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Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 119-113
27-20 27-24 31-34 34-35
Position#7
Record50-29
FormLLWWW
Points / game115.2
Allowed / game110.4
vs
Position#21
Record33-46
FormLLLLW
Points / game110.8
Allowed / game116.3
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Milwaukee Bucks
16 Dec 2026
HOU v MIL
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
HOU119
MIL113
25 Feb 2025
HOU100
MIL97
06 Jan 2024
HOU112
MIL108
11 Dec 2022
HOU97
MIL92
10 Dec 2021
HOU114
MIL123
29 Apr 2021
HOU143
MIL136
02 Aug 2020
HOU120
MIL116
24 Oct 2019
HOU111
MIL117
09 Jan 2019
HOU109
MIL116
16 Dec 2017
HOU115
MIL111
18 Jan 2017
HOU111
MIL92
15 Jul 2016
HOU92
MIL89
22 Jan 2016
HOU102
MIL98
15 Jul 2015
HOU93
MIL97
06 Feb 2015
HOU117
MIL111
18 Jan 2014
HOU114
MIL104
27 Feb 2013
HOU107
MIL110
25 Jan 2012
HOU99
MIL105
17 Jan 2011
HOU93
MIL84
18 Jan 2010
HOU101
MIL98
12 Oct 2009
HOU92
MIL96
31 Dec 2008
HOU85
MIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Houston Rockets
5.4out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 113.5
119.2▲ 5.7
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 110.0
109.4▼ 0.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
58%▲ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 24.7
30.2▲ 5.5
🔥 Form · Milwaukee Bucks
4.3out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 110.7
105.2▼ 5.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 115.2
122.4▲ 7.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 59%
57%▼ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 25.5
24.8▼ 0.7
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
107-105
107
105
+2
H14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
92-100
92
100
-8
H17/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
116-124
116
124
-8
H19/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
117-95
117
95
+22
H21/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
123-122
123
122
+1
H22/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
124-132
124
132
-8
A24/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
108-110 OT
108
110
-2
A26/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
119-109
119
109
+10
A28/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
134-102
134
102
+32
A29/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
111-94
111
94
+17
H01/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
29-25
23-23
27-33
28-29
29-22
23-32
12-17
26-35
29-32
37-22
24-35
35-27
27-27
39-22
16-19
32-29
32-34
23-33
36-26
21-41
27-24
39-30
37-37
19-23
24-21
25-26
27-25
32-30
24-19
31-33
32-27
29-29
39-18
33-33
33-22
37-21
26-29
29-22
19-22
224.4Avg total
115.1Scored
109.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (79)115.2110.4225.7+4.863%
Season at home (38)114.0107.4221.4+6.674%
Season away (41)116.3113.3229.6+3.154%
Last 10 (10)115.1109.3224.4+5.860%
Last 5 (5)119.2109.4228.6+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)112.0106.0218.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (14)106.6111.0217.6-4.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)115.8107.2223.0+8.673%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
99-122
99
122
-23
A14/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
134-123
134
123
+11
H15/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
116-123
116
123
-7
H18/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
96-128
96
128
-32
A20/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
108-105
108
105
+3
A22/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
96-129
96
129
-33
A24/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
99-130
99
130
-31
A26/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
95-127
95
127
-32
H28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
113-127
113
127
-14
H29/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#23
W
123-99
123
99
+24
H01/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-31
22-29
26-35
21-27
26-34
36-31
40-31
32-27
24-37
34-20
29-28
29-38
19-30
25-34
29-30
23-34
15-26
42-26
24-30
27-23
24-28
23-43
20-37
29-21
27-42
22-29
32-33
18-26
24-37
21-30
34-35
16-25
25-29
21-28
28-39
39-31
38-31
27-20
25-19
33-29
229.2Avg total
107.9Scored
121.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (79)110.8116.3227.1-5.542%
Season at home (40)113.8118.0231.8-4.145%
Season away (39)107.7114.6222.3-6.938%
Last 10 (10)107.9121.3229.2-13.430%
Last 5 (5)105.2122.4227.6-17.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)103.6119.0222.6-15.525%
vs Similar (9)119.9115.3235.2+4.678%
vs Weaker (1)99.0109.0208.0-10.00%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
Houston RocketsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H17/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
55-67
55
67
-12
H19/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H21/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H22/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A24/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A26/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A28/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
68-47
68
47
+21
A29/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H01/04
NBA
111.2Avg total
57.3Scored
53.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.252.8107.9+2.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.652.9110.5+4.869%-
Last 30 away (14)52.452.6105.0-0.357%-
