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Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 117-113
27-28 31-26 33-32 26-27
Position#29
Record14-61
FormWWLLL
Points / game113.3
Allowed / game123.0
vs
Position#8
Record46-26
FormWWLLW
Points / game120.0
Allowed / game116.6
USANBA· Capital One Arena (Washington)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Milwaukee Bucks
13 Feb 2027
WAS v MIL
upcoming
21 Oct 2026
WAS128
MIL116
29 Jan 2026
WAS109
MIL99
01 Dec 2025
WAS129
MIL126
21 Feb 2025
WAS101
MIL104
02 Apr 2024
WAS117
MIL113
20 Nov 2023
WAS129
MIL142
04 Apr 2023
WAS128
MIL140
05 Mar 2023
WAS111
MIL117
07 Nov 2021
WAS101
MIL94
15 Mar 2021
WAS122
MIL133
13 Mar 2021
WAS119
MIL125
11 Aug 2020
WAS113
MIL126
24 Feb 2020
WAS134
MIL137
02 Feb 2019
WAS115
MIL131
11 Jan 2019
WAS113
MIL106
15 Jan 2018
WAS95
MIL104
06 Jan 2018
WAS103
MIL110
26 Dec 2016
WAS107
MIL102
10 Dec 2016
WAS110
MIL105
13 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIL101
17 Nov 2015
WAS115
MIL86
01 Nov 2014
WAS108
MIL97
12 Apr 2014
WAS104
MIL91
06 Dec 2013
WAS105
MIL109
13 Mar 2013
WAS106
MIL93
09 Nov 2012
WAS91
MIL101
18 Apr 2012
WAS121
MIL112
02 Apr 2012
WAS98
MIL112
08 Mar 2011
WAS76
MIL95
09 Feb 2011
WAS100
MIL85
05 Mar 2010
WAS74
MIL102
02 Dec 2009
WAS104
MIL102
12 Jan 2009
WAS91
MIL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
L
119-135
119
135
-16
107avg 105
A15/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
98-127
98
127
-29
85avg 105
A17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
104-130
104
130
-26
94avg 105
H17/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
114-137
114
137
-23
99avg 105
H19/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
109-102
109
102
+7
103avg 105
H21/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
112-109
112
109
+3
110avg 105
H24/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
107-105
107
105
+2
102avg 105
A26/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
119-122 OT
119
122
-3
112avg 105
H27/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
87-96
87
96
-9
78avg 105
H29/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
107-119
107
119
-12
99avg 105
H31/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-33
25-42
39-35
24-25
19-32
26-35
24-28
29-32
27-45
26-36
25-27
26-22
36-39
21-21
25-41
32-36
35-27
21-27
28-22
25-26
23-25
28-23
26-33
35-28
31-17
22-32
29-33
25-23
33-31
21-30
37-31
21-20
20-23
20-36
35-21
12-16
29-29
30-37
21-29
27-24
225.8Avg total
107.6Scored
118.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)113.3123.0236.2-9.719%
Season at home (37)112.4122.2234.7-9.816%
Season away (38)114.1123.7237.8-9.621%
Last 10 (10)107.6118.2225.8-10.630%
Last 5 (5)106.4110.2216.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)111.6124.2235.8-12.612%
vs Similar (5)105.2105.4210.6-0.260%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
124-117
124
117
+7
118avg 112
A10/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
94-129
94
129
-35
84avg 112
A13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
114-105
114
105
+9
116avg 112
H15/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
140-129
140
129
+11
137avg 112
H17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
119-122
119
122
-3
112avg 112
A20/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
115-108
115
108
+7
107avg 112
H22/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
118-93
118
93
+25
123avg 112
H24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
124-128 OT
124
128
-4
114avg 112
H26/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
100-107
100
107
-7
92avg 112
A29/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
122-113
122
113
+9
121avg 112
A30/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-33
30-29
32-23
33-32
30-38
26-37
22-20
16-34
24-29
29-32
27-22
34-22
39-36
43-24
27-34
31-35
28-33
28-36
27-32
36-21
26-19
34-25
21-25
34-39
25-22
23-25
34-17
36-29
32-16
26-26
30-32
13-27
25-26
20-35
28-24
27-22
33-28
26-17
30-29
33-39
232.1Avg total
117.0Scored
115.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)120.0116.6236.6+3.464%
Season at home (35)122.3115.2237.6+7.180%
Season away (37)117.8117.9235.7-0.149%
Last 10 (10)117.0115.1232.1+1.960%
Last 5 (5)115.8109.8225.6+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)118.5107.5226.0+11.050%
vs Similar (20)113.1114.5227.6-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)115.6105.5221.1+10.162%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -7.9-7.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -7.9-7.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
Washington WizardsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A15/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
45-67
45
67
-22
A17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
53-81
53
81
-28
H17/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H19/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H21/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H24/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A26/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H27/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
40-59
40
59
-19
H29/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H31/03
NBA
114.4Avg total
52.4Scored
62.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.262.9119.1-6.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.359.9115.2-4.631%-
