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Wurzburg vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 76-75
14-19 23-20 22-15 17-21
Position#4
Record11-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Position#2
Record10-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game92.6
Allowed / game85.3
GermanyBBLRound 18· Tectake Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Wurzburg v Alba Berlin
18 Jan 2027
WUR v ABE
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
WUR96
ABE92
23 Apr 2025
WUR70
ABE69
28 Jan 2024
WUR76
ABE75
23 Jan 2023
WUR76
ABE79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Ulm
#5
L
83-88
83
88
-5
78avg 67
H19/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
88-72
88
72
+16
80avg 67
A27/11
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
80avg 67
H01/12
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
97-78
97
78
+19
96avg 67
H16/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
98-96
98
96
+2
80avg 67
A23/12
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
83-78
83
78
+5
20avg 67
A27/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
83-78
83
78
+5
76avg 67
H29/12
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
107-101 OT
107
101
+6
no box
A08/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
82-90
82
90
-8
69avg 67
A14/01
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
91-78
91
78
+13
85avg 67
A20/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
22-20
15-19
27-24
24-22
13-17
27-15
24-18
19-17
27-16
24-20
17-22
34-16
12-11
24-23
27-28
28-19
19-25
21-32
30-20
23-13
5-22
27-28
28-15
14-17
19-14
26-18
24-29
19-19
19-22
24-24
25-22
17-17
20-25
14-22
31-26
23-13
23-27
22-14
23-24
173.3Avg total
89.9Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.478.6162.9+5.869%
Season at home (7)80.377.6157.9+2.757%
Season away (9)87.679.3166.9+8.278%
Last 10 (10)89.983.4173.3+6.580%
Last 5 (5)89.285.0174.2+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)63.279.3142.5-16.20%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.082.5163.5-1.543%
vs Weaker (9)91.378.0169.3+13.3100%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
W
101-90
101
90
+11
91avg 79
H31/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
71-77
71
77
-6
64avg 79
A02/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
68-83
68
83
-15
60avg 79
H05/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
L
77-97
77
97
-20
70avg 79
A07/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
70avg 79
A09/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
88-63
88
63
+25
90avg 79
A12/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
95avg 79
H14/01
BBL
Bayern
#15
L
65-82
65
82
-17
57avg 79
H18/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
W
95-87
95
87
+8
95avg 79
A21/01
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
89-80
89
80
+9
88avg 79
H25/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-19
26-26
20-25
21-20
25-22
16-26
11-13
19-16
9-26
18-22
24-15
17-20
23-15
18-18
19-28
17-36
17-16
18-21
23-23
18-22
19-20
22-17
21-13
26-13
17-17
25-20
22-14
26-31
19-19
11-24
21-23
14-16
25-30
19-14
27-23
24-20
18-16
33-20
21-18
17-26
164.3Avg total
82.0Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)92.685.3177.9+7.371%
Season at home (6)94.383.2177.5+11.283%
Season away (8)91.286.9178.1+4.462%
Last 10 (10)82.082.3164.3-0.350%
Last 5 (5)85.478.8164.2+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)75.983.6159.6-7.726%
vs Similar ◀ (2)95.586.0181.5+9.5100%
vs Weaker (9)89.384.0173.3+5.367%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.1-2.1
WurzburgAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#5
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H19/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A27/11
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H01/12
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H16/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A23/12
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A27/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H29/12
BBL
Tubingen
#18
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A08/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A14/01
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A20/01
BBL
77.6Avg total
39.9Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.139.977.9-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.838.977.8-0.146%-
Last 30 away (17)37.540.678.1-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)39.937.777.6+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.874.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.741.574.2-8.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.040.478.4-2.421%-
vs Weaker (9)40.838.178.9+2.767%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H31/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A02/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H05/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A07/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A09/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A12/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H14/01
BBL
Bayern
#15
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H18/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A21/01
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H25/01
Euroleague
82.0Avg total
41.2Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.742.983.6-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.942.382.2-2.340%-
Last 30 away (15)41.543.685.1-2.127%-
Last 10 (10)41.240.882.0+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.639.481.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)38.543.381.8-4.821%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)51.041.092.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker (9)43.142.685.7+0.644%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.317.4
52.3%
54.6%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.812.3
38.7%
35.4%36.9
🏀 Free throws21.016.2
77.1%
76.0%16.2
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.3
51.4%
54.6%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.89.2
38.7%
35.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.017.4
75.7%
76.0%17.4
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
WLWWWWWWWL
Alba Berlin
WWLWWLLLLW
#4
League position
#2
+11.6
Net rating
-1.5
119.0
Offensive rating
111.2
107.4
Defensive rating
112.7
55.1%
Effective FG%
54.0%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
13.2%
Turnover %
21.0%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
35.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.39
38.7%
3-point %
38.7%
50.2%
Assist %
62.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence119.0 · 111.2Defence107.4 · 112.7Shooting55.1% · 54.0%3-point %38.7% · 38.7%Ball care13.2% · 21.0%Off. rebounds29.9% · 35.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Wurzburg wins
3
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
14/01/24Alba Berlin v Wurzburg90-82
05/04/23Alba Berlin v Wurzburg76-47
23/01/23Wurzburg v Alba Berlin76-79
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24ARostock91-78
14/01/24AAlba Berlin82-90
08/01/24ATubingen107-101 OT
29/12/23HOldenburg83-78
27/12/23ABamberg83-78
23/12/23ACrailsheim Merlins98-96
16/12/23HBonn97-78
01/12/23HVechta87-75
27/11/23ASyntainics MBC88-72
19/11/23HUlm83-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/24HCrvena zvezda89-80
21/01/24ABonn95-87
18/01/24HBayern65-82
14/01/24HWurzburg90-82
12/01/24ALyon-Villeurbanne88-63
09/01/24AOlimpia Milano76-82
07/01/24ABamberg77-97
05/01/24HVirtus Bologna68-83
02/01/24AZalgiris Kaunas71-77
31/12/23HChemnitz101-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW69%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayWWWLW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %69%57%78%
Points / game84.480.387.6
Allowed / game78.677.679.3
Point differential+5.8+2.7+8.2
Avg total162.9157.9166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%29%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWLWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %71%83%62%
Points / game92.694.391.2
Allowed / game85.383.286.9
Point differential+7.3+11.2+4.4
Avg total177.9177.5178.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz1815383%87.175.4+11.7
2 Bayern1512380%88.076.2+11.8
3 Ulm1813572%92.488.5+3.9
4 Alba Berlin1410471%92.685.3+7.3
5 Wurzburg1611569%84.478.6+5.8
6 Vechta1711665%90.181.0+9.1
7 Hamburg1610662%88.489.1-0.7
8 Ludwigsburg1811761%88.480.1+8.4
9 Bonn1911858%90.585.5+5.0
10 Oldenburg189950%85.985.4+0.5
11 Basketball Braunschweig1981142%83.186.6-3.5
12 Rostock1761135%91.294.1-2.9
13 Bamberg1861233%87.190.4-3.3
14 Syntainics MBC1861233%85.488.9-3.6
15 Gottingen1651131%91.9100.1-8.2
16 Tubingen1851328%87.496.7-9.3
17 Crailsheim Merlins1731418%77.993.8-15.9
18 Heidelberg1831517%81.895.4-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wurzburg1423221776
Alba Berlin1920152175
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