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Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 101-133
26-43 29-32 21-30 25-28
Position#21
Record30-46
FormLLLWL
Points / game110.6
Allowed / game116.7
vs
Position#5
Record51-25
FormWWWLW
Points / game114.4
Allowed / game107.2
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Boston Celtics
08 Nov 2026
MIL97
BOS117
03 Apr 2026
MIL101
BOS133
02 Mar 2026
MIL81
BOS108
11 Dec 2025
MIL116
BOS101
10 Nov 2024
MIL107
BOS113
09 Apr 2024
MIL104
BOS91
11 Jan 2024
MIL135
BOS102
30 Mar 2023
MIL99
BOS140
14 Feb 2023
MIL131
BOS125
13 May 2022
MIL95
BOS108
09 May 2022
MIL108
BOS116
07 May 2022
MIL103
BOS101
07 Apr 2022
MIL127
BOS121
25 Dec 2021
MIL117
BOS113
26 Mar 2021
MIL114
BOS122
24 Mar 2021
MIL121
BOS119
31 Jul 2020
MIL119
BOS112
12 Mar 2020
MIL v BOS
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
MIL128
BOS123
08 May 2019
MIL116
BOS91
30 Apr 2019
MIL123
BOS102
28 Apr 2019
MIL90
BOS112
21 Feb 2019
MIL98
BOS97
26 Apr 2018
MIL97
BOS86
22 Apr 2018
MIL104
BOS102
20 Apr 2018
MIL116
BOS92
03 Apr 2018
MIL106
BOS102
26 Oct 2017
MIL89
BOS96
28 Jan 2017
MIL108
BOS112
09 Feb 2016
MIL112
BOS111
10 Nov 2015
MIL83
BOS99
15 Apr 2015
MIL100
BOS105
07 Feb 2015
MIL96
BOS93
10 Feb 2014
MIL86
BOS102
30 Nov 2013
MIL92
BOS85
01 Dec 2012
MIL91
BOS88
10 Nov 2012
MIL92
BOS96
22 Mar 2012
MIL91
BOS100
06 Mar 2011
MIL83
BOS89
10 Apr 2010
MIL90
BOS105
09 Mar 2010
MIL86
BOS84
15 Mar 2009
MIL86
BOS77
15 Nov 2008
MIL97
BOS102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
134-123
134
123
+11
130avg 103
H15/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
116-123
116
123
-7
106avg 103
H18/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
96-128
96
128
-32
83avg 103
A20/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
108-105
108
105
+3
101avg 103
A22/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
96-129
96
129
-33
90avg 103
A24/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
99-130
99
130
-31
81avg 103
A26/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
95-127
95
127
-32
83avg 103
H28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
113-127
113
127
-14
104avg 103
H29/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
123-99
123
99
+24
120avg 103
H01/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
113-119
113
119
-6
103avg 103
A02/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-34
36-31
40-31
32-27
24-37
34-20
29-28
29-38
19-30
25-34
29-30
23-34
15-26
42-26
24-30
27-23
24-28
23-43
20-37
29-21
27-42
22-29
32-33
18-26
24-37
21-30
34-35
16-25
25-29
21-28
28-39
39-31
38-31
27-20
25-19
33-29
20-27
24-27
34-31
35-34
230.3Avg total
109.3Scored
121.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)110.6116.7227.3-6.039%
Season at home (38)113.8118.2232.0-4.445%
Season away (38)107.4115.1222.6-7.734%
Last 10 (10)109.3121.0230.3-11.730%
Last 5 (5)108.6120.4229.0-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)104.0119.0223.1-15.024%
vs Similar (9)119.9115.3235.2+4.678%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#30
W
111-100
111
100
+11
109avg 105
H14/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
120-112
120
112
+8
120avg 105
H16/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
120-99
120
99
+21
113avg 105
H18/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
117-112
117
112
+5
111avg 105
A21/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
92-102
92
102
-10
76avg 105
H23/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
119-109
119
109
+10
115avg 105
H25/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
109-102
109
102
+7
110avg 105
H27/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
114-99
114
99
+15
106avg 105
A29/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
102-112
102
112
-10
90avg 105
A30/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
147-129
147
129
+18
148avg 105
A01/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-27
35-14
29-31
18-28
31-32
34-29
26-25
29-26
36-23
27-27
26-23
31-26
29-27
26-27
29-34
33-24
23-14
21-33
33-29
15-26
20-31
29-22
39-30
31-26
26-29
29-31
32-22
22-20
27-21
36-28
26-26
25-24
30-29
24-25
22-36
26-22
53-33
27-24
32-45
35-27
222.7Avg total
115.1Scored
107.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)114.4107.2221.6+7.267%
Season at home (37)114.1107.0221.1+7.270%
Season away (39)114.6107.4222.0+7.364%
Last 10 (10)115.1107.6222.7+7.580%
Last 5 (5)118.2110.2228.4+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)103.4107.8211.1-4.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)113.8101.2215.0+12.686%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.9-7.9Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.6+1.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.9-7.9Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.6+1.6
Milwaukee BucksBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H15/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H18/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
44-64
44
64
-20
A20/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A22/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
47-71
47
71
-24
A24/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
49-71
49
71
-22
A26/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
45-67
45
67
-22
H28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H29/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H01/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A02/04
NBA
112.6Avg total
51.7Scored
60.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.159.3115.5-3.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.160.0118.1-1.947%-
