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Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 104-114
30-25 21-27 23-39 30-23
Position#22
Record26-31
FormWLWLL
Points / game108.7
Allowed / game108.7
vs
Position#4
Record39-18
FormLLLWW
Points / game112.0
Allowed / game107.1
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets
31 Mar 2027
DAL v DEN
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
DAL109
DEN118
23 Dec 2025
DAL131
DEN130
14 Jan 2025
DAL99
DEN118
12 Jan 2025
DAL101
DEN112
17 Mar 2024
DAL107
DEN105
20 Nov 2022
DAL97
DEN98
18 Nov 2022
DAL127
DEN99
03 Jan 2022
DAL103
DEN89
15 Nov 2021
DAL111
DEN101
25 Jan 2021
DAL113
DEN117
11 Mar 2020
DAL113
DEN97
08 Jan 2020
DAL106
DEN107
22 Feb 2019
DAL104
DEN114
06 Mar 2018
DAL118
DEN107
04 Dec 2017
DAL122
DEN105
11 Apr 2017
DAL91
DEN109
12 Dec 2016
DAL112
DEN92
26 Feb 2016
DAL122
DEN116
28 Nov 2015
DAL92
DEN81
16 Jan 2015
DAL97
DEN89
21 Mar 2014
DAL122
DEN106
25 Nov 2013
DAL96
DEN110
12 Apr 2013
DAL108
DEN105
28 Dec 2012
DAL85
DEN106
15 Feb 2012
DAL102
DEN84
26 Dec 2011
DAL93
DEN115
06 Apr 2011
DAL96
DEN104
06 Nov 2010
DAL92
DEN103
29 Mar 2010
DAL109
DEN93
11 May 2009
DAL119
DEN117
09 May 2009
DAL105
DEN106
27 Mar 2009
DAL101
DEN103
15 Dec 2008
DAL88
DEN98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
106-101
106
101
+5
98avg 98
H26/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
120-123
120
123
-3
110avg 98
H28/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
114-90
114
90
+24
119avg 98
A31/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
89-93
89
93
-4
75avg 98
A01/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
111-98
111
98
+13
106avg 98
A03/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
99-93
99
93
+6
92avg 98
H07/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
107-122
107
122
-15
92avg 98
H09/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
102-101
102
101
+1
87avg 98
H10/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
104-120
104
120
-16
96avg 98
A12/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
101-112
101
112
-11
87avg 98
H14/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
39-26
26-31
18-16
32-38
26-32
30-15
32-38
24-20
31-27
35-23
24-20
21-19
28-26
21-18
19-30
40-31
18-24
28-25
25-18
27-20
25-26
22-25
25-22
29-29
22-35
35-30
21-28
25-24
22-33
31-35
24-9
22-25
28-39
28-28
26-28
25-29
33-28
16-32
27-23
210.6Avg total
105.3Scored
105.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)108.7108.7217.4-0.046%
Season at home (29)110.4106.3216.7+4.169%
Season away (28)107.0111.3218.2-4.321%
Last 10 (10)105.3105.3210.6+0.050%
Last 5 (5)102.6109.6212.2-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)107.4116.0223.4-8.614%
vs Similar (13)108.3106.6214.9+1.746%
vs Weaker (3)109.794.0203.7+15.7100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
126-110
126
110
+16
121avg 107
H27/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
95-92
95
92
+3
81avg 107
A29/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
105-99
105
99
+6
100avg 107
A31/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
136-122
136
122
+14
142avg 107
H02/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
107-106
107
106
+1
105avg 107
A03/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
103-129
103
129
-26
87avg 107
A05/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
130-135
130
135
-5
126avg 107
A07/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
110-117
110
117
-7
107avg 107
A09/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
103-87
103
87
+16
96avg 107
H12/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
120-118
120
118
+2
112avg 107
H14/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
41-37
36-31
30-28
19-14
16-30
25-30
19-17
35-15
29-26
24-30
33-19
19-24
35-43
48-28
30-24
23-27
29-38
32-26
28-24
18-18
36-34
19-34
28-29
20-32
35-30
25-42
27-36
43-27
23-33
33-23
26-27
28-34
35-27
19-22
29-21
20-17
30-41
28-28
35-22
27-27
225.0Avg total
113.5Scored
111.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)112.0107.1219.1+4.968%
Season at home (29)116.1104.3220.5+11.886%
Season away (28)107.7109.9217.6-2.250%
Last 10 (10)113.5111.5225.0+2.070%
Last 5 (5)113.2117.2230.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)111.1110.3221.5+0.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)116.5110.0226.5+6.580%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
Dallas MavericksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H26/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
58-70
58
70
-12
H28/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A31/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A01/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A03/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H07/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
51-64
51
64
-13
H09/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H10/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
50-64
50
64
-14
A12/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H14/02
NBA
109.9Avg total
54.0Scored
55.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.956.9112.8-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.557.1113.6-0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)55.456.8112.1-1.450%-
Last 10 (10)54.055.9109.9-1.960%-
