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Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 111-117
28-34 20-25 32-24 31-34
Position#23
Record30-33
FormLLWWL
Points / game113.2
Allowed / game113.2
vs
Position#1
Record45-18
FormWWWWL
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game111.5
USANBA
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Milwaukee Bucks
13 Feb 2027
WAS v MIL
upcoming
21 Oct 2026
WAS128
MIL116
29 Jan 2026
WAS109
MIL99
01 Dec 2025
WAS129
MIL126
21 Feb 2025
WAS101
MIL104
02 Apr 2024
WAS117
MIL113
20 Nov 2023
WAS129
MIL142
04 Apr 2023
WAS128
MIL140
05 Mar 2023
WAS111
MIL117
07 Nov 2021
WAS101
MIL94
15 Mar 2021
WAS122
MIL133
13 Mar 2021
WAS119
MIL125
11 Aug 2020
WAS113
MIL126
24 Feb 2020
WAS134
MIL137
02 Feb 2019
WAS115
MIL131
11 Jan 2019
WAS113
MIL106
15 Jan 2018
WAS95
MIL104
06 Jan 2018
WAS103
MIL110
26 Dec 2016
WAS107
MIL102
10 Dec 2016
WAS110
MIL105
13 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIL101
17 Nov 2015
WAS115
MIL86
01 Nov 2014
WAS108
MIL97
12 Apr 2014
WAS104
MIL91
06 Dec 2013
WAS105
MIL109
13 Mar 2013
WAS106
MIL93
09 Nov 2012
WAS91
MIL101
18 Apr 2012
WAS121
MIL112
02 Apr 2012
WAS98
MIL112
08 Mar 2011
WAS76
MIL95
09 Feb 2011
WAS100
MIL85
05 Mar 2010
WAS74
MIL102
02 Dec 2009
WAS104
MIL102
12 Jan 2009
WAS91
MIL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
118-104
118
104
+14
120avg 106
H09/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
127-113
127
113
+14
135avg 106
H12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
126-135
126
135
-9
123avg 106
A14/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
126-101
126
101
+25
129avg 106
A15/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
114-106
114
106
+8
106avg 106
A17/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
109-115
109
115
-6
104avg 106
H25/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
82-102
82
102
-20
74avg 106
A26/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
119-116
119
116
+3
106avg 106
A01/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
119-108
119
108
+11
118avg 106
H03/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
109-116 OT
109
116
-7
110avg 106
H04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-31
29-30
27-15
30-28
37-29
43-28
24-31
23-25
39-29
27-42
27-35
33-29
31-27
28-25
38-22
29-27
21-36
30-23
25-28
38-19
38-27
26-33
24-29
21-26
27-25
18-22
22-27
15-28
27-27
25-29
33-34
34-26
24-20
35-30
30-28
30-30
30-26
23-27
26-33
26-19
226.5Avg total
114.9Scored
111.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)113.2113.2226.3-0.048%
Season at home (29)113.1113.3226.4-0.252%
Season away (34)113.2113.1226.3+0.144%
Last 10 (10)114.9111.6226.5+3.360%
Last 5 (5)107.6111.4219.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)109.5110.8220.2-1.250%
vs Similar (23)116.7114.0230.6+2.757%
vs Weaker (3)117.7104.3222.0+13.3100%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
127-108
127
108
+19
130avg 107
A07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
115-106
115
106
+9
104avg 107
A10/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
119-106
119
106
+13
116avg 107
A11/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
131-125 OT
131
125
+6
128avg 107
H15/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
112-100
112
100
+12
108avg 107
A17/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
128-99
128
99
+29
124avg 107
H25/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
104-101
104
101
+3
89avg 107
H26/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
118-104
118
104
+14
113avg 107
A01/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
139-117
139
117
+22
134avg 107
H02/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
130-133
130
133
-3
131avg 107
H05/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-22
28-26
37-23
32-37
26-31
24-27
38-23
27-25
22-27
32-24
27-25
38-30
27-35
37-28
26-32
26-21
34-24
27-25
24-24
27-27
42-32
31-24
22-18
33-25
33-26
20-20
22-28
29-27
22-34
30-28
39-23
27-19
31-29
45-37
32-30
31-21
29-29
30-24
40-32
31-48
232.2Avg total
122.3Scored
109.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)115.5111.5227.1+4.071%
Season at home (33)119.6111.6231.2+8.182%
Season away (30)111.0111.5222.5-0.560%
Last 10 (10)122.3109.9232.2+12.490%
Last 5 (5)123.8110.8234.6+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (21)115.3109.7225.0+5.676%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)126.7121.0247.7+5.778%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.1+2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.1+2.1
Washington WizardsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#27
D
61-61
61
61
+0
H09/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A14/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A15/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A17/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H25/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A26/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A01/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H03/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H04/03
NBA
115.6Avg total
59.0Scored
56.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.956.6115.5+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.958.0118.9+2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)57.255.4112.6+1.856%-