Last 30 away (13)53.558.5112.0-4.946%-
Last 10 (10)51.760.9112.6-9.230%-
Last 5 (5)49.860.0109.8-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)53.960.5114.4-6.738%-
vs Similar (9)61.456.6118.0+4.967%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#30
W
64-41
64
41
+23
H14/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H16/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H18/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A21/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H23/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H25/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
55-60
55
60
-5
H27/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
63-49
63
49
+14
A29/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A30/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
80-57
80
57
+23
A01/04
NBA
111.8Avg total
59.2Scored
52.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.451.1108.5+6.270%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.652.9109.6+3.756%-
Last 30 away (14)58.249.1107.3+9.186%-
Last 10 (10)59.252.6111.8+6.660%-
Last 5 (5)60.254.6114.8+5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)52.853.6106.4-0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)59.050.2109.3+8.877%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 109.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers51.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.522.9
55.2%
54.8%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.517.2
39.5%
35.8%51.6
🏀 Free throws16.712.2
73.1%
78.1%12.2
They take 85.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 115.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.426.3
54.3%
54.8%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.114.4
36.8%
35.8%43.2
🏀 Free throws23.319.3
82.8%
78.1%19.3
They take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LWLLLLWLLW
Boston Celtics
WLWWWLWWWW
#21
League position
#5
-10.7
Net rating
+7.7
108.7
Offensive rating
118.0
119.4
Defensive rating
110.3
57.3%
Effective FG%
54.7%
58.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
16.3%
Turnover %
12.4%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.5%
3-point %
36.8%
60.8%
Assist %
60.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 118.0Defence119.4 · 110.3Shooting57.3% · 54.7%3-point %39.5% · 36.8%Ball care16.3% · 12.4%Off. rebounds27.2% · 28.9%Free throws0.20 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Milwaukee Bucks wins
7
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/26AHouston Rockets113-119
01/04/26HDallas Mavericks123-99
29/03/26HLos Angeles Clippers113-127
28/03/26HSan Antonio Spurs95-127
26/03/26APortland Trail Blazers99-130
24/03/26ALos Angeles Clippers96-129
22/03/26APhoenix Suns108-105
20/03/26AUtah Jazz96-128
18/03/26HCleveland Cavaliers116-123
15/03/26HIndiana Pacers134-123
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/26AMiami Heat147-129
30/03/26AAtlanta Hawks102-112
29/03/26ACharlotte Hornets114-99
27/03/26HAtlanta Hawks109-102
25/03/26HOklahoma City Thunder119-109
23/03/26HMinnesota Timberwolves92-102
21/03/26AMemphis Grizzlies117-112
18/03/26HGolden State Warriors120-99
16/03/26HPhoenix Suns120-112
14/03/26HWashington Wizards111-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL39%
HomeWLLLW45%
AwayLWLLL34%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763838
Win %39%45%34%
Points / game110.6113.8107.4
Allowed / game116.7118.2115.1
Point differential-6.0-4.4-7.7
Avg total227.3232.0222.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%32%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (17)57% (7)50% (10)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWLWW70%
AwayLWWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763739
Win %67%70%64%
Points / game114.4114.1114.6
Allowed / game107.2107.0107.4
Point differential+7.2+7.2+7.3
Avg total221.6221.1222.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%43%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (19)43% (7)50% (12)
Overtime %1%0%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder75601580%118.7107.7+11.1
2 San Antonio Spurs75571876%119.5111.1+8.5
3 Detroit Pistons77562173%117.5109.6+7.9
4 Boston Celtics76512567%114.4107.2+7.2
5 Los Angeles Lakers76502666%116.5114.8+1.7
6 Denver Nuggets77492864%121.4116.6+4.8
7 New York Knicks76482863%116.7110.4+6.3
8 Cleveland Cavaliers77482962%119.3115.2+4.1
9 Houston Rockets76472962%114.4109.9+4.5
10 Minnesota Timberwolves77463160%117.6114.1+3.5
11 Atlanta Hawks78453358%118.6115.9+2.7
12 Toronto Raptors75423356%114.5112.2+2.3
13 Philadelphia 76ers77433456%116.5116.5+0.0
14 Phoenix Suns76423455%113.1111.0+2.2
15 Charlotte Hornets78423654%116.4111.3+5.1
16 Orlando Magic74393553%115.1115.1-0.1
17 Miami Heat76403653%120.5118.2+2.3
18 Portland Trail Blazers78403851%115.4115.9-0.5
19 Los Angeles Clippers77393851%113.7112.6+1.1
20 Golden State Warriors77364147%114.8115.1-0.3
21 Milwaukee Bucks76304639%110.6116.7-6.0
22 Chicago Bulls77294838%116.2121.6-5.4
23 Memphis Grizzlies76255133%115.1119.5-4.4
24 New Orleans Pelicans77255232%115.0119.5-4.5
25 Dallas Mavericks76245232%113.4119.1-5.7
26 Utah Jazz77215627%117.3125.4-8.1
27 Sacramento Kings77205726%110.9121.1-10.2
28 Indiana Pacers77185923%112.6120.8-8.2
29 Brooklyn Nets77185923%106.1115.8-9.7
30 Washington Wizards76175922%112.7124.3-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks26292125101
Boston Celtics43323028133
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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