PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 14 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record5-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game112.7
Allowed / game111.2
vs
Position#28
Record3-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game122.0
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Milwaukee Bucks
13 Feb 2027
WAS v MIL
upcoming
21 Oct 2026
WAS128
MIL116
29 Jan 2026
WAS109
MIL99
01 Dec 2025
WAS129
MIL126
21 Feb 2025
WAS101
MIL104
20 Jul 2024
WAS91
MIL79
02 Apr 2024
WAS117
MIL113
20 Nov 2023
WAS129
MIL142
04 Apr 2023
WAS128
MIL140
05 Mar 2023
WAS111
MIL117
07 Nov 2021
WAS101
MIL94
15 Aug 2021
WAS93
MIL83
15 Mar 2021
WAS122
MIL133
13 Mar 2021
WAS119
MIL125
11 Aug 2020
WAS113
MIL126
24 Feb 2020
WAS134
MIL137
13 Oct 2019
WAS108
MIL115
02 Feb 2019
WAS115
MIL131
11 Jan 2019
WAS113
MIL106
15 Jan 2018
WAS95
MIL104
06 Jan 2018
WAS103
MIL110
26 Dec 2016
WAS107
MIL102
10 Dec 2016
WAS110
MIL105
13 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIL101
17 Nov 2015
WAS115
MIL86
01 Nov 2014
WAS108
MIL97
12 Apr 2014
WAS104
MIL91
06 Dec 2013
WAS105
MIL109
13 Mar 2013
WAS106
MIL93
09 Nov 2012
WAS91
MIL101
18 Apr 2012
WAS121
MIL112
02 Apr 2012
WAS98
MIL112
08 Mar 2011
WAS76
MIL95
09 Feb 2011
WAS100
MIL85
14 Oct 2010
WAS88
MIL96
05 Mar 2010
WAS74
MIL102
02 Dec 2009
WAS104
MIL102
12 Jan 2009
WAS91
MIL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
117-130
117
130
-13
A12/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#27
W
111-109
111
109
+2
A08/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
114-108 OT
114
108
+6
H10/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
L
122-131
122
131
-9
H12/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
106-107
106
107
-1
A17/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
W
128-116
128
116
+12
H21/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
124-120
124
120
+4
A25/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
103-110
103
110
-7
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#15
L
111-121
111
121
-10
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
95-79
95
79
+16
H30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-43
34-22
40-34
22-31
30-29
27-34
24-21
30-25
40-20
16-30
24-28
18-20
32-36
40-37
22-30
28-28
17-23
34-33
19-25
36-26
25-23
26-33
39-37
38-23
28-27
29-35
40-20
27-38
21-19
23-35
24-26
35-30
42-34
27-25
23-33
19-29
22-26
29-20
28-13
16-20
226.2Avg total
113.1Scored
113.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)112.7111.2223.9+1.456%
Season at home (4)114.8108.5223.2+6.275%
Season away (5)111.0113.4224.4-2.440%
Last 10 (10)113.1113.1226.2+0.050%
Last 5 (5)112.2109.2221.4+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)114.1131.0245.1-16.95%
vs Similar (6)116.5118.7235.2-2.217%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)112.2106.8219.0+5.480%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
97-116
97
116
-19
H06/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#16
W
128-126
128
126
+2
A08/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
90-105
90
105
-15
A11/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
104-125
104
125
-21
H15/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#25
W
128-127 OT
128
127
+1
A16/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#11
L
116-128
116
128
-12
A21/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
125-132
125
132
-7
H23/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#9
L
116-127
116
127
-11
A24/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#25
W
110-102
110
102
+8
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
100-132
100
132
-32
H29/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
28-29
28-21
21-35
35-44
29-38
33-20
31-24
26-29
19-31
22-27
23-18
15-24
24-38
39-40
26-23
21-29
35-42
34-22
27-24
23-25
33-26
37-39
23-38
32-17
30-44
42-41
21-30
25-34
35-30
27-33
29-30
31-29
19-32
34-24
26-17
21-23
14-34
34-38
31-37
233.4Avg total
111.4Scored
122.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)111.4122.0233.4-10.630%
Season at home (5)107.2121.4228.6-14.220%
Season away (5)115.6122.6238.2-7.040%
Last 10 (10)111.4122.0233.4-10.630%
Last 5 (5)113.4124.2237.6-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)108.3124.5232.8-16.217%
vs Similar (5)114.8114.0228.8+0.860%
vs Weaker (2)107.5102.0209.5+5.550%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -7.8-7.8Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
Washington WizardsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A12/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#27
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A08/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H10/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H12/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A17/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H21/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A25/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#15
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H30/10
NBA
114.7Avg total