Last 30 away (14)57.266.3123.5-9.129%-
Last 10 (10)52.462.0114.4-9.630%-
Last 5 (5)51.456.6108.0-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)58.064.4122.4-6.428%-
vs Similar (5)47.055.4102.4-8.440%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A10/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
53-61
53
61
-8
H15/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
82-60
82
60
+22
H17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
56-69
56
69
-13
A20/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H22/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H26/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
45-61
45
61
-16
A29/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A30/03
NBA
114.2Avg total
57.6Scored
56.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.855.6114.4+3.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.251.2110.5+8.069%-
Last 30 away (17)58.559.0117.5-0.535%-
Last 10 (10)57.656.6114.2+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)54.047.8101.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)52.058.0110.0-6.050%-
vs Similar (20)58.158.6116.7-0.540%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)62.247.6109.9+14.675%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 107.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.429.2
53.7%
54.4%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.711.9
33.3%
36.3%35.7
🏀 Free throws18.113.5
74.6%
78.2%13.5
They take 90.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 117.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.928.5
57.1%
54.4%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.214.5
38.0%
36.3%43.5
🏀 Free throws21.416.5
77.1%
78.2%16.5
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLLWWWLLLL
Milwaukee Bucks
WLLWWLWWLW
#29
League position
#8
-10.3
Net rating
+1.9
105.0
Offensive rating
116.1
115.4
Defensive rating
114.2
52.2%
Effective FG%
57.0%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
14.5%
Turnover %
12.2%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.3%
3-point %
38.0%
63.0%
Assist %
65.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 116.1Defence115.4 · 114.2Shooting52.2% · 57.0%3-point %33.3% · 38.0%Ball care14.5% · 12.2%Off. rebounds23.1% · 21.5%Free throws0.20 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/24HMiami Heat107-119
29/03/24HDetroit Pistons87-96
27/03/24HBrooklyn Nets119-122 OT
26/03/24AChicago Bulls107-105
24/03/24HToronto Raptors112-109
21/03/24HSacramento Kings109-102
19/03/24HHouston Rockets114-137
17/03/24HBoston Celtics104-130
17/03/24AChicago Bulls98-127
15/03/24AHouston Rockets119-135
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24AAtlanta Hawks122-113
29/03/24ANew Orleans Pelicans100-107
26/03/24HLos Angeles Lakers124-128 OT
24/03/24HOklahoma City Thunder118-93
22/03/24HBrooklyn Nets115-108
20/03/24ABoston Celtics119-122
17/03/24HPhoenix Suns140-129
15/03/24HPhiladelphia 76ers114-105
13/03/24ASacramento Kings94-129
10/03/24ALos Angeles Clippers124-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL19%
HomeWWLLL16%
AwayWLLLW21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753738
Win %19%16%21%
Points / game113.3112.4114.1
Allowed / game123.0122.2123.7
Point differential-9.7-9.8-9.6
Avg total236.2234.7237.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%5%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (17)20% (5)33% (12)
Overtime %3%3%3%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW64%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLLLW49%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723537
Win %64%80%49%
Points / game120.0122.3117.8
Allowed / game116.6115.2117.9
Point differential+3.4+7.1-0.1
Avg total236.6237.6235.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%37%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (18)88% (8)30% (10)
Overtime %6%9%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics74591580%121.0109.3+11.7
2 Oklahoma City Thunder74522270%120.4113.0+7.4
3 Denver Nuggets75522369%114.6109.8+4.8
4 Minnesota Timberwolves74512369%112.9106.2+6.6
5 Milwaukee Bucks72462664%120.0116.6+3.4
6 Los Angeles Clippers74472764%116.3112.7+3.6
7 Dallas Mavericks74452961%118.7116.3+2.4
8 New Orleans Pelicans73442960%115.4110.1+5.3
9 New York Knicks73442960%112.5107.4+5.1
10 Cleveland Cavaliers75453060%112.6109.7+2.8
11 Phoenix Suns74443059%117.0114.2+2.8
12 Sacramento Kings73433059%117.3115.9+1.4
13 Orlando Magic75443159%110.4108.2+2.2
14 Indiana Pacers74413355%122.8120.5+2.3
15 Miami Heat74413355%109.9108.5+1.4
16 Los Angeles Lakers73403355%117.6118.1-0.5
17 Golden State Warriors74403454%118.0115.9+2.1
18 Philadelphia 76ers75403553%114.4112.2+2.2
19 Houston Rockets74383651%114.2112.6+1.6
20 Chicago Bulls76364047%111.9113.6-1.6
21 Atlanta Hawks75354047%119.1120.3-1.2
22 Utah Jazz75294639%116.2120.6-4.4
23 Brooklyn Nets76294738%111.1113.8-2.6
24 Memphis Grizzlies75255033%105.9113.1-7.2
25 Toronto Raptors74235131%112.7118.4-5.7
26 Portland Trail Blazers75195625%107.2116.0-8.9
27 San Antonio Spurs75185724%112.2119.2-7.0
28 Charlotte Hornets75185724%106.3116.9-10.6
29 Washington Wizards75146119%113.3123.0-9.7
30 Detroit Pistons75136217%110.6119.4-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards27313326117
Milwaukee Bucks28263227113
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