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Washington Wizards vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 105-111
24-35 29-22 33-25 19-29
Position#30
Record1-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game112.2
Allowed / game130.3
vs
Position#24
Record2-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game106.0
Allowed / game114.2
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Dallas Mavericks
28 Mar 2027
WAS v DAL
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
WAS105
DAL111
05 Dec 2024
WAS101
DAL137
15 Nov 2023
WAS117
DAL130
10 Nov 2022
WAS113
DAL105
01 Apr 2022
WAS135
DAL103
03 Apr 2021
WAS87
DAL109
07 Feb 2020
WAS119
DAL118
06 Mar 2019
WAS132
DAL123
07 Nov 2017
WAS99
DAL113
15 Mar 2017
WAS107
DAL112
06 Dec 2015
WAS104
DAL116
19 Nov 2014
WAS102
DAL105
01 Jan 2014
WAS78
DAL87
01 Jan 2013
WAS94
DAL103
26 Feb 2011
WAS99
DAL105
20 Jan 2010
WAS93
DAL94
21 Dec 2008
WAS86
DAL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#20
W
119-118
119
118
+1
117avg 97
A13/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
120-133
120
133
-13
111avg 97
A23/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
117-107
117
107
+10
110avg 97
A25/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
113-139
113
139
-26
102avg 97
H26/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
134-139 OT
134
139
-5
125avg 97
H28/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
108-127
108
127
-19
106avg 97
A31/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
94-125
94
125
-31
71avg 97
H01/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
102-119
102
119
-17
101avg 97
A04/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
107-136
107
136
-29
101avg 97
A06/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
115-148
115
148
-33
110avg 97
H08/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-28
36-32
28-26
25-32
23-40
30-32
37-29
30-32
28-35
30-17
33-26
26-29
30-31
32-20
26-44
25-44
40-32
32-36
38-26
16-32
20-28
29-31
35-33
24-35
35-32
21-43
19-28
19-22
30-22
24-35
24-41
24-21
37-26
23-44
20-32
27-34
26-39
34-37
27-33
28-39
242.0Avg total
112.9Scored
129.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)112.2130.3242.6-18.111%
Season at home (4)114.0137.8251.8-23.80%
Season away (5)110.8124.4235.2-13.620%
Last 10 (10)112.9129.1242.0-16.220%
Last 5 (5)105.2131.0236.2-25.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)108.4122.9231.3-14.424%
vs Similar (1)112.0128.0240.0-16.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
106-120
106
120
-14
95avg 104
A19/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
92-125
92
125
-33
77avg 104
H23/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
107-117
107
117
-10
98avg 104
H25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
139-129
139
129
+10
142avg 104
H26/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
94-101
94
101
-7
76avg 104
H28/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
107-105
107
105
+2
102avg 104
H30/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
110-122
110
122
-12
103avg 104
A02/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
102-110
102
110
-8
94avg 104
A04/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
99-101
99
101
-2
84avg 104
H06/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
104-118
104
118
-14
98avg 104
A08/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-39
25-27
29-30
28-24
29-28
22-32
21-33
20-32
35-28
17-30
26-33
29-26
32-32
32-34
39-25
36-38
24-28
18-20
27-39
25-14
25-30
27-25
29-19
26-31
30-27
31-32
32-28
17-35
28-24
27-34
23-23
24-29
19-29
30-23
28-26
22-23
24-34
27-40
29-28
24-16
220.8Avg total
106.0Scored
114.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)106.0114.2220.2-8.222%
Season at home (6)106.3113.0219.3-6.733%
Season away (3)105.3116.7222.0-11.30%
Last 10 (10)106.0114.8220.8-8.820%
Last 5 (5)104.4111.2215.6-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)104.6122.6227.2-18.08%
vs Similar (14)115.1114.6229.7+0.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)115.2115.2230.5+0.025%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -7.6-7.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -7.6-7.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
Washington WizardsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#20
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A13/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
53-72
53
72
-19
A23/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A25/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H26/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H28/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A31/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
56-75
56
75
-19
H01/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A04/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A06/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
60-76
60
76
-16
H08/11
NBA
123.0Avg total
59.0Scored
64.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.761.8117.5-6.133%-
