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Wisconsin vs Penn State Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 14 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#50
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game58.0
vs
Position#179
Record3-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game75.6
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Wisconsin v Penn State
13 Jan 2027
WISC v PENN
upcoming
08 Mar 2025
WISC75
PENN86
17 Jan 2023
WISC63
PENN60
05 Feb 2022
WISC51
PENN49
11 Mar 2021
WISC75
PENN74
02 Feb 2021
WISC72
PENN56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wisconsin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Penn State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WisconsinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#218
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A28/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
78-45
78
45
+33
H05/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
97-93
97
93
+4
A07/03
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H12/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
91-88 OT
91
88
+3
A13/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A14/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H19/03
NCAA
Denver
#359
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H03/11
NCAA
Delaware
#271
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Fairfield
#245
W
89-42
89
42
+47
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-21
54-52
34-21
44-24
52-47
45-46
43-33
42-49
30-36
48-42
28-28
37-40
41-39
41-44
44-30
31-38
35-28
38-36
52-20
37-22
153.1Avg total
82.5Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.058.0137.0+21.0100%
Season at home (3)79.058.0137.0+21.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.570.6153.1+11.980%
Last 5 (5)76.865.0141.8+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)84.485.6170.0-1.157%
vs Similar (10)79.578.1157.6+1.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)81.566.9148.5+14.685%
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A21/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H28/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
62-94
62
94
-32
H05/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A08/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A10/03
NCAA
Canisius
#236
W
97-57
97
57
+40
H03/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#212
W
97-93
97
93
+4
H05/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#58
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H09/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#202
L
46-89
46
89
-43
A11/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#317
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
20-38
44-49
34-38
37-31
21-45
41-49
21-43
41-31
32-34
34-42
47-26
50-31
54-31
43-62
38-42
38-40
16-54
30-35
33-29
39-28
149.1Avg total
71.3Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.675.6153.2+2.060%
Season at home (4)85.572.2157.8+13.275%
Season away (1)46.089.0135.0-43.00%
Last 10 (10)71.377.8149.1-6.540%
Last 5 (5)77.675.6153.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)70.082.3152.3-12.323%
vs Similar (6)77.783.0160.7-5.333%
vs Weaker (2)84.557.0141.5+27.5100%
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.2+9.21st half: -6.4-6.42nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: -0.1-0.1
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.2+9.21st half: -6.4-6.42nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: -0.1-0.1
WisconsinPenn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
WisconsinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#218
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A28/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H05/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A07/03
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H12/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A13/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A14/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H19/03
NCAA
Denver
#359
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H03/11
NCAA
Delaware
#271
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H07/11
NCAA
Fairfield
#245
W
52-20
52
20
+32
H11/11
NCAA
69.8Avg total
39.5Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.133.571.6+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.232.273.5+9.082%-
Last 30 away (13)33.935.269.1-1.231%-
Last 10 (10)39.530.369.8+9.280%-
Last 5 (5)40.029.069.0+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.739.677.3-1.929%-
vs Similar (10)37.335.973.2+1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.828.467.2+10.585%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
L
20-38
20
38
-18
A21/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H28/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
21-45
21
45
-24
H05/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A08/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A10/03
NCAA
Canisius
#236
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H03/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#212
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H05/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#58
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H09/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#202
L
16-54
16
54
-38
A11/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#317
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H12/11
NCAA
69.6Avg total
31.6Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.239.872.0-7.633%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.335.870.1-1.450%-
Last 30 away (12)29.045.874.8-16.88%-
Last 10 (10)31.638.069.6-6.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.474.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)31.740.872.5-9.127%-
vs Similar (6)31.540.071.5-8.533%-
vs Weaker (2)40.027.567.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Wisconsin wins
3
Penn State wins
Wisconsinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HFairfield89-42
07/11/26HDelaware73-64
03/11/26HDenver75-68
19/03/26HHigh Point82-83
14/03/26AMichigan65-68
13/03/26AIllinois91-88 OT
12/03/26HWashington85-82
07/03/26APurdue97-93
05/03/26HMaryland78-45
28/02/26AWashington90-73
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HMercyhurst Lakers72-57
11/11/26ALafayette46-89
09/11/26HPittsburgh76-82
05/11/26HChattanooga Mocs97-93
03/11/26HCanisius97-57
10/03/26ANorthwestern66-76
08/03/26ARutgers62-74
05/03/26HOhio State62-94
28/02/26HIowa71-69
21/02/26ANebraska64-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wisconsin
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game79.079.0-
Allowed / game58.058.0-
Point differential+21.0+21.0-
Avg total137.0137.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Penn State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %60%75%0%
Points / game77.685.546.0
Allowed / game75.672.289.0
Point differential+2.0+13.2-43.0
Avg total153.2157.8135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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