PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 109-99
25-23 32-20 25-29 27-27
Position#30
Record11-34
FormLLLLW
Points / game112.3
Allowed / game122.8
vs
Position#21
Record18-27
FormLWLLL
Points / game112.1
Allowed / game116.0
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Milwaukee Bucks
13 Feb 2027
WAS v MIL
upcoming
21 Oct 2026
WAS128
MIL116
29 Jan 2026
WAS109
MIL99
01 Dec 2025
WAS129
MIL126
21 Feb 2025
WAS101
MIL104
02 Apr 2024
WAS117
MIL113
20 Nov 2023
WAS129
MIL142
04 Apr 2023
WAS128
MIL140
05 Mar 2023
WAS111
MIL117
07 Nov 2021
WAS101
MIL94
15 Mar 2021
WAS122
MIL133
13 Mar 2021
WAS119
MIL125
11 Aug 2020
WAS113
MIL126
24 Feb 2020
WAS134
MIL137
02 Feb 2019
WAS115
MIL131
11 Jan 2019
WAS113
MIL106
15 Jan 2018
WAS95
MIL104
06 Jan 2018
WAS103
MIL110
26 Dec 2016
WAS107
MIL102
10 Dec 2016
WAS110
MIL105
13 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIL101
17 Nov 2015
WAS115
MIL86
01 Nov 2014
WAS108
MIL97
12 Apr 2014
WAS104
MIL91
06 Dec 2013
WAS105
MIL109
13 Mar 2013
WAS106
MIL93
09 Nov 2012
WAS91
MIL101
18 Apr 2012
WAS121
MIL112
02 Apr 2012
WAS98
MIL112
08 Mar 2011
WAS76
MIL95
09 Feb 2011
WAS100
MIL85
05 Mar 2010
WAS74
MIL102
02 Dec 2009
WAS104
MIL102
12 Jan 2009
WAS91
MIL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
110-131
110
131
-21
108avg 99
A08/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
107-128
107
128
-21
93avg 99
H10/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
93-112
93
112
-19
86avg 99
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
105-119
105
119
-14
95avg 99
A15/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
115-128
115
128
-13
101avg 99
A17/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
115-121
115
121
-6
98avg 99
A18/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
106-110
106
110
-4
101avg 99
H19/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
97-107
97
107
-10
84avg 99
H23/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
115-119
115
119
-4
106avg 99
A24/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
115-111
115
111
+4
103avg 99
H28/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-37
26-25
24-30
30-39
26-28
24-32
34-40
23-28
28-32
22-33
17-31
26-16
22-37
29-33
38-26
16-23
22-41
39-26
23-34
31-27
29-36
34-26
23-21
29-38
26-26
27-28
28-25
25-31
23-27
23-21
29-33
22-26
34-35
24-31
23-27
34-26
26-28
34-25
26-34
29-24
226.4Avg total
107.8Scored
118.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)112.3122.8235.1-10.524%
Season at home (22)114.5123.3237.8-8.932%
Season away (23)110.3122.3232.6-12.117%
Last 10 (10)107.8118.6226.4-10.810%
Last 5 (5)109.6113.6223.2-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)113.0121.0234.1-8.031%
vs Similar (4)107.0108.8215.8-1.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
115-98
115
98
+17
109avg 106
A05/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
113-120
113
120
-7
108avg 106
A08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
105-101
105
101
+4
101avg 106
A10/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
104-108
104
108
-4
100avg 106
A12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
106-139
106
139
-33
96avg 106
H14/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
101-119
101
119
-18
86avg 106
A16/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
112-110
112
110
+2
110avg 106
A19/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
102-122
102
122
-20
101avg 106
H22/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
100-102
100
102
-2
94avg 106
H24/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
122-139
122
139
-17
116avg 106
A28/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
34-18
23-25
30-29
31-31
22-33
29-34
31-22
24-25
37-27
25-25
19-24
23-27
29-35
22-23
30-23
20-38
25-38
33-30
28-33
27-31
26-35
16-40
32-13
20-19
34-19
26-34
32-38
18-38
33-31
26-30
25-23
21-21
21-27
21-30
37-24
34-42
28-29
33-35
27-33
223.8Avg total
108.0Scored
115.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)112.1116.0228.1-3.940%
Season at home (21)115.1117.2232.3-2.143%
Season away (24)109.5114.9224.4-5.438%
Last 10 (10)108.0115.8223.8-7.830%
Last 5 (5)107.4118.4225.8-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)109.2115.9225.0-6.727%
vs Similar (6)106.7107.7214.3-1.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)119.5121.5241.0-2.00%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.9+2.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.9+2.9
Washington WizardsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A08/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H10/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
50-65
50
65
-15
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
51-70
51
70
-19
A15/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A17/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
63-62
63
62
+1
A18/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H19/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H23/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A24/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H28/01
NBA
115.5Avg total
54.8Scored
60.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.261.3119.6-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.659.9118.5-1.238%-
Last 30 away (14)57.863.0120.8-5.236%-