Last 30 at home (12)55.962.2118.2-6.333%-
Last 30 away (18)55.661.5117.1-5.933%-
Last 10 (10)59.064.0123.0-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)55.867.4123.2-11.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)55.461.7117.2-6.334%-
vs Similar (1)63.064.0127.0-1.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
49-66
49
66
-17
A19/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H23/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H26/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H28/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H30/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A02/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A04/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H06/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
51-74
51
74
-23
A08/11
NBA
112.2Avg total
52.6Scored
59.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.258.8115.0-2.630%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.056.8113.8+0.236%-
Last 30 away (16)55.460.6116.0-5.125%-
Last 10 (10)52.659.6112.2-7.010%-
Last 5 (5)53.659.6113.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)52.860.2113.0-7.517%-
vs Similar (14)57.658.1115.7-0.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)61.257.0118.2+4.275%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 112.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.828.2
51.5%
54.8%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.213.8
38.1%
35.8%41.4
🏀 Free throws21.215.1
71.2%
78.1%15.1
They take 91.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 106.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.927.9
53.8%
54.8%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.410.3
30.8%
35.8%30.9
🏀 Free throws25.419.3
76.0%
78.1%19.3
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLLLLLLWLW
Dallas Mavericks
LLLLWLWLLL
#30
League position
#24
-15.2
Net rating
-8.5
106.2
Offensive rating
102.0
121.5
Defensive rating
110.5
53.7%
Effective FG%
50.8%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
15.6%
Turnover %
15.6%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
18.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.1%
3-point %
30.8%
64.8%
Assist %
62.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 102.0Defence121.5 · 110.5Shooting53.7% · 50.8%3-point %38.1% · 30.8%Ball care15.6% · 15.6%Off. rebounds22.3% · 18.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HCleveland Cavaliers115-148
06/11/25ABoston Celtics107-136
04/11/25ANew York Knicks102-119
01/11/25HOrlando Magic94-125
31/10/25AOklahoma City Thunder108-127
28/10/25HPhiladelphia 76ers134-139 OT
26/10/25HCharlotte Hornets113-139
25/10/25ADallas Mavericks117-107
23/10/25AMilwaukee Bucks120-133
13/04/25AMiami Heat119-118
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25AMemphis Grizzlies104-118
06/11/25HNew Orleans Pelicans99-101
04/11/25AHouston Rockets102-110
02/11/25ADetroit Pistons110-122
30/10/25HIndiana Pacers107-105
28/10/25HOklahoma City Thunder94-101
26/10/25HToronto Raptors139-129
25/10/25HWashington Wizards107-117
23/10/25HSan Antonio Spurs92-125
19/04/25AMemphis Grizzlies106-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %11%0%20%
Points / game112.2114.0110.8
Allowed / game130.3137.8124.4
Point differential-18.1-23.8-13.6
Avg total242.6251.8235.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %11%25%0%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL22%
HomeLWLWL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %22%33%0%
Points / game106.0106.3105.3
Allowed / game114.2113.0116.7
Point differential-8.2-6.7-11.3
Avg total220.2219.3222.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder109190%123.2109.7+13.5
2 Detroit Pistons97278%116.7110.8+5.9
3 Los Angeles Lakers97278%119.6116.6+3.0
4 Denver Nuggets86275%125.1112.4+12.8
5 San Antonio Spurs86275%118.2109.6+8.6
6 Chicago Bulls86275%119.1116.9+2.2
7 Cleveland Cavaliers96367%119.9114.8+5.1
8 Milwaukee Bucks96367%120.6118.1+2.4
9 Houston Rockets85362%122.9112.9+10.0
10 New York Knicks85362%118.9113.6+5.2
11 Philadelphia 76ers85362%123.2119.2+4.0
12 Portland Trail Blazers85362%120.4117.8+2.6
13 Miami Heat95456%122.8116.6+6.2
14 Toronto Raptors95456%119.2115.7+3.6
15 Minnesota Timberwolves95456%118.8115.9+2.9
16 Golden State Warriors105550%116.1116.7-0.6
17 Orlando Magic94544%117.0116.8+0.2
18 Phoenix Suns94544%116.7118.2-1.6
19 Atlanta Hawks94544%114.4116.4-2.0
20 Boston Celtics104640%113.0110.7+2.3
21 Memphis Grizzlies104640%115.1119.1-4.0
22 Los Angeles Clippers83538%110.5115.1-4.6
23 Charlotte Hornets93633%119.0121.0-2.0
24 Sacramento Kings93633%115.1121.7-6.6
25 Utah Jazz93633%112.1120.1-8.0
26 New Orleans Pelicans82625%107.9120.8-12.9
27 Dallas Mavericks92722%106.0114.2-8.2
28 Indiana Pacers81712%111.6119.5-7.9
29 Brooklyn Nets91811%111.3124.6-13.2
30 Washington Wizards91811%112.2130.3-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards24293319105
Dallas Mavericks35222529111
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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