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Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 128-140
29-32 33-43 35-39 31-26
Position#23
Record34-44
FormWLWLL
Points / game113.0
Allowed / game113.9
vs
Position#1
Record56-22
FormLWWLW
Points / game117.0
Allowed / game113.0
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Milwaukee Bucks
13 Feb 2027
WAS v MIL
upcoming
21 Oct 2026
WAS128
MIL116
29 Jan 2026
WAS109
MIL99
01 Dec 2025
WAS129
MIL126
21 Feb 2025
WAS101
MIL104
02 Apr 2024
WAS117
MIL113
20 Nov 2023
WAS129
MIL142
04 Apr 2023
WAS128
MIL140
05 Mar 2023
WAS111
MIL117
07 Nov 2021
WAS101
MIL94
15 Mar 2021
WAS122
MIL133
13 Mar 2021
WAS119
MIL125
11 Aug 2020
WAS113
MIL126
24 Feb 2020
WAS134
MIL137
02 Feb 2019
WAS115
MIL131
11 Jan 2019
WAS113
MIL106
15 Jan 2018
WAS95
MIL104
06 Jan 2018
WAS103
MIL110
26 Dec 2016
WAS107
MIL102
10 Dec 2016
WAS110
MIL105
13 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIL101
17 Nov 2015
WAS115
MIL86
01 Nov 2014
WAS108
MIL97
12 Apr 2014
WAS104
MIL91
06 Dec 2013
WAS105
MIL109
13 Mar 2013
WAS106
MIL93
09 Nov 2012
WAS91
MIL101
18 Apr 2012
WAS121
MIL112
02 Apr 2012
WAS98
MIL112
08 Mar 2011
WAS76
MIL95
09 Feb 2011
WAS100
MIL85
05 Mar 2010
WAS74
MIL102
02 Dec 2009
WAS104
MIL102
12 Jan 2009
WAS91
MIL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
117-97
117
97
+20
116avg 106
H14/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
94-117
94
117
-23
88avg 106
A17/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
118-132
118
132
-14
111avg 106
H19/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
112-122
112
122
-10
106avg 106
A21/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
104-118
104
118
-14
92avg 106
H22/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
136-124
136
124
+12
136avg 106
H24/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
104-114
104
114
-10
96avg 106
A26/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
130-111
130
111
+19
125avg 106
H28/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
109-116
109
116
-7
93avg 106
H31/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
109-118
109
118
-9
105avg 106
A02/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-20
23-25
33-27
23-25
24-31
20-30
30-23
20-33
33-37
27-34
32-33
26-28
25-26
31-34
32-27
24-35
29-31
28-24
16-39
31-24
33-26
33-36
33-36
37-26
21-37
25-26
38-24
20-27
29-23
35-28
35-27
31-33
32-24
31-36
33-25
13-31
31-34
30-19
18-33
30-32
230.2Avg total
113.3Scored
116.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)113.0113.9226.8-0.944%
Season at home (38)114.0114.1228.2-0.147%
Season away (40)112.0113.6225.6-1.740%
Last 10 (10)113.3116.9230.2-3.630%
Last 5 (5)117.6116.6234.2+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)103.8114.8218.7-11.017%
vs Similar (19)113.8115.9229.7-2.132%
vs Weaker (5)123.4109.6233.0+13.8100%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
116-104
116
104
+12
107avg 108
A15/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
123-139
123
139
-16
116avg 108
H17/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
118-111
118
111
+7
123avg 108
H20/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
130-94
130
94
+36
121avg 108
H23/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
144-116
144
116
+28
150avg 108
A25/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
106-129
106
129
-23
97avg 108
A26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
126-117
126
117
+9
120avg 108
A27/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
149-136
149
136
+13
150avg 108
A29/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
99-140
99
140
-41
80avg 108
H30/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
117-104
117
104
+13
118avg 108
H03/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
28-24
28-36
31-20
40-30
24-25
37-49
22-35
33-29
25-27
31-39
29-16
33-28
33-23
34-21
30-22
40-25
32-33
43-27
29-31
38-37
28-26
19-34
21-32
31-27
26-24
37-39
32-27
34-30
39-39
46-38
30-29
26-34
21-41
27-39
25-26
41-26
28-27
27-29
21-22
241.8Avg total
122.8Scored
119.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)117.0113.0230.0+4.072%
Season at home (39)119.3112.4231.7+6.979%
Season away (39)114.7113.6228.3+1.164%
Last 10 (10)122.8119.0241.8+3.870%
Last 5 (5)119.4125.2244.6-5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)118.1113.4231.5+4.779%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)132.2118.8251.0+13.491%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +1.0+1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +1.0+1.0
Washington WizardsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
61-45
61
45
+16
H14/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
44-61
44
61
-17
A17/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
60-71
60
71
-11
H19/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
56-60
56
60
-4
A21/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H22/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H24/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
46-63
46
63
-17
A26/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H28/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H31/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
61-53
61
53
+8
A02/04
NBA
115.9Avg total
57.8Scored
58.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.057.0115.0+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.157.2117.3+2.962%-
Last 30 away (14)55.656.8112.4-1.236%-