Last 10 (10)54.860.7115.5-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)56.056.6112.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)58.262.0120.2-3.835%-
vs Similar (4)58.857.0115.8+1.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
62-44
62
44
+18
A05/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A10/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
45-76
45
76
-31
H14/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-66
53
66
-13
A16/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A19/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
51-69
51
69
-18
H22/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H24/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A28/01
NBA
112.5Avg total
53.5Scored
59.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.258.9114.2-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.561.9115.4-8.515%-
Last 30 away (17)56.656.6113.2-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)53.559.0112.5-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)52.458.4110.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)53.960.4114.3-6.523%-
vs Similar (6)57.352.7110.0+4.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)64.061.5125.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 107.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.027.1
51.1%
54.8%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.012.5
33.8%
35.8%37.5
🏀 Free throws20.516.1
78.5%
78.1%16.1
They take 90.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 108.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.825.4
54.3%
54.8%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.113.9
37.5%
35.8%41.7
🏀 Free throws21.315.5
72.8%
78.1%15.5
They take 83.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
WLLLLLLLLL
Milwaukee Bucks
LLLWLLLWLW
#30
League position
#21
-10.6
Net rating
-7.9
105.5
Offensive rating
109.9
116.1
Defensive rating
117.8
50.9%
Effective FG%
55.1%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
15.1%
Turnover %
13.5%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
19.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.8%
3-point %
37.5%
63.4%
Assist %
66.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 109.9Defence116.1 · 117.8Shooting50.9% · 55.1%3-point %33.8% · 37.5%Ball care15.1% · 13.5%Off. rebounds26.2% · 19.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/26HPortland Trail Blazers115-111
24/01/26ACharlotte Hornets115-119
23/01/26HDenver Nuggets97-107
19/01/26HLos Angeles Clippers106-110
18/01/26ADenver Nuggets115-121
17/01/26ASacramento Kings115-128
15/01/26ALos Angeles Clippers105-119
12/01/26APhoenix Suns93-112
10/01/26HNew Orleans Pelicans107-128
08/01/26APhiladelphia 76ers110-131
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/26APhiladelphia 76ers122-139
24/01/26HDenver Nuggets100-102
22/01/26HOklahoma City Thunder102-122
19/01/26AAtlanta Hawks112-110
16/01/26ASan Antonio Spurs101-119
14/01/26HMinnesota Timberwolves106-139
12/01/26ADenver Nuggets104-108
10/01/26ALos Angeles Lakers105-101
08/01/26AGolden State Warriors113-120
05/01/26ASacramento Kings115-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW24%
HomeWLLLW32%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452223
Win %24%32%17%
Points / game112.3114.5110.3
Allowed / game122.8123.3122.3
Point differential-10.5-8.9-12.1
Avg total235.1237.8232.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)50% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %4%5%4%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL40%
HomeLWLLL43%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452124
Win %40%43%38%
Points / game112.1115.1109.5
Allowed / game116.0117.2114.9
Point differential-3.9-2.1-5.4
Avg total228.1232.3224.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)40% (5)44% (9)
Overtime %4%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4637980%120.3108.0+12.4
2 Detroit Pistons45341176%117.2110.0+7.2
3 San Antonio Spurs45301567%117.0112.0+5.0
4 Denver Nuggets47311666%120.4116.0+4.3
5 Houston Rockets45281762%116.3110.5+5.8
6 Los Angeles Lakers45281762%115.8116.2-0.4
7 Boston Celtics47291862%116.4110.1+6.3
8 Phoenix Suns46281861%114.5111.0+3.5
9 Minnesota Timberwolves48291960%119.0114.1+4.8
10 Toronto Raptors48291960%113.8112.0+1.9
11 New York Knicks45271860%117.2112.7+4.5
12 Cleveland Cavaliers49292059%119.2116.1+3.1
13 Golden State Warriors49272255%116.5113.6+2.9
14 Philadelphia 76ers46252154%116.6115.9+0.7
15 Miami Heat47252253%120.1118.4+1.7
16 Orlando Magic44232152%115.3115.4-0.1
17 Atlanta Hawks49242549%117.7118.4-0.7
18 Chicago Bulls47232449%117.7119.8-2.1
19 Portland Trail Blazers48232548%115.5117.4-1.9
20 Los Angeles Clippers46222448%112.7112.8-0.1
21 Charlotte Hornets48202842%116.2114.6+1.6
22 Dallas Mavericks47192840%114.1116.6-2.5
23 Memphis Grizzlies45182740%114.8116.3-1.6
24 Milwaukee Bucks45182740%112.1116.0-3.9
25 Utah Jazz48153331%118.8127.8-9.0
26 Brooklyn Nets45123327%107.8114.9-7.1
27 Indiana Pacers48123625%110.3118.3-8.0
28 Sacramento Kings48123625%110.5120.8-10.3
29 New Orleans Pelicans49123724%114.4121.2-6.8
30 Washington Wizards45113424%112.3122.8-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards25322527109
Milwaukee Bucks2320292799
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.