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Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 119-125
33-36 32-28 30-30 24-31
Position#18
Record15-24
FormLLWLL
Points / game113.2
Allowed / game118.4
Washington Wizards
USA
vs
Milwaukee Bucks 🏆
USA
Position#5
Record23-17
FormWWLWW
Points / game118.5
Allowed / game113.0
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Milwaukee Bucks
13 Feb 2027
WAS v MIL
upcoming
21 Oct 2026
WAS128
MIL116
29 Jan 2026
WAS109
MIL99
01 Dec 2025
WAS129
MIL126
21 Feb 2025
WAS101
MIL104
02 Apr 2024
WAS117
MIL113
20 Nov 2023
WAS129
MIL142
04 Apr 2023
WAS128
MIL140
05 Mar 2023
WAS111
MIL117
07 Nov 2021
WAS101
MIL94
15 Mar 2021
WAS122
MIL133
13 Mar 2021
WAS119
MIL125
11 Aug 2020
WAS113
MIL126
24 Feb 2020
WAS134
MIL137
02 Feb 2019
WAS115
MIL131
11 Jan 2019
WAS113
MIL106
15 Jan 2018
WAS95
MIL104
06 Jan 2018
WAS103
MIL110
26 Dec 2016
WAS107
MIL102
10 Dec 2016
WAS110
MIL105
13 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIL101
17 Nov 2015
WAS115
MIL86
01 Nov 2014
WAS108
MIL97
12 Apr 2014
WAS104
MIL91
06 Dec 2013
WAS105
MIL109
13 Mar 2013
WAS106
MIL93
09 Nov 2012
WAS91
MIL101
18 Apr 2012
WAS121
MIL112
02 Apr 2012
WAS98
MIL112
08 Mar 2011
WAS76
MIL95
09 Feb 2011
WAS100
MIL85
05 Mar 2010
WAS74
MIL102
02 Dec 2009
WAS104
MIL102
12 Jan 2009
WAS91
MIL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
118-111
118
111
+7
114avg 100
A21/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
127-124 OT
127
124
+3
117avg 100
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
116-135
116
135
-19
112avg 100
A24/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
112-110
112
110
+2
105avg 100
A26/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
128-112
128
112
+16
122avg 100
H28/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
110-111
110
111
-1
94avg 100
A01/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
111-125
111
125
-14
107avg 100
H03/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
119-117
119
117
+2
103avg 100
H05/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
112-127
112
127
-15
96avg 100
A11/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
101-127
101
127
-26
85avg 100
H13/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-43
30-12
28-37
29-19
23-33
26-30
31-23
35-29
20-36
35-36
39-27
22-36
26-22
30-32
32-34
24-22
27-29
27-23
44-29
30-31
28-33
27-27
21-19
34-32
33-35
23-36
22-25
33-29
25-22
29-39
33-26
32-30
26-35
36-32
23-27
27-33
15-32
38-31
23-31
25-33
235.3Avg total
115.4Scored
119.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)113.2118.4231.6-5.238%
Season at home (20)115.3119.2234.6-3.940%
Season away (19)110.9117.5228.4-6.637%
Last 10 (10)115.4119.9235.3-4.550%
Last 5 (5)110.6121.4232.0-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)121.1124.2245.3-3.164%
vs Similar (17)109.2117.2226.5-8.029%
vs Weaker (2)109.5113.0222.5-3.550%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
113-124
113
124
-11
106avg 111
H17/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
96-110
96
110
-14
88avg 111
H19/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
98-85
98
85
+13
95avg 111
H20/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
128-115
128
115
+13
123avg 111
H22/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
139-112
139
112
+27
138avg 111
H24/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
129-125
129
125
+4
117avg 111
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
105-100
105
100
+5
97avg 111
H28/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
97-128
97
128
-31
86avg 111
H03/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
112-111
112
111
+1
101avg 111
A05/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
134-101
134
101
+33
134avg 111
H12/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-33
31-31
27-30
22-30
26-33
15-25
31-27
24-25
16-20
30-22
32-20
20-23
28-25
42-31
29-26
29-33
38-36
41-26
34-27
26-23
35-31
34-37
34-35
26-22
27-23
26-25
24-33
28-19
23-37
27-27
30-35
17-29
31-17
30-34
23-33
28-27
32-27
36-24
29-27
37-23
226.2Avg total
115.1Scored
111.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)118.5113.0231.4+5.557%
Season at home (22)118.2110.9229.1+7.468%
Season away (18)118.7115.6234.3+3.244%
Last 10 (10)115.1111.1226.2+4.070%
Last 5 (5)115.4113.0228.4+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)117.1117.1234.2+0.045%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)118.5109.8228.3+8.774%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
Washington WizardsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A21/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
49-63
49
63
-14
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A24/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A26/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H28/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A01/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
56-71
56
71
-15
H03/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H05/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A11/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H13/03
NBA
117.3Avg total
55.5Scored
61.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.962.8119.8-5.927%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.662.4122.0-2.936%-
Last 30 away (16)54.663.2117.8-8.619%-
Last 10 (10)55.561.8117.3-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)56.064.4120.4-8.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)59.063.3122.3-4.327%-
vs Similar (17)55.062.6117.6-7.624%-
vs Weaker (2)62.062.5124.5-0.550%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#24
D
64-64
64
64
+0