56.3Scored
58.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.462.8118.2-7.413%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.462.4117.8-7.015%-
Last 30 away (17)55.563.1118.6-7.612%-
Last 10 (10)56.358.4114.7-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)54.455.4109.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)54.565.5120.0-10.95%-
vs Similar (6)61.259.8121.0+1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)52.056.2108.2-4.220%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H06/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#16
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A08/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A11/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
39-62
39
62
-23
H15/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#25
L
56-71
56
71
-15
A16/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#11
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A21/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H23/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#9
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A24/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#25
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
35-57
35
57
-22
H29/10
NBA
114.4Avg total
51.5Scored
62.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.361.8115.1-8.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.260.8115.0-6.640%-
Last 30 away (15)52.562.7115.2-10.320%-
Last 10 (10)51.562.9114.4-11.420%-
Last 5 (5)52.658.8111.4-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)52.763.2116.0-10.526%-
vs Similar (5)55.659.2114.8-3.640%-
vs Weaker (2)54.551.5106.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 115.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.728.6
54.3%
54.0%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.111.9
34.9%
34.9%35.7
🏀 Free throws28.222.1
78.4%
76.4%22.1
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.525.6
52.8%
54.0%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.414.3
32.2%
34.9%42.9
🏀 Free throws25.517.9
70.2%
76.4%17.9
They take 92.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
WLLWWLLWWL
Milwaukee Bucks
LWLLLWLLWL
#11
League position
#28
-3.5
Net rating
-8.1
101.2
Offensive rating
96.0
104.8
Defensive rating
104.0
53.5%
Effective FG%
50.6%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
15.5%
Turnover %
15.2%
17.8%
Off. rebound %
13.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.9%
3-point %
32.2%
62.7%
Assist %
63.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 96.0Defence104.8 · 104.0Shooting53.5% · 50.6%3-point %34.9% · 32.2%Ball care15.5% · 15.2%Off. rebounds17.8% · 13.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HCharlotte Hornets95-79
28/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers111-121
26/10/26ACharlotte Hornets103-110
25/10/26AChicago Bulls124-120
21/10/26HMilwaukee Bucks128-116
17/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans106-107
12/10/26HBrooklyn Nets122-131
10/10/26HDetroit Pistons114-108 OT
08/10/26ANew York Knicks111-109
12/04/26ACleveland Cavaliers117-130
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HHouston Rockets100-132
27/10/26HIndiana Pacers110-102
24/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers116-127
23/10/26HChicago Bulls125-132
21/10/26AWashington Wizards116-128
16/10/26AIndiana Pacers128-127 OT
15/10/26HChicago Bulls104-125
11/10/26ACharlotte Hornets90-105
08/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder128-126
06/10/26HMinnesota Timberwolves97-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game112.7114.8111.0
Allowed / game111.2108.5113.4
Point differential+1.4+6.2-2.4
Avg total223.9223.2224.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %11%25%0%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL30%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%20%40%
Points / game111.4107.2115.6
Allowed / game122.0121.4122.6
Point differential-10.6-14.2-7.0
Avg total233.4228.6238.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
2 Boston Celtics87188%125.5110.9+14.6
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Orlando Magic85362%118.9118.1+0.8
7 Atlanta Hawks106460%120.0119.2+0.8
8 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
9 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Washington Wizards95456%112.7111.2+1.4
12 Minnesota Timberwolves116555%119.2114.2+5.0
13 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
16 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
17 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
18 Toronto Raptors94544%120.4112.6+7.9
19 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
20 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
21 Dallas Mavericks94544%113.6116.9-3.3
22 Charlotte Hornets94544%98.8105.8-7.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Indiana Pacers93633%119.3119.0+0.3
26 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
27 New York Knicks103730%106.9116.0-9.1
28 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.