Last 10 (10)57.353.9111.2+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)55.651.0106.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.052.098.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (14)52.353.2105.5-0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)58.552.4110.9+6.180%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A14/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H15/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H18/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
44-64
44
64
-20
A20/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A22/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
47-71
47
71
-24
A24/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
49-71
49
71
-22
A26/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
45-67
45
67
-22
H28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H29/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#23
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H01/04
NBA
114.0Avg total
52.5Scored
61.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.159.4115.5-3.347%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.160.0118.1-1.947%-
Last 30 away (13)53.558.7112.2-5.246%-
Last 10 (10)52.561.5114.0-9.030%-
Last 5 (5)50.463.4113.8-13.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)54.460.9115.2-6.540%-
vs Similar (9)61.456.6118.0+4.967%-
vs Weaker (1)43.057.0100.0-14.00%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 115.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.830.7
56.0%
54.8%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.612.5
36.1%
35.8%37.5
🏀 Free throws21.016.2
77.1%
78.1%16.2
They take 89.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 108.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.323.6
55.8%
54.8%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.116.4
39.0%
35.8%49.2
🏀 Free throws17.012.4
72.9%
78.1%12.4
They take 84.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WWWLLWWLLW
Milwaukee Bucks
WLLLLWLLWL
#7
League position
#21
+5.9
Net rating
-10.7
116.8
Offensive rating
107.1
110.9
Defensive rating
117.8
55.3%
Effective FG%
57.1%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.8%
14.4%
Turnover %
16.1%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.20
36.1%
3-point %
39.0%
66.9%
Assist %
62.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.8 · 107.1Defence110.9 · 117.8Shooting55.3% · 57.1%3-point %36.1% · 39.0%Ball care14.4% · 16.1%Off. rebounds33.0% · 23.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Houston Rockets wins
6
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/26HNew York Knicks111-94
29/03/26ANew Orleans Pelicans134-102
28/03/26AMemphis Grizzlies119-109
26/03/26AMinnesota Timberwolves108-110 OT
24/03/26AChicago Bulls124-132
22/03/26HMiami Heat123-122
21/03/26HAtlanta Hawks117-95
19/03/26HLos Angeles Lakers116-124
17/03/26HLos Angeles Lakers92-100
14/03/26HNew Orleans Pelicans107-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/26HDallas Mavericks123-99
29/03/26HLos Angeles Clippers113-127
28/03/26HSan Antonio Spurs95-127
26/03/26APortland Trail Blazers99-130
24/03/26ALos Angeles Clippers96-129
22/03/26APhoenix Suns108-105
20/03/26AUtah Jazz96-128
18/03/26HCleveland Cavaliers116-123
15/03/26HIndiana Pacers134-123
14/03/26AAtlanta Hawks99-122

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW63%
HomeLLWWW74%
AwayLLLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games793841
Win %63%74%54%
Points / game115.2114.0116.3
Allowed / game110.4107.4113.3
Point differential+4.8+6.6+3.1
Avg total225.7221.4229.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%32%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (25)67% (12)46% (13)
Overtime %10%5%15%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW42%
HomeWLLLW45%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games794039
Win %42%45%38%
Points / game110.8113.8107.7
Allowed / game116.3118.0114.6
Point differential-5.5-4.1-6.9
Avg total227.1231.8222.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%30%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (18)50% (8)50% (10)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder80631779%117.8107.9+9.9
2 San Antonio Spurs77591877%119.8111.3+8.5
3 Detroit Pistons80572371%117.4109.7+7.7
4 Boston Celtics80542668%114.6107.1+7.5
5 New York Knicks79502963%115.6110.0+5.6
6 Houston Rockets79502963%115.2110.4+4.8
7 Denver Nuggets81513063%120.5116.0+4.5
8 Los Angeles Lakers81513063%115.8114.4+1.4
9 Cleveland Cavaliers80483260%119.0115.5+3.6
10 Minnesota Timberwolves80473359%117.9114.5+3.4
11 Toronto Raptors80463457%114.5112.1+2.4
12 Phoenix Suns79453457%113.3110.5+2.8
13 Atlanta Hawks81463557%118.3116.3+1.9
14 Orlando Magic78433555%115.6114.9+0.7
15 Philadelphia 76ers80433754%115.9116.5-0.6
16 Los Angeles Clippers79413852%113.5112.0+1.5
17 Charlotte Hornets81423952%116.4112.0+4.4
18 Portland Trail Blazers81404149%115.6116.5-0.8
19 Miami Heat82404249%119.8118.4+1.5
20 Golden State Warriors80394149%114.9114.8+0.1
21 Milwaukee Bucks79334642%110.8116.3-5.5
22 Chicago Bulls80324840%116.6121.0-4.4
23 Dallas Mavericks80275334%113.4118.2-4.7
24 Memphis Grizzlies80265432%115.2119.9-4.7
25 New Orleans Pelicans78255332%115.4119.8-4.4
26 Utah Jazz80225828%117.6125.6-8.0
27 Sacramento Kings80206025%110.8121.1-10.2
28 Indiana Pacers79196024%112.4120.7-8.3
29 Brooklyn Nets79196024%106.5115.6-9.2
30 Washington Wizards79186123%112.6123.8-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets27273134119
Milwaukee Bucks20243435113
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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