H17/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H19/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H20/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
70-56
70
56
+14
H22/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H24/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H28/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
50-64
50
64
-14
H03/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
61-51
61
51
+10
A05/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
68-51
68
51
+17
H12/03
NBA
116.5Avg total
60.1Scored
56.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.156.4116.6+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)61.955.0116.9+6.971%-
Last 30 away (13)57.858.3116.2-0.546%-
Last 10 (10)60.156.4116.5+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)60.256.4116.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)58.657.5116.1+1.245%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)61.055.8116.8+5.268%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 115.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.132.6
53.4%
52.8%65.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.5
34.4%
36.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws28.221.7
77.0%
77.7%21.7
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 115.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.229.1
54.7%
52.8%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.613.0
36.5%
36.6%39.0
🏀 Free throws23.517.9
76.2%
77.7%17.9
They take 88.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLWLLWWLWW
Milwaukee Bucks
WWLWWWWWLL
#18
League position
#5
-4.2
Net rating
+3.9
107.4
Offensive rating
112.5
111.5
Defensive rating
108.6
52.8%
Effective FG%
54.7%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
13.5%
Turnover %
12.7%
18.3%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.4%
3-point %
36.5%
56.5%
Assist %
57.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 112.5Defence111.5 · 108.6Shooting52.8% · 54.7%3-point %34.4% · 36.5%Ball care13.5% · 12.7%Off. rebounds18.3% · 22.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Washington Wizards wins
7
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateGameScore
12/08/20Washington Wizards v Milwaukee Bucks113-126
25/02/20Washington Wizards v Milwaukee Bucks134-137 OT
29/01/20Milwaukee Bucks v Washington Wizards151-131
07/02/19Milwaukee Bucks v Washington Wizards148-129
03/02/19Washington Wizards v Milwaukee Bucks115-131
12/01/19Washington Wizards v Milwaukee Bucks113-106
28/02/18Milwaukee Bucks v Washington Wizards104-107
15/01/18Washington Wizards v Milwaukee Bucks95-104
07/01/18Washington Wizards v Milwaukee Bucks103-110
21/11/17Milwaukee Bucks v Washington Wizards88-99
Washington Wizardslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/21HPhiladelphia 76ers101-127
11/03/21AMemphis Grizzlies112-127
05/03/21HLos Angeles Clippers119-117
03/03/21HMemphis Grizzlies111-125
01/03/21ABoston Celtics110-111
28/02/21HMinnesota Timberwolves128-112
26/02/21ADenver Nuggets112-110
24/02/21ALos Angeles Clippers116-135
23/02/21ALos Angeles Lakers127-124 OT
21/02/21APortland Trail Blazers118-111
Milwaukee Buckslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/21HNew York Knicks134-101
05/03/21AMemphis Grizzlies112-111
03/03/21HDenver Nuggets97-128
28/02/21HLos Angeles Clippers105-100
26/02/21HNew Orleans Pelicans129-125
24/02/21HMinnesota Timberwolves139-112
22/02/21HSacramento Kings128-115
20/02/21HOklahoma City Thunder98-85
19/02/21HToronto Raptors96-110
17/02/21HToronto Raptors113-124

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWWLWL40%
AwayWLWLL37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %38%40%37%
Points / game113.2115.3110.9
Allowed / game118.4119.2117.5
Point differential-5.2-3.9-6.6
Avg total231.6234.6228.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%20%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)67% (6)62% (8)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW57%
HomeWWWLW68%
AwayWLLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402218
Win %57%68%44%
Points / game118.5118.2118.7
Allowed / game113.0110.9115.6
Point differential+5.5+7.4+3.2
Avg total231.4229.1234.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%55%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)100% (3)17% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz4031978%116.7107.0+9.6
2 Philadelphia 76ers40281270%115.1110.3+4.7
3 Los Angeles Lakers42291369%111.2105.7+5.5
4 Brooklyn Nets40271368%120.8115.2+5.7
5 Phoenix Suns40251562%113.0108.1+4.8
6 Denver Nuggets40241660%115.8109.5+6.3
7 Los Angeles Clippers42251760%114.0109.7+4.3
8 Milwaukee Bucks40231757%118.5113.0+5.5
9 Portland Trail Blazers40221855%113.8115.7-1.9
10 Dallas Mavericks39211854%112.6112.4+0.2
11 New York Knicks43232053%104.7103.6+1.1
12 Memphis Grizzlies38201853%112.5110.3+2.2
13 Miami Heat40211952%106.7107.8-1.2
14 San Antonio Spurs37191851%110.0110.9-0.9
15 Golden State Warriors41212051%113.0113.0+0.0
16 Boston Celtics39192049%110.7111.1-0.3
17 Toronto Raptors40192148%112.9111.6+1.3
18 Charlotte Hornets40192148%112.5113.0-0.6
19 Chicago Bulls40192148%113.5114.2-0.6
20 Atlanta Hawks41192246%112.8112.8+0.0
21 New Orleans Pelicans40182245%115.5114.8+0.6
22 Sacramento Kings41172441%114.6119.4-4.9
23 Oklahoma City Thunder41172441%106.1111.6-5.4
24 Indiana Pacers39162341%111.9112.3-0.4
25 Cleveland Cavaliers41162539%103.6111.7-8.1
26 Washington Wizards39152438%113.2118.4-5.2
27 Orlando Magic42152736%105.7112.4-6.7
28 Houston Rockets40142635%107.9112.2-4.2
29 Detroit Pistons41122929%106.5109.7-3.3
30 Minnesota Timberwolves4093122%109.0116.8-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards33323024119
Milwaukee Bucks36283031125
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