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Western Carolina vs Citadel Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 87-49
52-25 35-24
Position#221
Record8-15
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#302
Record10-15
FormLWWLW
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game74.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Western Carolina v Citadel
05 Dec 2026
WEST v CITA
upcoming
11 Feb 2026
WEST87
CITA49
15 Feb 2025
WEST76
CITA73
07 Feb 2024
WEST71
CITA64
25 Jan 2023
WEST70
CITA81
05 Jan 2022
WEST94
CITA90
01 Feb 2021
WEST76
CITA75
22 Feb 2020
WEST96
CITA84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#149
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A08/01
NCAA
Citadel
#302
L
77-79 OT
77
79
-2
A10/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H14/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
82-90
82
90
-8
H17/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A22/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
88-58
88
58
+30
H24/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
90-88
90
88
+2
A30/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
74-88
74
88
-14
H01/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A04/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-34
39-48
40-33
31-38
36-35
36-33
42-37
40-53
24-41
52-47
39-33
49-25
49-35
41-53
39-41
35-47
36-42
42-39
36-41
30-36
157.9Avg total
78.0Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.680.4158.0-2.935%
Season at home (9)85.069.7154.7+15.367%
Season away (14)72.887.4160.1-14.614%
Last 10 (10)78.079.9157.9-1.930%
Last 5 (5)79.278.4157.6+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.386.0159.3-12.729%
vs Similar (11)73.681.8155.5-8.218%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)91.266.0157.2+25.275%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#117
L
63-101
63
101
-38
A08/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
79-77 OT
79
77
+2
H10/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
66-69 OT
66
69
-3
A16/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A18/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
H22/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
55-84
55
84
-29
A24/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H30/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
71-66 OT
71
66
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A06/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-54
32-47
33-40
38-31
33-19
29-43
47-34
35-34
28-40
39-27
27-49
28-35
34-25
46-31
32-30
28-30
32-39
32-39
37-32
41-39
146.0Avg total
71.5Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)71.774.9146.6-3.240%
Season at home (12)77.072.7149.7+4.358%
Season away (13)66.876.9143.7-10.223%
Last 10 (10)71.574.5146.0-3.060%
Last 5 (5)69.671.0140.6-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)66.779.2145.9-12.522%
vs Similar (10)68.568.9137.4-0.440%
vs Weaker (2)101.567.0168.5+34.5100%
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: -0.8-0.8
Western CarolinaCitadel
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#149
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A08/01
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A10/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H14/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H17/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A22/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H24/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A30/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H01/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A04/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A07/02
NCAA
75.1Avg total
37.9Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.338.474.7-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.435.273.6+3.258%-
Last 30 away (18)34.940.675.4-5.728%-
Last 10 (10)37.937.275.1+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.478.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)34.440.975.2-6.529%-
vs Similar (11)35.539.574.9-4.027%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)43.832.876.5+11.0100%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#117
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A08/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H10/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
33-19
33
19
+14
A16/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A18/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H22/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A24/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H30/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A06/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A07/02
NCAA
69.6Avg total
33.4Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.636.068.7-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.334.568.8-0.243%-
Last 30 away (16)31.237.468.6-6.231%-
Last 10 (10)33.436.269.6-2.850%-
Last 5 (5)32.435.067.4-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)30.339.269.4-8.922%-
vs Similar (10)33.331.564.8+1.850%-
vs Weaker (2)50.530.581.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Western Carolina wins
5
Citadel wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26AWofford66-77
04/02/26ANC Greensboro78-81
01/02/26HSamford74-88
30/01/26AEast Tennessee St90-88
24/01/26HVMI88-58
22/01/26AMercer76-88
17/01/26HChattanooga Mocs82-90
14/01/26HEast Tennessee St72-68
10/01/26ACitadel77-79 OT
08/01/26ASamford77-82
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26AChattanooga Mocs78-71
06/02/26ASamford64-78
31/01/26HNC Greensboro71-66 OT
30/01/26HVMI80-56
24/01/26AEast Tennessee St55-84
22/01/26HFurman77-75 OT
18/01/26AVMI82-68
16/01/26ANC Greensboro66-69 OT
10/01/26HWestern Carolina79-77 OT
08/01/26AMercer63-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Carolina
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL35%
HomeLWLWL67%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23914
Win %35%67%14%
Points / game77.685.072.8
Allowed / game80.469.787.4
Point differential-2.9+15.3-14.6
Avg total158.0154.7160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %9%0%14%
Citadel
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW40%
HomeLWWWW58%
AwayLWLLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %40%58%23%
Points / game71.777.066.8
Allowed / game74.972.776.9
Point differential-3.2+4.3-10.2
Avg total146.6149.7143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %16%25%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St2518772%78.867.8+11.0
2 Wofford2517868%78.775.3+3.4
3 Furman2516964%76.870.3+6.5
4 Mercer25151060%84.075.5+8.5
5 Samford25131252%77.474.7+2.6
6 Chattanooga Mocs25101540%75.273.6+1.6
7 NC Greensboro25101540%77.380.3-3.0
8 Citadel25101540%71.774.9-3.2
9 Western Carolina2381535%77.680.4-2.9
10 VMI2561924%72.578.6-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Carolina523587
Citadel252449
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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