Last 5 (5)51.657.6109.2-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)53.261.6114.8-8.414%-
vs Similar (13)59.553.3112.8+6.285%-
vs Weaker (3)53.050.7103.7+2.367%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H27/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
41-60
41
60
-19
A29/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A31/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H02/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A03/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A05/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A07/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A09/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H12/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
58-69
58
69
-11
H14/02
NBA
123.1Avg total
59.8Scored
63.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.059.5118.5-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)62.757.8120.5+4.969%-
Last 30 away (14)54.861.5116.3-6.77%-
Last 10 (10)59.863.3123.1-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)56.662.8119.4-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)59.559.5119.0-0.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)58.559.5118.1-1.040%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 105.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.624.4
52.4%
51.7%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.813.6
35.1%
35.4%40.8
🏀 Free throws21.715.7
72.4%
76.6%15.7
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.933.6
56.1%
51.7%67.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.4
33.4%
35.4%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.315.1
78.2%
76.6%15.1
They take 91.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LLWLWWLWLW
Denver Nuggets
WWLLLWWWWW
#22
League position
#4
+0.0
Net rating
+2.0
107.0
Offensive rating
112.4
107.0
Defensive rating
110.5
52.5%
Effective FG%
54.1%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
13.4%
Turnover %
11.7%
20.5%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.21
35.1%
3-point %
33.4%
60.8%
Assist %
65.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 112.4Defence107.0 · 110.5Shooting52.5% · 54.1%3-point %35.1% · 33.4%Ball care13.4% · 11.7%Off. rebounds20.5% · 23.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/19HMiami Heat101-112
12/02/19AHouston Rockets104-120
10/02/19HPortland Trail Blazers102-101
09/02/19HMilwaukee Bucks107-122
07/02/19HCharlotte Hornets99-93
03/02/19ACleveland Cavaliers111-98
01/02/19ADetroit Pistons89-93
31/01/19ANew York Knicks114-90
28/01/19HToronto Raptors120-123
26/01/19HDetroit Pistons106-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/19HSacramento Kings120-118
12/02/19HMiami Heat103-87
09/02/19APhiladelphia 76ers110-117
07/02/19ABrooklyn Nets130-135
05/02/19ADetroit Pistons103-129
03/02/19AMinnesota Timberwolves107-106
02/02/19HHouston Rockets136-122
31/01/19ANew Orleans Pelicans105-99
29/01/19AMemphis Grizzlies95-92
27/01/19HPhiladelphia 76ers126-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL46%
HomeLWLWL69%
AwayLWLWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572928
Win %46%69%21%
Points / game108.7110.4107.0
Allowed / game108.7106.3111.3
Point differential-0.0+4.1-4.3
Avg total217.4216.7218.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%17%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (20)73% (11)22% (9)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW68%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572928
Win %68%86%50%
Points / game112.0116.1107.7
Allowed / game107.1104.3109.9
Point differential+4.9+11.8-2.2
Avg total219.1220.5217.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%52%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (17)83% (6)82% (11)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks58441476%116.6107.0+9.6
2 Toronto Raptors60441673%114.4108.8+5.6
3 Golden State Warriors58421672%118.9111.9+7.0
4 Denver Nuggets57391868%112.0107.1+4.9
5 Indiana Pacers59392066%108.4103.0+5.4
6 Oklahoma City Thunder57372065%115.4110.2+5.2
7 Philadelphia 76ers59382164%115.7112.0+3.7
8 Boston Celtics59372263%112.7106.4+6.3
9 Portland Trail Blazers58352360%113.3110.1+3.2
10 Houston Rockets58332557%113.0111.1+2.0
11 Utah Jazz57322556%109.2105.9+3.2
12 San Antonio Spurs60332755%112.4111.5+0.9
13 Los Angeles Clippers60332755%114.2113.7+0.6
14 Sacramento Kings58302852%113.6114.8-1.2
15 Brooklyn Nets60303050%112.1112.7-0.7
16 Los Angeles Lakers58292950%112.2113.3-1.1
17 Minnesota Timberwolves58283048%111.9111.6+0.4
18 Charlotte Hornets58283048%111.0111.3-0.3
19 Detroit Pistons57273047%106.9108.3-1.4
20 Dallas Mavericks57263146%108.7108.7-0.0
21 Miami Heat57263146%105.0105.7-0.7
22 Orlando Magic60273345%105.9106.9-1.1
23 New Orleans Pelicans60263443%115.5115.0+0.5
24 Washington Wizards59243541%113.8117.0-3.1
25 Memphis Grizzlies60233738%100.7103.9-3.2
26 Atlanta Hawks59194032%110.8118.3-7.5
27 Chicago Bulls59154425%103.3111.6-8.3
28 Cleveland Cavaliers59134622%103.1113.2-10.1
29 New York Knicks59114819%105.3114.0-8.7
30 Phoenix Suns60114918%105.8116.0-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks30212330104
Denver Nuggets25273923114
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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