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Washington Wizards vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 28 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 22:00
Scheduled
Position#23
Record4-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game110.0
Allowed / game115.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.0/10
🧊 Cold
4.1/10
Below normal
Position#14
Record7-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game113.5
Allowed / game113.3
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Dallas Mavericks
28 Mar 2027
WAS v DAL
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
WAS105
DAL111
05 Dec 2024
WAS101
DAL137
15 Nov 2023
WAS117
DAL130
10 Nov 2022
WAS113
DAL105
01 Apr 2022
WAS135
DAL103
03 Apr 2021
WAS87
DAL109
07 Feb 2020
WAS119
DAL118
06 Mar 2019
WAS132
DAL123
07 Nov 2017
WAS99
DAL113
15 Mar 2017
WAS107
DAL112
06 Dec 2015
WAS104
DAL116
19 Nov 2014
WAS102
DAL105
01 Jan 2014
WAS78
DAL87
01 Jan 2013
WAS94
DAL103
26 Feb 2011
WAS99
DAL105
20 Jan 2010
WAS93
DAL94
21 Dec 2008
WAS86
DAL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
103-110
103
110
-7
94avg 96
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
111-121
111
121
-10
105avg 96
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
95-79
95
79
+16
92avg 96
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
103-94
103
94
+9
101avg 96
A03/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
105-120
105
120
-15
96avg 96
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
132-139
132
139
-7
126avg 96
A07/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
75-114
75
114
-39
54avg 96
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
111-122
111
122
-11
96avg 96
A10/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
101-114
101
114
-13
83avg 96
A12/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
140-144 OT
140
144
-4
136avg 96
H13/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
23-35
24-26
35-30
42-34
27-25
23-33
19-29
22-26
29-20
28-13
16-20
28-33
32-26
19-9
24-26
32-37
29-31
24-25
20-27
32-28
27-38
35-39
38-34
19-25
17-32
23-33
16-24
32-31
26-37
29-35
24-19
25-26
25-29
27-22
24-37
32-33
29-31
29-30
31-27
223.3Avg total
107.6Scored
115.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)110.0115.8225.8-5.831%
Season at home (5)114.0114.2228.2-0.240%
Season away (8)107.5116.8224.2-9.225%
Last 10 (10)107.6115.7223.3-8.120%
Last 5 (5)111.8126.6238.4-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)111.4128.6240.0-17.20%
vs Similar (4)113.0109.8222.8+3.250%
vs Weaker (4)112.5106.2218.8+6.275%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#15
W
113-109
113
109
+4
111avg 98
A26/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
W
120-96
120
96
+24
114avg 98
H29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
116-111
116
111
+5
111avg 98
H31/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
L
100-115
100
115
-15
85avg 98
H03/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
111-112
111
112
-1
98avg 98
A05/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
112-100
112
100
+12
104avg 98
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
130-93
130
93
+37
134avg 98
H09/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
125-122
125
122
+3
120avg 98
H10/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
94-133
94
133
-39
78avg 98
A13/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
117-127
117
127
-10
100avg 98
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
30-25
30-32
30-25
33-30
32-29
29-22
26-15
27-20
17-31
32-33
40-27
18-19
35-35
21-27
26-34
26-32
25-36
29-22
31-22
26-28
31-29
32-19
23-24
33-26
33-20
34-25
30-22
26-31
30-35
34-27
35-29
26-34
26-33
17-36
25-30
33-33
20-38
38-34
26-22
225.6Avg total
113.8Scored
111.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)113.5113.3226.8+0.254%
Season at home (7)115.6108.4224.0+7.171%
Season away (6)111.0119.0230.0-8.033%
Last 10 (10)113.8111.8225.6+2.060%
Last 5 (5)115.6115.0230.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)115.2125.9241.1-10.722%
vs Similar (9)119.4116.8236.2+2.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)114.0102.7216.7+11.367%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +4.2+4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +4.2+4.2
Washington WizardsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A03/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A07/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A10/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A12/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H13/11
NBA
114.5Avg total
54.9Scored
59.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.462.2116.6-7.813%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.262.5117.7-7.48%-
Last 30 away (17)53.861.9115.8-8.118%-
Last 10 (10)54.959.6114.5-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)52.862.0114.8-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)54.265.0119.2-10.85%-
vs Similar (4)59.054.5113.5+4.550%-
vs Weaker (4)50.854.5105.2-3.825%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#15
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A26/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H31/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H03/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
51-68
51
68
-17
A05/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H09/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H10/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
52-67
52
67
-15
A13/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
53-71
53
71
-18
A15/11
NBA
114.1Avg total
55.0Scored
59.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.261.1119.3-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.260.3120.5-0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)56.161.9118.1-5.833%-
Last 10 (10)55.059.1114.1-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)56.861.4118.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)56.463.6119.9-7.228%-
vs Similar (9)61.659.2120.8+2.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)58.752.3111.0+6.333%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 116.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.831.9
56.2%
54.0%63.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.0
34.2%
35.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws24.519.6
80.0%
77.3%19.6
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 119.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.530.1
57.3%
54.0%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.413.5
37.1%
35.1%40.5
🏀 Free throws23.818.6
78.2%
77.3%18.6
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLLLLLWWLL
Dallas Mavericks
LLWWWLLWWW
#23
League position
#14
-4.3
Net rating
+6.0
111.7
Offensive rating
112.7
116.0
Defensive rating
106.8
54.4%
Effective FG%
56.6%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
13.6%
Turnover %
15.4%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.2%
3-point %
37.1%
57.3%
Assist %
63.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 112.7Defence116.0 · 106.8Shooting54.4% · 56.6%3-point %34.2% · 37.1%Ball care13.6% · 15.4%Off. rebounds26.6% · 31.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HDetroit Pistons140-144 OT
12/11/26AIndiana Pacers101-114
10/11/26ADetroit Pistons111-122
08/11/26AOklahoma City Thunder75-114
07/11/26AAtlanta Hawks132-139
05/11/26HAtlanta Hawks105-120
03/11/26AOrlando Magic103-94
30/10/26HCharlotte Hornets95-79
28/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers111-121
26/10/26ACharlotte Hornets103-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ACleveland Cavaliers117-127
13/11/26AMinnesota Timberwolves94-133
10/11/26HIndiana Pacers125-122
09/11/26HBrooklyn Nets130-93
07/11/26HUtah Jazz112-100
05/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs111-112
03/11/26HSacramento Kings100-115
31/10/26HHouston Rockets116-111
29/10/26HOklahoma City Thunder120-96
26/10/26AMiami Heat113-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %31%40%25%
Points / game110.0114.0107.5
Allowed / game115.8114.2116.8
Point differential-5.8-0.2-9.2
Avg total225.8228.2224.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%20%0%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL54%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%71%33%
Points / game113.5115.6111.0
Allowed / game113.3108.4119.0
Point differential+0.2+7.1-8.0
Avg total226.8224.0230.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Philadelphia 76ers1411379%112.6110.4+2.1
5 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers145936%112.1114.5-2.4
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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