Last 10 (10)59.056.6115.6+2.440%-
Last 5 (5)54.653.2107.8+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)57.558.2115.8-0.850%-
vs Similar (23)59.656.2115.7+3.461%-
vs Weaker (3)55.758.0113.7-2.333%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A10/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A11/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H15/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A17/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H25/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H26/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A01/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H02/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H05/03
NBA
115.2Avg total
60.0Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.756.5115.1+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.860.9121.8-0.150%-
Last 30 away (14)56.251.4107.6+4.950%-
Last 10 (10)60.055.2115.2+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)62.656.6119.2+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (21)55.153.7108.9+1.448%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)66.962.9129.8+4.056%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 114.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.129.9
57.4%
54.5%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.612.9
42.2%
35.8%38.7
🏀 Free throws20.016.4
82.0%
78.1%16.4
They take 82.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 122.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers51.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.327.8
57.6%
54.5%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.517.0
39.1%
35.8%51.0
🏀 Free throws20.715.7
75.8%
78.1%15.7
They take 91.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LWWLLWWLWW
Milwaukee Bucks
LWWWWWWWWW
#23
League position
#1
+3.4
Net rating
+12.1
117.7
Offensive rating
118.9
114.3
Defensive rating
106.9
59.6%
Effective FG%
58.1%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
16.1%
Turnover %
11.7%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
42.2%
3-point %
39.1%
61.2%
Assist %
59.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence117.7 · 118.9Defence114.3 · 106.9Shooting59.6% · 58.1%3-point %42.2% · 39.1%Ball care16.1% · 11.7%Off. rebounds25.7% · 23.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23HToronto Raptors109-116 OT
03/03/23HToronto Raptors119-108
01/03/23AAtlanta Hawks119-116
26/02/23AChicago Bulls82-102
25/02/23HNew York Knicks109-115
17/02/23AMinnesota Timberwolves114-106
15/02/23APortland Trail Blazers126-101
14/02/23AGolden State Warriors126-135
12/02/23HIndiana Pacers127-113
09/02/23HCharlotte Hornets118-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/23HPhiladelphia 76ers130-133
02/03/23HOrlando Magic139-117
01/03/23ABrooklyn Nets118-104
26/02/23HPhoenix Suns104-101
25/02/23HMiami Heat128-99
17/02/23AChicago Bulls112-100
15/02/23HBoston Celtics131-125 OT
11/02/23ALos Angeles Clippers119-106
10/02/23ALos Angeles Lakers115-106
07/02/23APortland Trail Blazers127-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL48%
HomeWWLWL52%
AwayLWWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games632934
Win %48%52%44%
Points / game113.2113.1113.2
Allowed / game113.2113.3113.1
Point differential-0.0-0.2+0.1
Avg total226.3226.4226.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%28%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (16)71% (7)44% (9)
Overtime %5%7%3%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayWWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633330
Win %71%82%60%
Points / game115.5119.6111.0
Allowed / game111.5111.6111.5
Point differential+4.0+8.1-0.5
Avg total227.1231.2222.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%45%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)50% (6)83% (6)
Overtime %6%3%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks63451871%115.5111.5+4.0
2 Boston Celtics64451970%117.5112.1+5.4
3 Denver Nuggets64451970%117.1112.6+4.6
4 Philadelphia 76ers63412265%114.5110.7+3.8
5 Memphis Grizzlies62382461%115.6111.6+4.0
6 Cleveland Cavaliers66402661%112.0106.4+5.5
7 Sacramento Kings63372659%121.1118.5+2.5
8 New York Knicks65382758%115.2112.1+3.1
9 Brooklyn Nets64362856%113.5112.9+0.7
10 Phoenix Suns65362955%113.0111.1+2.0
11 Golden State Warriors65343152%118.0117.1+0.8
12 Miami Heat65343152%108.1108.8-0.7
13 Minnesota Timberwolves66343252%115.6115.6+0.0
14 Dallas Mavericks65333251%114.0113.2+0.8
15 Atlanta Hawks64323250%117.0116.9+0.1
16 Los Angeles Clippers66333350%112.4112.7-0.4
17 Toronto Raptors65323349%112.6112.0+0.6
18 New Orleans Pelicans64313348%114.2113.4+0.8
19 Utah Jazz65313448%117.0117.2-0.1
20 Los Angeles Lakers65313448%116.7117.6-0.9
21 Washington Wizards63303348%113.2113.2-0.0
22 Oklahoma City Thunder64303447%118.2116.6+1.6
23 Portland Trail Blazers64303447%115.0115.8-0.8
24 Chicago Bulls65293645%113.0112.7+0.3
25 Indiana Pacers65293645%115.0117.4-2.4
26 Orlando Magic65273842%111.0113.7-2.8
27 Charlotte Hornets66204630%111.8117.9-6.1
28 San Antonio Spurs65164925%112.1122.3-10.3
29 Detroit Pistons64154923%111.4119.1-7.7
30 Houston Rockets64154923%110.2118.2-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards28203231111
Milwaukee Bucks34252434117
← all games of the day
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