
20-36
15-30
26-19
31-29
22-24
32-25
32-20
27-36
16-30
237.8Avg total
115.3Scored
122.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)115.3122.5237.8-7.220%
Season at home (3)112.3118.7231.0-6.333%
Season away (7)116.6124.1240.7-7.614%
Last 10 (10)115.3122.5237.8-7.220%
Last 5 (5)115.6119.8235.4-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)112.0123.6235.6-11.68%
vs Similar (14)113.4118.1231.4-4.721%
vs Weaker (4)120.2113.0233.2+7.275%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
125-120
125
120
+5
110avg 106
H28/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
125-110
125
110
+15
121avg 106
A31/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
114-105
114
105
+9
108avg 106
H02/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
114-125
114
125
-11
105avg 106
A04/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
124-118
124
118
+6
120avg 106
H06/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
117-102
117
102
+15
103avg 106
A07/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
116-127
116
127
-11
105avg 106
H09/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
144-126
144
126
+18
136avg 106
H11/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
136-124
136
124
+12
124avg 106
A13/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
110-131
110
131
-21
100avg 106
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
31-34
31-30
37-31
30-36
37-25
30-25
28-24
26-23
23-27
32-33
33-22
24-40
31-30
32-32
27-23
26-31
24-31
33-22
41-34
27-33
26-33
33-17
31-19
33-27
25-35
30-37
28-28
30-33
47-18
38-38
29-37
34-27
33-27
42-31
27-39
26-33
28-37
31-44
25-17
241.3Avg total
122.5Scored
118.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)122.8118.8241.6+4.073%
Season at home (5)124.6119.2243.8+5.480%
Season away (6)121.3118.5239.8+2.867%
Last 10 (10)122.5118.8241.3+3.770%
Last 5 (5)124.6122.0246.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (21)118.2118.0236.2+0.243%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)120.3120.8241.1-0.456%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +3.2+3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +3.2+3.2
Washington WizardsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
62-46
62
46
+16
H28/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
51-77
51
77
-26
H30/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A01/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A04/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A07/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
65-46
65
46
+19
A09/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H11/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A12/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
64-45
64
45
+19
A14/11
NBA
116.4Avg total
57.7Scored
58.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.158.5115.6-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.858.2117.0+0.662%-
Last 30 away (14)55.158.9113.9-3.821%-
Last 10 (10)57.758.7116.4-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)58.254.4112.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)54.062.4116.4-8.417%-
vs Similar (14)58.456.1114.5+2.257%-
vs Weaker (4)61.855.0116.8+6.875%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H28/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A31/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H02/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
55-70
55
70
-15
A04/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
50-62
50
62
-12
H06/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
53-66
53
66
-13
A07/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
58-62
58
62
-4
H09/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
77-51
77
51
+26
H11/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A13/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
54-70
54
70
-16
A15/11
NBA
119.2Avg total
58.7Scored
60.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.061.0120.0-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.860.6120.4-0.836%-
Last 30 away (16)58.461.4119.8-3.038%-
Last 10 (10)58.760.5119.2-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)61.860.6122.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (21)59.760.0119.7-0.448%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)57.663.2120.8-5.711%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 115.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.530.8
55.5%
54.4%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.612.7
35.7%
36.3%38.1
🏀 Free throws21.015.6
74.3%
78.2%15.6
They take 91.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 122.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers52.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.625.3
55.5%
54.4%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.317.4
40.2%
36.3%52.2
🏀 Free throws26.119.7
75.5%
78.2%19.7
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLLWLLLLWL
Dallas Mavericks
LWWLWWLWWW
#29
League position
#6
-6.8
Net rating
+3.6
108.5
Offensive rating
118.8
115.2
Defensive rating
115.2
54.7%
Effective FG%
57.8%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
14.0%
Turnover %
12.1%
18.9%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.7%
3-point %
40.2%
64.4%
Assist %
59.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 118.8Defence115.2 · 115.2Shooting54.7% · 57.8%3-point %35.7% · 40.2%Ball care14.0% · 12.1%Off. rebounds18.9% · 22.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/23AToronto Raptors107-111
12/11/23ABrooklyn Nets94-102
11/11/23HCharlotte Hornets117-124
09/11/23ACharlotte Hornets132-116
07/11/23APhiladelphia 76ers128-146
04/11/23AMiami Heat114-121
01/11/23AAtlanta Hawks121-130
30/10/23HBoston Celtics107-126
28/10/23HMemphis Grizzlies113-106
25/10/23AIndiana Pacers120-143
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23ANew Orleans Pelicans110-131
13/11/23ANew Orleans Pelicans136-124
11/11/23HLos Angeles Clippers144-126
09/11/23HToronto Raptors116-127
07/11/23AOrlando Magic117-102
06/11/23HCharlotte Hornets124-118
04/11/23ADenver Nuggets114-125
02/11/23HChicago Bulls114-105
31/10/23AMemphis Grizzlies125-110
28/10/23HBrooklyn Nets125-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %20%33%14%
Points / game115.3112.3116.6
Allowed / game122.5118.7124.1
Point differential-7.2-6.3-7.6
Avg total237.8231.0240.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL73%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game122.8124.6121.3
Allowed / game118.8119.2118.5
Point differential+4.0+5.4+2.8
Avg total241.6243.8239.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denver Nuggets119282%114.5106.3+8.2
2 Boston Celtics108280%119.6105.9+13.7
3 Philadelphia 76ers108280%121.2111.7+9.5
4 Minnesota Timberwolves108280%111.9102.9+9.0
5 Dallas Mavericks118373%122.8118.8+4.0
6 Houston Rockets96367%111.0105.8+5.2
7 Oklahoma City Thunder117464%116.5111.6+4.9
8 Indiana Pacers117464%126.5123.4+3.2
9 Miami Heat117464%109.6109.8-0.2
10 Atlanta Hawks106460%120.9117.3+3.6
11 Milwaukee Bucks106460%115.9118.3-2.4
12 Sacramento Kings95456%113.4114.4-1.0
13 Brooklyn Nets116555%114.2112.5+1.7
14 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.1115.1-2.0
15 New York Knicks105550%108.4104.3+4.1
16 Golden State Warriors126650%112.9110.8+2.2
17 Orlando Magic105550%109.5107.9+1.6
18 Toronto Raptors105550%108.2109.2-1.0
19 New Orleans Pelicans115645%111.1115.6-4.5
20 Phoenix Suns104640%111.8112.1-0.3
21 Cleveland Cavaliers104640%110.7113.9-3.2
22 Chicago Bulls114736%109.8113.7-3.9
23 Utah Jazz114736%114.0119.5-5.5
24 Los Angeles Clippers103730%113.2111.7+1.5
25 Portland Trail Blazers103730%105.7112.0-6.3
26 Charlotte Hornets103730%115.0121.9-6.9
27 San Antonio Spurs113827%110.6124.1-13.5
28 Washington Wizards102820%115.3122.5-7.2
29 Memphis Grizzlies112918%108.5115.9-7.5
30 Detroit Pistons1221017%110.6115.2-4.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards26253234117
Dallas Mavericks41303326130
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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