Last 10 (10)57.858.1115.9-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)60.057.8117.8+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)51.557.8109.3-6.333%-
vs Similar (19)59.356.9116.3+2.453%-
vs Weaker (5)60.856.2117.0+4.660%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A15/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H17/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H20/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
66-51
66
51
+15
H23/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
72-58
72
58
+14
A25/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A27/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A29/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
47-75
47
75
-28
H30/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
69-53
69
53
+16
H03/04
NBA
120.8Avg total
62.9Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.556.0117.5+5.573%-
Last 30 at home (15)62.056.5118.5+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)61.155.5116.6+5.573%-
Last 10 (10)62.957.9120.8+5.090%-
Last 5 (5)62.462.2124.6+0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)58.055.5113.5+2.563%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)67.656.9124.5+10.791%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 113.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.731.0
57.7%
54.5%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.911.9
35.1%
35.8%35.7
🏀 Free throws19.715.6
79.2%
78.1%15.6
They take 87.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 122.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.432.9
62.8%
54.5%65.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.613.3
34.5%
35.8%39.9
🏀 Free throws23.517.1
72.8%
78.1%17.1
They take 91.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLWLWLLLLW
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWWLWWWLW
#23
League position
#1
-3.6
Net rating
+3.7
114.2
Offensive rating
118.3
117.8
Defensive rating
114.7
55.8%
Effective FG%
58.1%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
12.1%
Turnover %
11.7%
20.7%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.1%
3-point %
34.5%
60.6%
Assist %
61.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 118.3Defence117.8 · 114.7Shooting55.8% · 58.1%3-point %35.1% · 34.5%Ball care12.1% · 11.7%Off. rebounds20.7% · 24.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/23ANew York Knicks109-118
31/03/23HOrlando Magic109-116
28/03/23HBoston Celtics130-111
26/03/23AToronto Raptors104-114
24/03/23HSan Antonio Spurs136-124
22/03/23HDenver Nuggets104-118
21/03/23AOrlando Magic112-122
19/03/23HSacramento Kings118-132
17/03/23ACleveland Cavaliers94-117
14/03/23HDetroit Pistons117-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/23HPhiladelphia 76ers117-104
30/03/23HBoston Celtics99-140
29/03/23AIndiana Pacers149-136
27/03/23ADetroit Pistons126-117
26/03/23ADenver Nuggets106-129
25/03/23AUtah Jazz144-116
23/03/23HSan Antonio Spurs130-94
20/03/23HToronto Raptors118-111
17/03/23HIndiana Pacers123-139
15/03/23APhoenix Suns116-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL44%
HomeLLWWL47%
AwayLLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games783840
Win %44%47%40%
Points / game113.0114.0112.0
Allowed / game113.9114.1113.6
Point differential-0.9-0.1-1.6
Avg total226.8228.2225.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%29%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (18)62% (8)50% (10)
Overtime %4%5%2%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW72%
HomeLWWLW79%
AwayWWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games783939
Win %72%79%64%
Points / game117.0119.3114.7
Allowed / game113.0112.4113.6
Point differential+4.0+6.9+1.1
Avg total230.0231.7228.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%44%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)57% (7)83% (6)
Overtime %6%3%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks78562272%117.0113.0+4.0
2 Boston Celtics78542469%118.4111.8+6.5
3 Denver Nuggets78522667%116.1112.4+3.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers78512765%115.1110.6+4.4
5 Memphis Grizzlies78492963%116.7112.7+4.0
6 Cleveland Cavaliers79493062%112.3107.0+5.4
7 Sacramento Kings78473160%121.4118.3+3.1
8 New York Knicks79463358%115.6112.5+3.1
9 Phoenix Suns78433555%113.6111.5+2.1
10 Brooklyn Nets78433555%113.6112.7+0.9
11 Miami Heat78413753%109.0109.9-0.9
12 Golden State Warriors79413852%118.2117.5+0.7
13 Los Angeles Clippers79413852%113.1112.9+0.2
14 New Orleans Pelicans78403851%114.3112.2+2.1
15 Los Angeles Lakers78403851%116.7116.4+0.3
16 Toronto Raptors78393950%113.1111.7+1.4
17 Atlanta Hawks78393950%118.1118.1-0.0
18 Minnesota Timberwolves79394049%115.5115.9-0.4
19 Chicago Bulls78384049%113.6112.2+1.4
20 Oklahoma City Thunder79384148%117.5116.6+0.9
21 Dallas Mavericks79374247%114.1113.8+0.3
22 Utah Jazz78364246%117.1117.8-0.7
23 Washington Wizards78344444%113.0113.9-0.9
24 Orlando Magic78344444%112.0113.9-1.9
25 Indiana Pacers79344543%115.8119.0-3.2
26 Portland Trail Blazers78334542%113.3116.5-3.2
27 Charlotte Hornets79265333%111.2117.5-6.3
28 San Antonio Spurs78205826%112.5122.8-10.3
29 Houston Rockets79196024%110.5119.0-8.5
30 Detroit Pistons78166221%110.6118.7-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards29333531128
Milwaukee Bucks32433926140
← all games of the day
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